From PoliticsPA <[email protected]>
Subject Podcast challenges trust in PA polls
Date October 11, 2024 4:00 PM
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Tune into the latest installment of the Voices of Reason podcast.

Welcome to the latest edition of Voices of Reason where we’ll recap exclusive news and data featured in our most recent podcast.

This segment dives into the complexities of polling and public opinion in Pennsylvania, highlighting influential demographics and regional voting trends.

F&M pollster Berwood Yost and Muhlenberg pollster Christopher Borick shared insights you won't want to miss less than 30 days out from the general election.
Big Names Make News
Founding Editor of Real Clear Pennsylvania, Charles McElwee, shared that areas such as Cumberland County are shifting trends in PA, mentioning that "these suburbs are increasingly leaning Democratic, which may have long-term implications for future electoral outcomes". [Watch ([link removed]) ]

Director at Floyd Institute for Public Policy Center for Opinion Research Franklin & Marshall College, Berwood Yost defends random sampling and its significance towards the larger population, describing the transparency of public opinion polling. [Watch ([link removed]) ]
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Numbers You Need to Know
Public Opinion
* From June to October, satisfaction among PA voters with presidential candidates rose by 18 points to 58%, following Joe Biden's exit from the race. [C ([link removed]) ommon Ground Poll ([link removed]) ]
* 46% of PA voters say they are “worse off” than a year ago, a sentiment consistent over recent years. [F&M Poll ([link removed]) ]

Voter Interests
* The economy, particularly unemployment and rising gas and utility prices, remains the most frequently cited problem among registered voters in Pennsylvania, at 34%. [F&M Poll ([link removed]) ]
* Over half of all registered PA voters surveyed say their economic conditions are worsening. [Common ([link removed]) Ground Poll ([link removed]) ]

Elections
* 91% of PA voters responded that they were "definitely voting" in the 2024 presidential election. [Muhlenberg ([link removed]) Poll ([link removed]) ]
* If the election were held today, Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump in PA, 50% to 46%. [Common Ground Poll ([link removed]) ]

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Explained: Why PA Polls Are Trustworthy
[link removed]
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Coming Up...
Pro-Harris vs. Pro-Trump Republican Debate

Next week, tune in for a debate between two long-time Republican strategists, Craig Snyder and Dennis Powell. PA's swing state voters will determine who wins the presidency – each participant makes his case for the top of the ticket.
The Keystone Candidate Forum debuts next week!

Our preview segment will feature U.S. Rep. Scott Perry, the incumbent congressman running for PA's 10th Congressional District.
Are you a candidate interested in participating in the forum? Reach out to [email protected] (mailto:[email protected]?subject=Keystone%20Candidate%20Forum%20Inquiry) for more details or to secure your spot!

The Keystone Candidate Forum is a collaborative series hosted by Voices of Reason, sponsored by the PA Chamber of Business & Industry.

Our goal: everyone gets a fair shake in the Keystone Candidate Forum with the belief that balanced dialogue provides every candidate an unfettered platform to share their views.

The forum spotlights competitive races across Pennsylvania, including statewide elections and key swing districts that could shift the balance of power in the state legislature.

Airing in October, the forum will stream online and be broadcast across the Philadelphia metropolitan area, with detailed recaps featured in the Voices of Reason newsletter.

In Case You Missed It...
Voices of Reason podcast has covered the most important issues in Pennsylvania politics – from education funding ([link removed]) to trust in elections ([link removed]) . Secretary of the Commonwealth Al Schmidt ([link removed]) , PA Treasurer Stacy Garrity ([link removed]) , and House Appropriations Chairman Jordan Harris ([link removed]) are just a few of many influential guests who have joined us for exclusive interviews and roundtable discussions.

Visit the Voice of Reason YouTube page ([link removed]) to experience all the great moments you missed.
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Get in Touch

We like smart ideas and want to hear from you.

Send feedback and inquire about appearing on Voices of Reason, at [email protected] (mailto:[email protected]?subject=Voices%20of%20Reason%20Podcast%20Inquiry) .

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