Prabowo Subianto will take the helm on October 20 as Indonesia’s president after his big election win earlier this year at a time of both national optimism and global crises. The previous president Joko Widodo delivered strong economic growth, and Indonesia is projected to overtake Germany and the U.K. to become the world’s seventh largest economy by 2030. However, the growing U.S.-China rivalry continues to roil the region including the South China Sea. Washington would like to enlist Jakarta in its self-proclaimed global battle against autocracies. The escalating crisis in the Middle East is another stressor – Indonesia, along with many Global South states, has taken a different approach from the United States toward the ongoing war.
How could U.S.-Indonesia relations shift with Prabowo as president? How will Jakarta and ASEAN respond to any further escalations in Taiwan or the South China Sea? What does Indonesia’s rise mean for the significance of the Global South in U.S. foreign policy?
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