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The latest poll from the New York Times has Donald Trump up by four points in Arizona, a complete flip from their previous result: 

PREVIOUS Times/Siena Poll, AUGUST 8-15, 2024: 
Trump: 45%
Harris: 49%

NEW Times/Siena Poll, SEPTEMBER 17-21, 2024:
Trump: 49% (+4%)
Harris: 45%

We’ve been doing this a long time, and here’s our two cents: There is no world where Trump wins by that much and Kari Lake loses. If his lead is that wide, he will pull Kari Lake over the finish line with him.

And, honestly, that’s the ballgame. Trump will retake the White House and Republicans will retake the Senate. Sorry to put that thought in your head, but it’s true. 

This shift in polling comes as Trump has refocused his attention on Arizona. He’s spending a ton of time here, he’s propping up his allies, outside groups and dark money billionaires like Elon Musk are pouring in millions. Trump needs this state, and the MAGA Right is fighting tooth and nail for it. 

Now… What can we do about it?

It’s time to get back in the game. Ruben Gallego’s fundraising has dropped off a cliff this month. We’ve called that out, we’ve had friends and allies weigh in, we’ve raised the alarm, but nothing’s worked. We’re running out of time to turn this around, but we’re coming up right on our final end-of-quarter FEC deadline. 

We need to make the most of every day between now and then. 

Please: Use this link to contribute directly to Ruben Gallego’s campaign for U.S. Senate and Blue Amp Action. Arizona is a MUST WIN state, and we need everyone who understands that to double down and support Ruben.

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About BlueAmp Action:

We cannot sugarcoat the current situation. Right-wing authoritarianism, defeated by a worldwide coalition during WWII, was only in hibernation. Over the past decade it has infected democratic societies--including ours. It is as simple as it is terrifying: What we do now will define the future of our country and world. 

We at Blue Amp Action are dedicated to liberal, open societies, where reason and science are applied to solve our problems; where civil rights--including voting rights!--are protected for all. We fight for these values every day. Speaking up on our platforms, raising the voices and the political prospects of liberal pols and pundits. 

And savvy grassroots activists like you know, just like we do, that we can’t stop watching the people we help elect: after the elections, we have to keep organizing support for the policies we like and pushing back against the ones we don’t.

When the public tunes out between elections and the only people our elected officials hear from are the paid lobbyists of wealthy corporations, our government stops being accountable to the needs of ordinary families.

Democracy never sleeps, and neither can we.

So we ask that you support our work, so we can continue to engage in this fight every moment of every day. So our kids grow up in democracy, not dystopia.

Thank you for your support for all we do! Please follow Cliff Schecter on Twitter @cliffschecter, or subscribe to The Takedown with Cliff Schecter on YouTube, to keep up to date with this battle for the heart and soul of our country.

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You're getting this message because you’ve supported good causes and Democratic candidates. We need your support to continue fighting for our democracy. We love having you in our network, but if you no longer wish to hear from us, you can unsubscribe here.