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** What Keir Starmer’s victory means for Kamala Harris
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By Will Marshall
Founder and President of the Progressive Policy Institute
for The Hill ([link removed])

Vice President Kamala Harris ([link removed]) has righted her party’s capsized ship and opened a small but consistent lead ([link removed]) over Donald Trump ([link removed]) in national polls. Now comes the decisive test: Charting a winning course in the Electoral College.

To attain a majority of 270 votes or more, Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz ([link removed]) (D), must carry at least three, and in some scenarios four of the seven battleground states. All look like dead heats today.

They can count on a strong turnout by a reenergized Democratic base ([link removed]) , but that won’t be enough. You can’t win swing states without winning swing voters. The campaigns are spending prodigiously in these states to sway roughly 3 million voters ([link removed]) who tell pollsters they’ve yet to make up their minds.

The fence-sitters tend to be moderate, independent ([link removed]) and working-class (non-college). New research on swing voters ([link removed]) by my organization estimates that undecided voters without college degrees range from about 13 to 16 percent of the population in the battleground states.
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