Indivisibles -- 

Here at Indivisible, we’ve got a relatively simple goal for 2024: We’re going to elect a Democratic trifecta that will codify reproductive freedom and pass much-needed democracy reform (voting rights, ending gerrymandering, addressing big money in politics, DC statehood, etc.). A lot of transformative progressive policy will stem from there. 

No part of that is easy, but it’s long been clear which electoral goal will be the hardest: holding onto the Senate. 

The challenge, in short: We currently have a razor-thin Senate majority. Of the 34 seats up for reelection, Democrats are defending 23. That’s a tough map. Since Joe Manchin is retiring, West Virginia moves into the solid Republican category (for now), and the margin for error becomes zero. To keep the Senate, we’ve got to hold onto every single other blue seat or score an upset in a red state like Texas, Florida, or Nebraska. 

Like I said: Holding the Senate will be hard. But if you were reading closely, I also said this: We’re going to do it. How? By fighting wherever we have a chance. And with that, I've got an announcement, a question (please respond -- we need your feedback!), and some asks for you. 

Announcement: We’re adding Maryland & Nevada to our Senate Target List 

Thus far, Indivisible volunteers have adopted over 120,000 doors to knock through our game-changing Neighbor2Neighbor tool -- a tool independent analysis has suggested is the most effective voter contact tool in existence. If you’re new here, you can read this post on what makes it so effective, but the short version is this: Instead of sending canvassers to talk to strangers, we identify the critical Dem-leaning voters who need to be contacted in battleground states and districts, and assign neighbors to have conversations with them. 

Today, we’re making this tool available for additional Senate races and providing more resources to groups in these states: 

• Nevada: Nevada is a key presidential battleground, one of ten states with an abortion measure on the ballot this November, and home to one of the most competitive Senate races in the country. Indivisibles have been knocking doors to talk about the measure and the stakes of the presidential race, and now will be able to use N2N (and additional resources) to keep this Senate seat.
• Candidates: Sen. Jacky Rosen (Dem incumbent) vs. Sam Brown
• Cook Political Rating: Lean Democratic  
• Polling Average: Rosen +8.8

• Maryland: Maryland is another state with an abortion measure on the ballot, and Indivisible volunteers have already been knocking doors to promote it. But the Old Line State also has an unusually close Senate race this year, because it’s one of the few places where a relatively popular candidate (the state’s former governor) made it through the primary instead of a complete MAGA blowhard. 
• Candidates: Angela Alsobrooks (Dem) vs. Larry Hogan 
• Cook Political Rating: Likely Democratic
• Polling Average: Alsobrooks +6.8

Question: Should we take a longshot bet on Nebraska?

You read that right. There hasn’t been enough polling out of Nebraska, but the few polls that have been conducted suggest a much closer race than anyone could have imagined. 

It’s still probably a bigger longshot than Texas and Florida (both Indivisible target states already) but the few polls we’ve seen (again, big grain of salt) show a closer race than either -- and Montana for that matter. 

Remember -- if we lose any blue seat in addition to West Virginia at this point, that’s the ballgame -- unless we can peel a seat away from Republicans. 

So here’s our question: Do we invest finite resources into Nebraska, or put everything we have into the seats we’re defending + Florida and Texas? 

So really, we’re counting on you to help us make this decision. Please weigh in here on whether we should expand our Senate map to Nebraska.

Ask: Help us knock more doors

If you’re in one of our Neighbor2Neighbor states or districts, we NEED you out there knocking doors over the next month and change. Whether or not we keep the Senate will come down to the margin of effort. Sign up for your ten doors here. 

And if you’re not in one of our Neighbor2Neighbor states, please take a few minutes to think about who you know in the highlighted states above and reach out to them about the stakes of the election. If they’re already planning to vote blue, send them the link to Neighbor2Neighbor and encourage them to volunteer some time. 

If we want to confirm good judges, codify abortion rights, pass democracy reform, and allow Harris/Walz to advance their popular economic agenda, we need a Democratic Senate. It’s as simple as that. 

Let’s get out there and make it happen. 

In solidarity,
Sarah Dohl
Chief Campaigns Officer & Co-Founder, Indivisible