The Evening: Predictions Double, Angry China, Ohio and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, May 4th.
** Predictions Double
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The Trump administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of coronavirus cases and deaths over the next several weeks. The daily death toll will reach about 3,000 on June 1, according to an internal document ([link removed]) obtained by
The New York Times, nearly double the current number of about 1,750.
** World Minus U.S.
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World leaders came together in a virtual summit Monday to pledge billions of dollars to quickly develop vaccines and drugs to fight the coronavirus. The Trump administration declined to participate, but highlighted from Washington its “whole-of-America” efforts in the United States and its generosity to global health efforts, as the
Washington Post reports ([link removed]) .
** Angry Chinese Response
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The heightened allegation by U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo that the coronavirus pandemic can be traced to a Chinese laboratory sparked an angry response by China’s media on Monday in the absence of any official government comment during a national holiday, as the
WSJ reports ([link removed]) .
** On the Horizon
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The Covid-19 crisis will change the Europe we have known ([link removed]) for the past 70 years. What is on the short- and long-term horizon once the dust has settled?
CSIS’s “On the Horizon (#) ” series offers insights into the more fundamental changes we might anticipate for our future social and economic world as a consequence of the Covid-19 pandemic.
** CSIS Executive Education
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We invite you to apply to Unpacking the Defense Enterprise ([link removed]) , a a three-day live, online course exploring defense strategy, budgetary and technical issues, and future challenges and opportunities in the U.S. defense enterprise.
** Video Shorts
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Check out CSIS’s new series of video shorts: “Testify,” "What's Happening," "Preview," and “High Resolution.” And don’t forget to subscribe to the CSIS YouTube Channel ([link removed]) !
** In That Number
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** 9,497
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As of May 1, there are 9,497 confirmed cases of coronavirus within the Department of Defense. Of the current cases, 4,704 were military service members, 887 dependents, 1,123 civilians, and 431 contractors. 284 of these cases required hospitalization, and there have been 27 deaths. 2,325 have recovered.
Source: CSIS Defense 360 ([link removed])
** Critical Quote
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** “Look, we’re going to lose anywhere from 75,000, 80,000 to 100,000 people; that’s a horrible thing.”
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— President Donald Trump
** iDeas Lab
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As many countries struggle to flatten their Covid-19 curves, South Korea has found success. CSIS Korea Chair Victor Cha explores South Korea's pandemic response ([link removed]) .
The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.
** Optics
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CSIS
(Photo credit: Drew Angerer/Getty Images). The U.S. Supreme Court begins two weeks of oral arguments and it is the first time in history that the court will allow live streaming of its audio and the first time in history the court will hear arguments via telephone.
** Recommended Reading
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“The Fractured Generation Takes Shape ([link removed]) ,” by Tulane University Dean of the School of Liberal Arts Brian Edwards for The Hill.
** Online Events
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Tomorrow, at 8:00 a.m. ([link removed]) , join us for a virtual conversation on breaking events on the Korean peninsula related to the South Korean elections, COVID-19 response efforts, diplomacy with the United States, and North Korea.
After, at 10:00 a.m. ([link removed]) , CSIS Cooperative Defense Project and Project on Prosperity and Development for an online discussion on best practices the U.S. government can implement to conduct more effective and conflict-aware stabilization.
And, at 11:00 a.m. ([link removed]) , join the CSIS Aerospace Security Project for a a live streaming event in conversation with NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine.
** Video
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Last week, CSIS’s International Security Program and Global Health Policy Center hosted a bipartisan event with Representatives Stephanie Murphy (D-FL) and John Katko (R-NY) highlighting their efforts to establish a bipartisan commission to examine the Covid-19 crisis. Watch the full video here ([link removed]) .
** Podcasts
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Die Welt
In this episode, Steve and I speak with Anna Carroll, Global Health Policy Center’s Associate Fellow at CSIS, about President Trump’s decision to suspend U.S. assistance to the World Health Organization.
Listen on Spotify ([link removed]) & Apple Podcasts ([link removed]) .
** Smiles
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This isn’t a smile but bear with me for a sec…today marks the 50th anniversary of the Kent State shootings, when 4 college students were killed by the Ohio National Guard while protesting President Nixon’s expansion of the Vietnam War into Cambodia.
So while this isn’t a smile, I want to acknowledge the milestone of Kent State and spotlight the song that Neil Young wrote about it, “Ohio.” Young made “Ohio” famous by performing it with CSN&Y, but I find this solo version he performed at Toronto’s Massey Hall in January 1971 to be stark and powerful ([link removed]) .
I invite you to email me at
[email protected] (mailto:
[email protected]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz ([link removed])
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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran, Caleb Diamond, and Brad Honigberg.
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Connect w/ H. Andrew Schwartz
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