Breaking down the news with data, charts, and maps. 
 
 

Happy Thursday! In today’s newsletter, we cover why the Federal Reserve delayed interest rate cuts until this week, whether college admissions are getting easier, and what’s behind the Democrats’ working-class woes.

Edited by Sutton Houser and James Desio

Did a friend send you this email? Subscribe today! For inquiries, email [email protected].

 
 
1. Big Shift: Fed Cuts Rates
 
 
 
 

Topline: As the Federal Reserve announces its first rate cuts in four years, AEI’s Steven Kamin explains why the Fed has been one of the most hawkish central banks. While other central banks reduced their interest rates as core inflation fell, the Fed delayed its cuts.

Background: Kamin attributes the Fed’s hawkish stance to unexpected inflation spikes earlier this year and past failures by previous Fed chairs. He points to the 1970s, when poor monetary policies led to persistently high inflation, de-anchored expectations about inflation, and stagflation.

“But it is the mistakes of the Fed during that period that have become so iconic, and the current members of the FOMC are desperate not to repeat them. At this point, . . . the Fed can afford to start reversing its exceptional monetary tightening.” 
—Steven Kamin
 
 
More on Rate Cuts
 
 
2. College Admissions Bounce Back
 
 
 
 

Topline: Most colleges now admit a higher percentage of students than they did 20 years ago, according to AEI’s Preston Cooper. Admission rates were low for most of the 2010s but have increased significantly since 2019.

  • Between 2002 and 2022, 35% of public and private nonprofit colleges lowered their admission rates by over 5 percentage points. Meanwhile, 44% raised them by the same margin.

Demand Shift: Cooper notes that fewer students are applying to college, with some choosing vocational schools over four-year institutions. Consequently, tuition rates are dropping as colleges compete for a shrinking pool of applicants.

“A more competitive market in higher education yields benefits for students by raising acceptance rates and lowering costs.” 
—Preston Cooper
 
 
More on College Admissions
 
 
3. Democrats’ Working-Class Problem
 
 
 
 

Topline: Though Democrats enjoy favorable coverage after last week’s debate, AEI’s Ruy Teixeira argues they must strengthen their support among the working class to gain an edge in a close race.

The Problem: A recent New York Times/Siena College poll shows Kamala Harris trailing Donald Trump by 17 points among noncollege-educated working-class voters, the same margin that Joe Biden trailed by before dropping out.

  • Compared to Biden’s 2020 numbers, Harris’s support is down by 10 points among white working-class voters and 18 points among nonwhite working-class voters.
“College-educated America may be delighted with candidate Harris but working-class America clearly is not.” 
—Ruy Teixeira
 
 
More Election Analysis
 
 
Last but Not Least . . .
 
 
 
 
 
 
More Housing Data
 
 
 
 
More on Nuclear Weapons
 
 
Thanks for reading. We will be back with more data next Thursday!
For more data insights, subscribe today.

Email us with data questions or ideas.
 
 

American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research
1789 Massachusetts Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20036
202.862.5800  |  www.aei.org

AEI_Facebook.png   AEI_Twitter.png   AEI_LinkedIn.png   AEI_Youtube.png   AEI_Instagram.png   Podcast Logo New_Gray.png
Donate to AEI in support of defending and promoting freedom, opportunity, and enterprise.

This message is for: [email protected] | Manage preferences or Unsubscribe