From Polling Alert (via MoveOn) <[email protected]>
Subject This latest poll is troubling
Date September 18, 2024 11:06 PM
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Dear MoveOn member,

If it scares or concerns you that a white nationalist is the current
speaker of the House, imagine how dangerous Mike Johnson will become if
Donald Trump wins the presidency—which, if the election were today, is
more likely than not.^1,2

So much of the focus around the upcoming election is on the top of the
ticket—and it makes sense because the stakes are so very high—but MAGA
Republicans could sweep the House, Senate, and presidency. They already
control the Supreme Court. Then we'd really be in trouble.

Roll Call reported this week: "In the shadow of the presidential race sit
two competitive fights for the Senate and the House, and the latest race
rating changes give Republicans a more straightforward path to sweeping
control of both chambers."^3

John, we absolutely cannot allow MAGA Republicans to control
all branches of the federal government. That's why MoveOn's election work
has focused on key House and Senate races as well as the presidency. And
today we want to ask you for your help supporting four strong progressive
House candidates locked in very tight races.

Democrats need a net gain of four seats to end MAGA control of the House.
And these four races are critical. We'll get into the details below but
first want to ask:

Will you donate to MoveOn's election program and these four critical
races? Your donation will be split between MoveOn and the campaigns of
progressive Democrats Kirsten Engel (AZ-06), Dr. Yadira Caraveo (CO-08),
Tony Vargas (NE-02), and Josh Riley (NY-19).

If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your
donation will go through immediately:

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $9

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $27

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $40

[ [link removed] ]Or, donate another amount

All four of the Democratic candidates are strong progressives, and MoveOn
members in their districts overwhelmingly endorsed them. Two of the races
(CO-8 and NE-2) are considered "toss-ups," and two are considered "lean
Republican" (AZ-06 and NY-19).^4

Kirsten Engel (AZ-06) is an environmental lawyer and co-directs University
of Arizona's Environmental Law Program. As a state legislator, Engel
fought against education cuts, worked for criminal justice reform, and
advocated for voting rights and abortion rights. She's running for
Congress to fight for quality education, clean energy, and democratic
rights.^5 This district also is critical for Vice President Harris.

Dr. Yadira Caraveo (CO-08), a pediatrician, legislator, and advocate for
middle- and working-class families, was inspired by her parents' dream of
a better life. Her parents emigrated from Mexico to Colorado, where they
raised their four children with strong values of hard work and community.
As a state legislator, Dr. Caraveo quickly gained a reputation for taking
on tough fights, such as passing legislation to cap insulin prices and
protect renters. Now in Congress, she's been fighting for Colorado
families on health care, housing, climate change, reproductive freedom,
and more.^6

Tony Vargas (NE-02) is a former public school teacher who won "Most
Outstanding Teacher" and "Teacher of the Year." As a state senator, he's
passed legislation to strengthen public schools, improve health care
access, and enhance consumer protections. Vargas is running for Congress
to improve education, health care, and economic opportunities for all.^7
This district also is critical for Vice President Harris.

Josh Riley (NY-19) comes from a working-class family with deep roots in
local factories, and his upbringing in a resilient community shaped his
values of hard work and perseverance. His vision includes strengthening
the middle class, protecting Medicare and Social Security, addressing
climate change, ensuring community safety, and defending democracy.^8

Will you help these four progressive Democrats in their campaigns to
defeat MAGA Republicans? Together, we can take the gavel from Mike Johnson
and prevent a terrifying MAGA sweep of our government. Your donation will
be split between these four Democratic candidates and MoveOn's proven
election program.

If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your
donation will go through immediately:

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $9

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $27

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $40

[ [link removed] ]Or, donate another amount

As a MoveOn member, you know that our very democracy is on the line this
year. You know we must do everything possible to stop a MAGA takeover. And
you know that MoveOn was built for this work—for more than a quarter of a
century, we've been the ones pounding the pavement and doing whatever is
necessary to get voters to the polls. We will succeed in November—if you
step up for us right now.

We have kicked off our vote tripling program, which is proven to be as
much as five times more effective than other get-out-the-vote methods.
We've expanded our hard-hitting abortion ad to turn out surge voters who
need extra motivation to get to the polls. And we're providing critical
support to the very closest House races, like those in Arizona, Colorado,
Nebraska, and New York.

With your support, we can keep our vote tripling tools and tactics running
24-7 until Election Day, reaching hundreds of thousands of voters and
ensuring that Vice President Harris isn't defeated by the Electoral
College or Donald Trump. And you can give these four candidates their best
chance of winning. We've done the research for you. All you have to do is
chip in.

Will you donate to MoveOn's election program and these four critical
races? Your donation will be split between MoveOn and these four strong
progressive candidates locked in incredibly tight races.

If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your
donation will go through immediately:

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $9

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $27

[ [link removed] ]Express Donate: $40

[ [link removed] ]Or, donate another amount

Thanks for all you do.

–Mohammad, Rahna, Julia, Aliya, and the rest of the team

Sources:

1. "Mike Johnson Is the Christian Nationalist We Should Have Seen Coming,"
The New Republic, December 20, 2023
[link removed]

2. "Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast," Silver Bulletin,
September 17, 2024
[link removed]

3. "Ratings changes show path to GOP control of Senate, House," Roll Call,
September 16, 2024
[link removed]

4. "House Ratings," Inside Elections, September 12, 2024
[link removed]

5. "Meet Kirsten," Kirsten Engel for Congress, accessed September 17, 2024
[link removed]

6. "Meet Congresswoman Yadira Caraveo," Caraveo for Congress, accessed
September 17, 2024
[link removed]

7. "Hear Tony's Story," Tony Vargas for Congress, accessed September 17,
2024
[link removed]

8. "Meet Josh," Josh Riley for Congress, accessed September 17, 2024
[link removed]


Want to support MoveOn? The MAGA right is declaring war, and Project 2025
is their battle plan. Project 2025 threatens our rights, attacks
communities of color, hurts middle- and working-class families, and
undermines our democracy. But we will not back down or let Trump steamroll
our nation.

Will you donate to power MoveOn's election plan, stop Trump, and ensure
Project 2025 is never enacted? 



[ [link removed] ]Yes, I'll chip in.





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