From Harris/Trump Race Update via Our Revolution <[email protected]>
Subject Nate Silver STILL gives Trump 64% chance at winning
Date September 13, 2024 6:10 PM
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James, election
forecaster Nate Silver has a serious warning for us:

“Polling analyst Nate Silver is warning supporters of Vice President
Kamala Harris that her well-received debate performance against former
President Donald Trump could be quickly followed by disappointing poll
results.”

First, Silver gave Trump a 64% chance of winning in November.

[ [link removed] ][IMG]

Now, Silver says the debate may not even matter. This is setting off the
alarm bells, James.

There are just 53 days to go before an election that will be decided by
our ability to turn out progressive voters in 7 key battleground states.
That’s why we’ve hired organizers in swing states to recruit volunteers to
make calls, send texts and knock on doors with a goal of contacting FIVE
million voters.




[ [link removed] ]Can you donate to our Swing State Fund today to help us reach 5 million
voters before November 5th? Margins in battleground states like
Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Georgia will be razor thin.




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Nate Silver correctly predicted Trump’s win in 2016, even when Trump was
down in the polls.

Stories from our organizers in PA, MI, WI and other swing states make
Silver’s election forecast and post-debate warnings even more alarming. A
drive through the Philadelphia suburbs is turning up a bunch of Trump
signs. Trump billboards and homemade signs are popping up all over the
Midwest — the places Harris needs to win by significant margins in order
to defeat Trump.

VP Harris is still the clear underdog. While she may win the popular vote,
the Electoral College will decide the presidency. The electoral college is
biased to help Republicans — and polls underestimated Trump in both 2016
and 2020.

Swing state voters are getting pummeled with Trump ads aimed to scare
people about crime and immigration — scare them enough to stay home or
vote for Trump.

Our Revolution has been mobilizing voters against corporate-backed,
fear-mongering campaigns since Bernie’s run in 2016. Our ability to turn
out millions of voters in the battleground states WILL make the difference
in the election — especially with election forecasts so heavily favoring
Trump.



[ [link removed] ]Will you contribute to our Swing State fund to help Our Revolution contact
5 million progressive voters before November?



When we organize, we win.

Our Revolution

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