From Leah Greenberg, Indivisible <[email protected]>
Subject We need to focus on winning big.
Date September 8, 2024 2:26 PM
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Hi folks!

It’s September, and you know what that means: [ [link removed] ]Brat summer is over.
Voter contact fall has begun.

And as we turn to the final stretch, I wanted to send out a note about
something that’s started to come up in my conversations with Indivisible
groups nationwide: the fear that Donald Trump will try to overturn the
election.

Now, this is obviously not a new fear. If you were with us back in 2020,
you remember there was an extended period when smart pundits were
pooh-poohing the risk that Trump would make a serious attempt to do this.
Four years and one attempted coup later, there’s much broader recognition
that Trump will pull any lever he can -- legal or illegal -- to get back
in power and to stay there.

So we all know that Donald Trump will not simply concede and ride off into
the sunset if he loses. We’ve seen the stories on local MAGA election
officials who are getting ready to try to hand the election to Trump, or
how Trump is investing in an army of lawyers and goons to try to sabotage
the election. 

What does this mean for us?

I wanted to take a minute to share a few topline thoughts:

 1. The risk is real, but it’s different than in 2020. Just to state the
obvious: Donald Trump is not the president right now! He does not
control the National Guard or the Department of Justice. And -- thanks
to 2022! -- we hold governorships and Attorney General positions in
many of the key states that will determine the elections. That means
his tools to sabotage the election are more limited than they were in
2020. There are places where we’re really worried -- like Georgia,
where the state board of elections has been captured by MAGA hacks --
but we don’t have to worry about some of the nightmare elements of
2020, like Trump deploying the National Guard.
 2. We -- and the broader ecosystem -- are taking this seriously. The
Harris campaign has assembled a Democratic legal dream team, and
they’re already going head to head with the Trump campaign around the
country and preparing for the post-election legal chaos to come. In
key battleground states, there’s ongoing planning and preparation. And
at the national level, Indivisible is in close conversations with
partners about how and when we can support in a post-election sabotage
situation. No one will be caught by surprise.
 3. We need to be really careful about how we talk about this threat, or
else we play into Trump’s hands. Donald Trump, like all would-be
authoritarians, thrives on projecting strength. He would like nothing
better than to convince large numbers of Democrats that they shouldn’t
bother to knock doors or vote, because he’s just going to steal the
election anyways. If we play into his frame, or pretend he’s got that
power, we demobilize our own people. So don’t give him power he
doesn’t have, and don’t do his work for him. And that’s why…
 4. The single best thing that you can do right now is focus on winning
big. There’s a simple strategic logic: Our best chance to avert
prolonged election chaos is to win the electoral college by such a
dramatic margin that no single state matters for determining the
outcome. If we’ve won by a single state -- let’s say, for example, it
all comes down to Georgia -- Trump and his cronies will only need to
fight to overturn the results in that one place. But if we’ve swept
the swing states, they’d have to mount a campaign to overturn results
in three to five states -- a nearly impossible and incredibly
dangerous course of action, given the risk of criminal liability if
they fail. 

In short, our best defense is a good offense: Winning by the kinds of
margins that simply aren’t vulnerable to their shenanigans.

[ [link removed] ]And here’s where I ask you for money, because with your help, we think
we can not only win, but win big.

* We’re working on the ground with Indivisibles in 11 states and 18
congressional districts, and we are currently blowing our targets out
of the water. 
* We’re seeing incredibly enthusiastic pickup of our Neighbor2Neighbor
program for mobilizing low-propensity Democratic voters -- so much so
that we’re having to staff up to support all our new volunteers. 
* We’re expanding the map of targets that are potentially in play for
the Senate and House. 
* We're supporting a brand new wave of volunteers and activists inspired
by Kamala who are knocking doors, leading canvassing trips, and
activating their own networks.

In simple terms: More money in the door this month means more doors
knocked, more votes banked, and bigger potential margins to defeat Donald
Trump and make everything I talked about in the paragraphs above totally
irrelevant. 

[ [link removed] ]So please give now -- because I want to spend my November celebrating
the incoming Harris administration and Democratic trifecta, not dealing
with this awful stuff. And I bet you do too.

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In solidarity,
Leah Greenberg
Co-Founder and Co-Executive Director, Indivisible



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