In this mailing:

  • Melanie Phillips: The Oslo Effect: The Weaponization of Hostages to do Hamas's Dirty Work for It
  • Amir Taheri: Iran Military: Calculations and Miscalculations

The Oslo Effect: The Weaponization of Hostages to do Hamas's Dirty Work for It

by Melanie Phillips  •  September 8, 2024 at 5:00 am

  • The demonstrators [in Israel] are backed by assorted military and intelligence types in a treasonous attempt to lever Netanyahu out of office by creating division and demoralization while Israel is fighting for its life. Their core claim is that Netanyahu is prolonging the war and condemning the hostages to death solely to appease the extremists in his coalition and thus remain in power.

  • Of course, everyone desperately wants the hostages brought back home. But the idea that the ceasefire deal would achieve this is sheer fantasy.

  • Only a few of them would be released in the first phase. Hamas would then use the ceasefire to regroup and rearm, spinning out the continuing negotiation farce to keep the rest of the hostages trapped and thus retain control of the Gaza Strip.

  • It would only ever release all the hostages (if at all) with Israel's total surrender. That's what those calling for an immediate ceasefire deal are actually promoting.

  • It [Hamas] would only ever release all the hostages (if at all) with Israel's total surrender. That's what those calling for an immediate ceasefire deal are actually promoting.

  • The only way to save the hostages is through military pressure. That's one reason why it's imperative for Israel to retain control of the Philadelphi corridor, the area of Gaza that borders Egypt.

  • The importance of this corridor cannot be exaggerated....an extensive infrastructure of giant tunnels into Egypt—thus revealing the principal route through which Hamas imported its rockets, rocket launchers, vehicles and ammunition. [Emphases added]

  • Hamas needs to control Philadelphi in order to resupply itself. Without that, it will be finished. That's why it's insisting that there will be no deal while Israel remains in control.

  • The vast majority of the military and security officials who belong to the authoritative Israel Defense and Security Forum are adamant that Israel must not cede control of the corridor. The forum's chairman, Brig. Gen. Amir Avivi, said this week that tens of thousands of rockets and thousands of Nukhbah terrorists were waiting inside Sinai to go into Gaza through Philadelphi.

  • Even if Israel made only a short retreat, these troops and equipment could be brought in within a week. Egypt had made billions from the smuggling trade into Gaza and wants to continue.

  • Moreover, said Avivi, only 30 out of more than 100 hostages were slated to be released in the first phase of the deal—and Hamas reportedly planned to take the rest of them through the Philadelphi tunnels to Sinai and then to Iran.

  • In a security cabinet row, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant reportedly called Philadelphi "an unnecessary constraint that we've placed on ourselves." Gadi Eizenkot, former chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces, said it wasn't strategically important. Former Defense Minister Benny Gantz said Israel could return to the corridor if it deemed it necessary once the hostages were home.

  • Other arguments have included getting Egypt to safeguard Philadelphi against Hamas and using electronic sensors to monitor it.

  • This is all utterly delusional. For two decades, Egypt was complicit in the construction and use of the Philadelphi tunnels; entrusting it with Israel's security would be to put the fox in charge of the henhouse. Israeli reliance on electronic sensors was one of the reasons the Oct. 7 pogrom happened.

  • Despite the thousands on the streets, most Israelis get this. In one opinion poll, 79% agreed that Israel needed to control Philadelphi permanently to prevent weapons smuggling from Egypt to Gaza. When asked more emotively whether Israel should control Philadelphi "even at the expense of a hostage deal," more respondents said it should than those who balked at preventing a hostage deal.

  • Gantz, Eizenkot and Gallant are part of a military and security establishment whose morally and intellectually bankrupt "conceptziya" brought about the Oct. 7 catastrophe in the first place.

  • ...America itself bears a significant measure of responsibility for the hostages' fate.

  • The Biden administration forced Israel to proceed in Gaza far more slowly than the IDF judged necessary to defeat Hamas and thus save the hostages. Worse, for three months, the administration stopped Israel from entering Rafah—below which the six hostages were murdered last week. If Israel had been free to proceed at its own pace, those six captives and many others might have been saved.

  • Whatever happens to Netanyahu, the left will almost certainly discover that, for the second time, it has made a terrible strategic error.

  • The first such error was the 1993 Oslo Accords, which gave the Palestinians political power and status—with the Americans even training their police—on the assumption that they intended to live in peace alongside Israel.

  • [T]hese same types of people have been doing the work of Hamas for it by promoting Israel's surrender....

Anti-government protesters set a fire and use smoke torches on September 7, 2024 in Tel Aviv, Israel. (Photo by Amir Levy/Getty Images)

The enormous demonstrations in Israel against Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, might be giving people outside the country the impression that the Israeli public is generally against him because of his conduct of the war and that his days in office are therefore numbered.

What's more likely is that the Israeli left is in the process of destroying itself once and for all.

Israelis are being increasingly maddened by grief and horror over the unconscionable fate of the hostages trapped in the hellholes of Gaza. This month's cold-blooded murder of six of these captives by Hamas savages has tipped many Israelis over the edge.

The demonstrators' demand for an immediate ceasefire deal to release the hostages is not only ludicrous to the point of near derangement, but also poses a direct threat to Israel's security and indeed existence — precisely the outcome that Hamas intends through its diabolical manipulation of the hostages' plight.

Continue Reading Article

Iran Military: Calculations and Miscalculations

by Amir Taheri  •  September 8, 2024 at 4:00 am

  • The IRGC and its appendages such as the Mobilization of the Dispossessed (Baseej), the Quds Force and at least four security and intelligence services account for less than five percent of the Iranian population. Yet they have the largest share of plum jobs in the public sector.

  • Rather than being the army of a nation-state, it morphed into an armed force that owns a nation-state.

  • Khamenei may have another more reason to tone down his usual tantrums: simmering dissatisfaction in both the IRGC and the regular army.

  • The favored treatment of the IRGC in terms of salaries and the latest weaponry may be the cause of discontent in the regular army....

  • The IRGC's discontent may be rooted in a new wave of purges planned by Khamenei, while aging generals close to him continue to warm their seats.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and its appendages such as the Mobilization of the Dispossessed (Baseej), the Quds Force and at least four security and intelligence services account for less than five percent of the Iranian population. Yet they have the largest share of plum jobs in the public sector. Pictured: The head of the IRGC, Hossein Salami, attends a military parade in Tehran, on April 17, 2024. (Photo by Atta Kenare/AFP via Getty Images)

"Today we are actively and selflessly present in all domains of national life in the service of our Great Leader and martyrdom-seeking people."

This was how two-star General Hossein Salami, Commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), boasted about his force's role in Iran.

Leaving aside the "selflessly" and "in the service of...," the general is right.

The IRGC and its appendages such as the Mobilization of the Dispossessed (Baseej), the Quds Force and at least four security and intelligence services account for less than five percent of the Iranian population. Yet they have the largest share of plum jobs in the public sector.

In other words, the IRGC is active in every field except the one that is supposed to be in: national defense.

Continue Reading Article

Facebook
Twitter
RSS
Donate
Copyright © Gatestone Institute, All rights reserved.

You are subscribed to this list as [email protected]

You can change how you receive these emails:
Update your subscription preferences or Unsubscribe from this list

Gatestone Institute
14 East 60 St., Suite 705, New York, NY 10022