MICHIGAN COALITION FOR RESPONSIBLE GUN OWNERS "Promoting safe use and ownership of firearms through education, litigation, and legislation." MONDAY E'NEWS   Election 2024 Forecast Now that the primary election is over, we have a better perspective on what to expect for the general election. Along with the tight race for the presidency in swing states, control of the United States Senate, the United States House of Representatives, and the Michigan House of Representatives will all be narrowly decided by less than a dozen seats in each chamber. Achieving pro-gun majorities is partially dependent on the coattail effect of the presidential election. But it primarily comes down to message discipline and voter turnout. Republicans are likely to do well if they focus on core policy issues such as the economy & inflation, crime & self-defense rights, parental rights in education, and immigration & border security. Democrats will do well if they are able to move the discussion to culture war issues such as abortion, LGBT topics, and cannabis. Michigan's governor and the Michigan Senate are not up for election until 2026. The entire Michigan House of Representatives is up for election this year. While changes to redistricting resulted in a large increase in the number of districts considered competitive based on partisan balance, this has been mitigated by changes to term limits allowing incumbent representatives to serve six terms instead of only three. Of the Michigan House of Representative districts most likely to flip, six are currently occupied by Democrats. These include Rep. Jaime Churches (D-Wyandotte), Rep. John Fitzgerald (D-Wyoming), Rep. Jenn Hill (D-Marquette), Rep. Nate Shannon (D-Sterling Heights), Rep. Joey Andrews (D-St. Joseph), and Rep. Reggie Miller (D-Van Buren Township). The four most vulnerable Republicans are Rep. Jamie Thompson (R-Brownstown), Rep. Tom Kuhn (R-Troy), Rep. Donni Steele (R-Lake Orion), and Rep. Kathy Schmaltz (R-Jackson). If the presidential race continues to remain very close, we can anticipate the current 56-54 Democratic majority in the Michigan House to flip to a 56-54 Republican majority of even a rare 55-55 split chamber. If Democrats expand on their current razor thin majority in the Michigan House of Representatives, new gun control legislation is likely to pass during the 2025-2026 legislative session. At a minimum, this could include magazine capacity restrictions, a ban on the sale of modern rifles, the elimination of local government preemption, an expansion of gun free zones, and the removal of liability protections for firearms manufacturers. The key to preventing this is an increased focus on turnout of pro-gun voters -a subject we will address in another Monday E'News later this month. UPCOMING EVENTS MCRGO Upper Peninsula Picnic Saturday, September 7, 2024 from 11 AM to 2 PM Ottawa Sportsmen's Club; 11075 M-38; Pelkie, MI 49958 No RSVP is required. Open to MCRGO members, friends & family. MCRGO will provide grilled items and beverages at no cost. You are encouraged to bring your firearms, ammunition, and ear & eye protection. NRA Freedom Fest at Howell Saturday, September 7, 2024, 10 AM to 6 PM Peacemakers Gun Range; 158 Catrell Dr, Howell, MI 48843 MCRGO Fall Firearms Festival Saturday, September 21, 2024, 11 AM to 4 PM Fin & Feather Club of Mason County; 3276 N Darr Rd, Scottville, MI 49454 Open to MCRGO members, friends & family. No RSVP is required. Details regarding the event will be at MCRGO.org by mid-August. MCRGO | PO Box 2294 | Grand Rapids, MI 49501 US Unsubscribe | Update Profile | Constant Contact Data Notice