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Photo by Jakub Porzycki/Reuters
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As the NATO summit in Washington wraps up today, alliance leaders seem likely to recommit to a “containment-plus” policy toward Russia. Such an approach seeks to stop or limit some of Russia's harmful activities through sanctions and other measures.
“Containment-plus” also pushes back against Russia's occupation of parts of Ukraine. For instance, Washington recently allowed Kyiv to fire U.S.-produced weapons at military forces in Russia that are attacking or about to attack Ukraine.
This is the right strategy, say RAND's John Tefft and William Courtney—both former U.S. ambassadors—as long as “Russia is ruled by a regime as aggressive and oppressive as President Vladimir Putin's.”
But even as NATO leaders impose these “containment-plus” policies, they face many obstacles: Russia's ongoing offensive in Ukraine, heightened nuclear threats, and a recent reshuffle at the Kremlin that’s aimed at developing a more efficient military sector. Further, Moscow has succeeded in evading some sanctions, has stepped up its subterfuge against NATO members in Europe, and is cultivating ties with China.
Tefft and Courtney conclude that the alliance must devise “new approaches to deal with Moscow's rogue behavior and an international order that is becoming more complex and less stable.”
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More on NATO
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- We spoke to 30 RAND researchers about what might define the future of the Western alliance. Here's what they had to say.
- For deeper insights into issues like Ukraine's potential NATO membership, the alliance's human security agenda, and how NATO might adapt to climate change, check out this extensive list of commentary by RAND experts.
- RAND has been studying NATO since the beginning, informing historic decisions that have guided the alliance's adaptation and transformation. We recently created an interactive timeline showing the history of NATO and related RAND research.
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A new RAND report adds to the growing body of research on the relationship between military service and respiratory health. The authors analyzed survey data on the health and well-being of both veterans and their civilian peers and found that both groups had similar respiratory health profiles during their 20s and 30s. But at older ages, veterans had worse respiratory health profiles than civilians did. Although cigarette smoking may be a major contributing factor, more research is needed to understand other factors that could affect lung health, such as environmental exposures during military service. Read more »
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For nearly three years, RAND researchers have been tracking the number of people experiencing homelessness in three Los Angeles neighborhoods: Hollywood, Skid Row, and Venice. The latest findings show that, in 2023, the number of unsheltered residents in these neighborhoods remained stable—a notable change from late September 2021 through 2022, when the rate of growth was approximately 10 percent annually. However, the needs of this population remain high, with many individuals experiencing mental health conditions, chronic physical health conditions, and substance use disorder. Read more »
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Events
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Tuesday, July 16, 2024 – Online (More dates available at the link above.)
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Wednesday, July 17, 2024 – Online
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Thursday, July 18, 2024 – Washington, D.C., and Online
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Thursday, July 18, 2024 – Online
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Wednesday, July 24, 2024 – Online
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