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April 21, 2020: When the lockdown ends, 34% of voters expect the U.S. economy to bounce back quickly. However, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 45% have the opposite view and believe the nation will suffer through a long recession. Twenty-one percent (21%) are not sure.[1]

By a 48% to 34% margin, Republicans expect the economy to bounce back quickly. Democrats, by a 56% to 24% margin, take the opposite view. Among independents, 43% expect a long recession while 33% think a quick recovery is likely.[1]

It’s important to note that these dynamics are broadly consistent with pre-pandemic attitudes. Republicans were far more optimistic about the economy, Democrats more pessimistic, and independent voters in between.

As for the prospects when the lockdown is lifted, white voters are evenly divided. Black and Hispanic voters are more pessimistic.

Investors are evenly divided–42% expect the economy to bounce back quickly while 38% think a long recession is coming.[1]

Just 31% of non-investors expect a quick recovery while 50% disagree.[1]

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Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, Politics Has Failed: America Will Not, was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018.

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