The Labour Party won about 412 seats in the House of Commons, just below Tony Blair’s 1997 record victory; meanwhile the Tories fell to about 121, their worst showing ever. But polls had predicted that Labour would beat the Tories in the popular
vote by about 20 points. In the election, they won by only ten points, about 34 pecent to the Tories’ 24 percent.
This was far below Labour’s performance in several recent elections. In fact, Labour got a much higher share of the popular vote (40 percent) in 2017, when they lost the House of Commons, than this year when they won.
Labour’s vote was well over 40 percent in ten other postwar elections, beginning with its first great victory in 1945. And turnout this year, at just under 60 percent, was the lowest since 2001.
So this victory was less than an overwhelming mandate than a spectacular Tory collapse. The fact that a one-third popular vote for Labour translated into a two thirds majority in the House of Commons is due widespread disgust with the Tories and the fact that the conservative vote was split between the Tories and Nigel Farage’s far-right Reform party, combined with Britain’s “first-past-the-post” system of awarding seats.
Labour leader Keir Starmer, not wanting to screw up a sure thing, trimmed so much that he depressed support for his party. The good news, however, is that at bottom Starmer is more than the bland technocrat
that his detractors claim. He’s even something of a socialist.
Labour has managed to re-inject class into British politics. Starmer resisted pressure to promise no tax increase on the upper classes. He’s serious about massive reinvestment in the National Health Service, which was once the crown jewel of British socialism.
He has also proposed an extension of the 20 percent value added tax to private school fees, which will hit only six percent of the most privileged Brits, and to dedicate the proceeds to under-funded state schools. Effective class warfare doesn’t get much
more palpable than that.
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