Dear John,
With two weeks to go until hot-take merchants reveal how
tepid they are, I can confirm we are just as tired as you are,
probably more so (more on that imminently).
But don't worry, the end is in sight and polling suggests the
light at the end of the tunnel is probably not a train so let’s keep
marching towards it…
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It’s official, according to hyper accurate polling (And
BBC Radio 2 testimony) Britain is a nation of tactical
voters!
New
B4B polling released this week shows an unprecedented
appetite for tactical voting among Brits, with at least a third of
voters in a whopping 558 constituencies saying they would
vote tactically to change the Government. In
234 seats this jumps to 40% and in 31 seats, more than half are ready
to vote for someone other than their first preference to get rid of
Sunak et al. So with Labour so far ahead, tactical voting isn’t really
important at this election, right?
WRONG! Our polling shows one in five who say they are voting
Labour say they are only doing so tactically. For the Lib Dems it’s
one in three. Telling these people they don't need to vote tactically
will eat into this lead, saving scores of Conservative MPs and
potentially leaving them able to seize power again in five years
time.
But tactical voting only works if voters have up-to-date
information on who the best challenger is in their area to the
Conservative hegemony. Luckily, this week we also published our
long-awaited, much-anticipated tactical voting recommendations on GetVoting.org.
Within hours, 2 million people had visited the site to see
how they should vote to get rid of this rotten Government and stop
hard-right, Brexit-backing, populists like Nigel Farage from getting a
foothold in Parliament. Traffic was so high that we even ran
into some brief technical difficulties! But all is working
smoothly now so if you haven't already, make sure you check
it out.
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Inevitably, the biggest political story of the week (besides
the launch of recommendations on GetVoting.org) was yet another
unforced error from team Sunak.
Last week, his close aide and candidate in the coming
election, Craig Williams, apologised for placing a bet on the date of
the general election he almost certainly knew was coming.
This week it was revealed that the Conservative candidate for
Bristol North West, Laura Saunders, and her partner, Conservative
Party director of campaigning, Tony Lee were dobbed for doing the
same.
Even Sunak’s personal
protection team got in on the action!
Following the PPE scandals and
innumerate other crony contracts we’ve logged over the years,
this latest episode of Tories on the make has fallen on fertile
ground, furthering the belief that it’s just in their DNA to try to
financially gain from any and all political opportunities.
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Appropriately for a limited liability company, this week
Reform UK Party Ltd decided on publishing a contract rather than a
manifesto.
Besides the many photos of Farage, the 22 page document
included vows to freeze non-essential immigration, to leave the
European Convention on Human Rights and scrap the UK’s environment
goals, all really highlighting the importance of tactical
voting
The contract was roundly described as “unserious” and “who
the hell wrote this”, with the plans predicted to cost
£141 billion. To put that into perspective, that’s three times the
cost of Liz Truss’ economy-crashing, mortgage-hiking
mini-budget.
Farage was also forced to refuse to apologise after a number
of Reform UK Party Ltd candidates were implicated in racist and/or
islamophobic social media activity including one who thinks ‘Hitler
was brilliant’. No, seriously.
Of course it was all someone else’s fault, with Farage
threatening to sue the vetting company he paid £144,000 to ensure he
wasn't asking people to vote… let’s say… questionably. It was soon pointed
out that this was not a vetting service but a vetting platform.
Kind of the difference between hiring a chef and hiring an
oven.
Farage still asserts that we should trust him with running
the country.
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In a masterclass of TV scheduling, the latest election debate
was broadcast immediately after England and Demark’s one-all
snoozefest. The four-way Question Time special did little to lift
anyone from their torpor.
Under fire following allegations
of the aforementioned betting scandal, Sunak
tried to distance himself by boldly saying, to hell with petty
gambling offences, I’m ready to break international law! When it comes
to leaving the ECHR, yanno, that brainchild of WINSTON CHURCHILL, he’s
ready to ‘bally-ho’ right out of that “International Court”. The
audience cried “Shame on You” and rightly so, we think. Máith thú,
Question Time audience!
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The UK inflation has dropped to the Bank of England's 2%
target for the first time since 2021!
Richest Prime Minister in history says “good news”. More on
this as it develops.
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Stop the Bets
Not long after the betting scandal broke, CCHQ thought it was
the perfect moment to release a betting-themed campaign video. The ad
was deleted
a day later.
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Well that’s it for another
week!
Regards, Niall
McGourty Director
of Communications
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