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Biden Goes to Extremes to Appease Tehran
He reportedly has gone so soft as to discourage allies in Europe from pressing their case at the IAEA.
- Wall Street Journal



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Joe Biden has a new definition of “the world turned upside down”: pleading with our allies to have a United Nations agency go easy on a terrorist, nuclear proliferator. This is not just a tactical error about yet another biodegradable UN resolution, but persistent strategic blindness that existentially threatens key American partners and endangers our own peace and security.


Iran’s largely successful effort to conceal critical aspects of its nuclear-weapons complex from scrutiny by the International Atomic Energy Agency (“IAEA”) and Western intelligence services is nearing culmination. IAEA reports about Iran’s uranium-enrichment program, and Tehran’s disdain for IAEA inspections, extending over two decades, has finally made the Europeans worried.

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Instead of welcoming this awakening, Mr. Biden is lobbying to avoid a tough anti-Iran resolution at this week’s quarterly IAEA Board of Governors meeting, although denying doing so. ). Limpness on Iran’s nuclear-weapons threat fits the Obama-Biden pattern of missing the big picture, before and after Hamas’s October 7 attack on Israel, including cash-for-hostages swaps as recently as last year.


Mr. Biden has two objectives, starting with suppressing US gasoline prices and foreign distractions before November, thereby lowering domestic opposition. The second is the Obama-Biden obsession with appeasing Iran’s ayatollahs, hoping they will become less medieval and more compliant if treated nicely. Both are misguided, even dangerous.

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Election worries about consumer gasoline prices have also weakened US sanctions against Russia. Many analysts see the sanctions failing because of their contradictory goals, restricting Russian revenues without increasing US pump prices, achieving neither objective, as Moscow’s continuing war efforts suggest. The ayatollahs don’t worry about “elections,” but they know weakness when they see it. including Mr. Biden’s relaxed enforcement of sanctions on Iranian oil exports.


Mr. Biden’s greater mistake, however, is refusing to acknowledge, let alone respond, to Iran’s “ring of fire” strategy to intimidate Israel and achieve regional hegemony over the oil-producing monarchies and other inconvenient Arab states. The foundational muscle for achieving these quasi-imperial aspirations is Iran’s nuclear program, precisely the issue at the IAEA. Starting in his 2020 campaign, Mr. Biden repeatedly alienated Gulf Arabs, especially Saudi Arabia, and they felt particularly threatened by his zeal to rejoin the failed 2015 nuclear deal. Excluding Israel and the Arabs from negotiations with Tehran, just as Mr. Obama did, convinced Arab governments that Washington was again hopelessly feckless. Israel concurred.


After October 7, Mr. Biden could have treated Hamas as part of the bigger Iran picture, which Arab leaders fully understand, privately seeing the need to eliminate Tehran’s terrorist proxies not far differently from Israel. Saying so publicly, however, even quietly, requires political cover, which Washington failed to provide. More concretely, the administration could have sought to destroy, not merely inhibit, the Houthis’ capacity to close Suez Canal-Red Sea transit routes. Since the US failed to do so, fearing to agitate the ayatollahs, rising prices from higher shipping costs, especially in Europe, increase the risk of a de facto Iran-Houthi veto over freedom of the seas. Not surprisingly, Iran now threatens blockading Israel itself.

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By concentrating world attention on Gaza, rather than Iran’s centrality as puppet-master, Mr. Biden helped make that warfront the media focus, rather than its true facet as one, and merely one, component of the larger “ring of fire” threat. He has thereby enabled Tehran and its terrorist proxies to propagandize about civilian casualties inherent in urban conflict, and the Israeli hostages, who are secondary in strategic terms to the viability of Israel itself, thereby distracting attention from Iran, the perpetrator and larger menace Israel also bears some blame here. Many Israelis have long focused on the close-in threat from Palestinian terrorists rather than the existential threat of a nuclear-armed Iran. By contrast, stressing Iran is one of Prime
Minister Bibi Netanyahu’s trademarks. His War Cabinet, however, contains too many who direct their strategic thinking against Hamas rather than Iran itself, thus effectively guaranteeing that Gazan civilian casualties and Israeli hostages receive disproportionate attention.


Had America and Israel explained October 7’s barbarity in broader strategic terms, they would, of necessity, concentrated harder on Iran’s coming succession crisis when aging, ailing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei dies.


President Ebrahim Raisi’s still-unexplained demise has already launched a premature succession struggle, an opportunity that could transform Iran. By focusing on that potential break point, those menaced by Iran could help its opposition fracture the Islamic Revolution at the top. Instead, Mr. Biden, who couldn’t conceive of overthrowing the ayatollahs, has recently dispatched envoys to beg them not to stir things up further before November.


Sending Tehran what diplomats call a “strong message” from the IAEA is not much, but treating Iran as if it calls the shots is far worse. Praying Mr. Biden wakes up to reality may be our only hope.


Originally published in the
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Wall Street Journal.

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