Policy Currents | The newsletter for policy people
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** June 4, 2024
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To End the War in Ukraine, the U.S. Needs a Plan
The Biden administration recently authorized Ukraine to use U.S. weapons for limited strikes inside Russian territory. Some in Ukraine argue that this will derail Moscow's offensive in the Kharkiv region, or even turn the tide of the war. Russian officials, on the other hand, call the move a major escalation and have threatened to retaliate directly against the United States or its allies.
Both claims will likely prove hollow, say RAND's Samuel Charap and Jeremy Shapiro of the European Council on Foreign Relations. But as they write in the Washington Post, the U.S. authorization is consequential for a different reason: "Washington has yet again made a major policy change reactively--in response to Russia's military moves and not as part of a broader strategy." This continues a "spiral dynamic" that raises the risks of a broader war without establishing a path to ending the current conflict.
Charap and Shapiro warn that this spiral of unrelenting Russian aggression and ever-increasing Western military support might go on for years to come--that is, until Ukraine and the West are ready to negotiate with Russia. And in the meantime, they say, Ukraine will continue to suffer, and the costs of the war to the West will continue to mount.
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The Problem with L.A.'s Proposed Cooling Policy
To protect vulnerable renters from unsafe heat, Los Angeles County is considering establishing a safe maximum indoor temperature threshold for rental units. If the proposal becomes law, most landlords will respond by buying air conditioners. According to Hye Min Park of the Pardee RAND Graduate School and RAND's Flannery Dolan, the sudden use of so many new AC units could strain the electric grid and cause more blackouts in L.A. Even worse, the heat emitted from AC units intensifies urban heat island effects, further increasing cooling demand. That's why policymakers may want to consider other approaches, including passive cooling strategies, such as cool roofs, shades, and better-insulated windows.
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Sudanese Women Are Agents of Change, but They Need Support
Civil war in Sudan has now entered its second year, and women and children are bearing the brunt of the crisis. For example, roughly 19 million children have been forced out of the classroom, an estimated 3 million children are malnourished, and soldiers have used sexual violence against women and girls. Amid this chaos, it is Sudanese women who are leading the humanitarian response and campaign to end the conflict. But they need help from NGOs, nonprofits, and other organizations, says RAND's Marie Jones. A boost of support could go a long way in creating space for women in Sudan to play a central role in the country's future.
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** RAND Recommends
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- The Los Angeles Times interviewed RAND researchers Benjamin Karney and Melanie Zaber about their recent report on the impacts of same-sex marriage.
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- RAND's Rafiq Dossani wrote about "micro-news providers" on YouTube, which have emerged as an influential phenomenon during India's national elections.
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- In The 74, RAND's Melissa Kay Diliberti discussed findings from a study she led on the use of AI tools among U.S. teachers. "There seems to be a small number of people on the [AI] bandwagon, but the bandwagon is moving forward."
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