DFP’s newsletter of our latest polls, memos, and memes. 

View this email in your browser. ([link removed])

Swing voters: they change their mind like a girl changes clothes

Swing voters… not the playground structure or the music genre or what Boomer couples do on vacation. We’re talking about the voters who are not yet committed to their 2024 vote and will likely decide the outcome of the election. *nervous laughter*

To better understand this enigmatic group, the DFP team created a brand-new methodology ([link removed]) to identify swing voters — it allows us to pick up on different types of swing voters and see whether a respondent consistently indicates that they are not yet certain of their vote choice.

A few key takeaways:
* While swing voters report voting for Biden (48%) over Trump (31%) in 2020, they now slightly prefer Trump in a two-way race. Many defect to third-party candidates, especially RFK Jr., in a six-way race.
* Swing voters’ main concern is Biden’s age and ability to handle the job — not his ideology.
* However, swing voters are also more concerned about Trump’s criminal charges and threats to democracy (48%) than Biden’s age and mental and physical health (41%).

Our findings are cause for alarm, but they also offer insights on how to win. While nearly one-third say that no action would make them “definitely” vote for Biden, the top two policies are raising taxes on the wealthy and raising the minimum wage.

So despite the repeated calls for Biden to pivot right, we find no evidence that this would solve his problems with swing voters.

There’s truly nothing Americans love more than making billionaires pay. Joe, if you’re listening, it’s time to talk more about how Trump and his rich friends need to pay more taxes so that we can raise the minimum wage and expand popular programs like Social Security and Medicare.

Read our full swing voter report here ([link removed]) .

Here are some other highlights from DFP this week:

Paid too much for your Trader Joe's frozen dumplings? Warren has a plan for that!

Grocery prices have surged in recent years — rising 26% ([link removed]) since January 2020. In a new Insights piece ([link removed]) , Senator Elizabeth Warren (!!) shares new Data for Progress polling showing that voters have major beef with corporate food producers and large grocery stores.

Food industry giants have used a number of tricks and traps to shut out smaller competitors and raise prices, allowing them to make even more bread at everyone’s expense. In the Insights piece, Sen. Warren highlights new executive actions President Biden can take to fight Big Food’s corporate greed.

Voter support for these actions isn’t poultry (ahem…paltry). A majority support increasing lawsuits against food producers that engage in price fixing (78%), creating a new task force to investigate food and grocery giants (69%), and making slotting fees — the fees that food producers pay to appear on grocery stores’ shelves — more equitable for smaller food producers (68%).

And these executive actions are popular with voters across both partisan and grocery aisles. A majority of Democrats, Independents, and Republicans think the U.S. government should do more to regulate corporate food producers and grocery stores that raise prices to maximize profits.

[link removed]

As Sen. Warren says in the piece: "Many in our country — particularly the poorest, who spent 25% of their income on groceries in 2022 — would benefit enormously from strong action to regulate the corporate food producers and large grocery stores."

“President Biden has taken major steps to fight Big Food’s corporate greed and to help American families. And with this new polling, it’s clear that Americans have his back, and are supporting him in doing even more to hold food industry giants accountable."

Read the full piece on DFP Insights here ([link removed]) .


Earth’s getting so hot it’s hurting my feelings

As we detailed last week ([link removed]) , Americans are STRESSED, and for many, climate change is a significant source. New polling ([link removed]) from Data for Progress finds a majority of voters say they feel negatively affected by climate change a little or a lot when planning for the future and spending time in nature. Many voters also report experiencing negative impacts on relaxing, eating, sleeping, concentrating, work or school, and relationships as a result of their feelings about climate change.

Furthermore, at least half of voters under age 45 agree that climate change will impact their decision to have children, where they live, and their health.

[link removed]

Yeah, we really can’t blame people for second-guessing whether or not to bring children into this hot, violent world, but we also think this planet and its people are worth fighting for. Thankfully, we have representatives like Senator Ed Markey who has introduced theCommunity Mental Wellness and Resilience Act ([link removed]) , which would establish a $36 million grant program through the CDC to provide funding to community-based mental wellness and resilience programs that address the negative psychological impacts of extreme weather events, natural disasters, and rising temperatures. And like many other progressive policies, this bill enjoys support from a bipartisan majority of voters.

Read the full brief here ([link removed]) .

DFP In The News

Bloomberg: High Prices for Groceries Is Top Issue for Young Swing Voters ([link removed])

The Guardian: Majority of US voters support climate litigation against big oil, poll shows ([link removed])

The 19th: Bigger than our acronym: The 19th’s LGBTQ+ reporters reflect on the community’s past, present and future ([link removed])

The New Republic: You’d Be Amazed How Many People Want Big Oil Charged With Homicide ([link removed])

USA Today: Alaska trawler bill garners industry reaction, most Alaskans support banning them: poll ([link removed])

On Social
[link removed]
[link removed]

Meme of the Week
[link removed]

Donate
If you could donate ([link removed]) that would be like really, super cool of you.
Donate to DFP ([link removed])

============================================================
** Twitter ([link removed])
** Facebook ([link removed])
** Website ([link removed])
** Instagram ([link removed])
Want to change how you receive these emails?
You can ** update your preferences ([link removed])
or ** unsubscribe from this list ([link removed])
.