The bigger question is: What will voters think? 

• Sizable minorities of Trump’s own supporters have said they’d balk at sending a convicted felon to the White House. Some might change their minds by November, and his biggest fans have repeatedly moved the goalposts for him in the past. In one recent poll, 6 percent of self-identifying Trump voters said a conviction would make them less likely to vote for him, while 68 percent said it would make no difference. 

• Another 24 percent of Trump supporters in that same poll said they’d be even MORE likely to vote for him if he’s convicted of a crime, which tells you something about how Trump has warped people’s minds. Eight years ago, Trump thought an affair would ruin his prospects. After the verdict came down, notorious right-winger Ann Coulter tweeted: “These idiot liberals may have just gotten Trump elected.” The fact that we even have to ask how voters will react is a scary sign of our troubled times. And in the end, it's on the voters, not the prosecutors. No criminal charge can stop Trump from becoming president by itself. He would still legally be allowed to run for president, and win, from a prison cell. 

In a tight race, losing 6 percent of Trump’s voters could make all the difference.

The NRA won a unanimous ruling from the Supreme Court Thursday giving them the go-ahead to pursue a lawsuit against a former New York state official who allegedly tried to have the gun group blacklisted after the deadly Marjory Stoneman Douglas school shooting in 2018. The justices found that the First Amendment prohibits government officials from “welding their power selectively to punish or suppress speech.” The NRA was repped by the ACLU, which celebrated the win for free speech. 

Two more U.S. officials publicly resigned over the Israel-Hamas war, accusing the Biden administration of being untruthful about Israeli obstruction of humanitarian aid to Palestinians in Gaza. The two resignations this week bring the total number of Biden administration officials who have publicly stepped down over the US’s handling of Gaza to nine. 

Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-LA) told Semafor that he hopes to pass a sweeping mega-bill of legislation if Republicans can capture the Senate, keep the House, and win the presidency. Johnson said the plans are still being worked through but the bill will revisit Trump’s Tax Cut and Jobs Act, add new border security measures and promote energy production, among other things. Johnson hopes to pass this super bill through reconciliation, bypassing any potential filibuster complications. 

Chief Supreme Court Justice John Roberts declined a meeting request from Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee about their push to get Justice Samuel Alito to recuse himself from upcoming cases around January 6th and the 2020 election for flying “Stop the Steal” flags at his homes, just a day after Alito said he was definitely not gonna do that. Roberts argued there’s no precedent for a justice to attend such a meeting. Okay, but, y’know, there’s no precedent for a justice to wave an anti-democracy flag over his beach house, either, is there?

The Department of Education said Thursday that it will conduct a “full-scale review” of the Federal Student Aid office, including a shakeup of leadership, after months of delays and errors with this year’s Free Application for Federal Student Aid, known as FAFSA.

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Mexico is on the brink of a historic election this weekend that will likely seat the country’s first woman president. The two women candidates, Claudia Sheinbaum and Xóchitl Gálvez are leading the third male candidate Jorge Álvarez Máynez in the race, with Sheinbaum polling as the frontrunner. They're all running campaigns focused on public safety, as murder rates and extortion from armed groups surge throughout the country.