Historical narratives shape economic ideas

This week the IEA published Imperial Measurement, a short new book by our own Kristian Niemietz, which asks whether – and to what extent – Britain and other Western powers benefited from colonialism. It is an easy and informative read, and I highly recommend it.


One curious aspect of the contemporary debate about the British Empire is that the ‘decolonisers’ of today sound a lot like the imperialists of old when it comes to economics – in the sense that they are convinced the empire brought huge and lasting economic benefits.


By contrast, classical liberals going back to Adam Smith and Richard Cobden have tended to oppose colonialism, both on moral grounds and because they recognise that while some private interests benefit enormously from imperial exploitation, colonising countries as a whole do not.


We are talking about concentrated benefits and diffuse costs here, an all-too-familiar story when it comes to the abuse of state power. And that’s to say nothing of the very real and lasting harm that the colonies themselves suffered.


Britain’s imperial past might seem an offbeat topic for an IEA publication. But as Hayek pointed out, people’s understanding of history is often central to their views on economics and political philosophy. So it is important that what Kristian calls ‘the Marx-Williams thesis’ – that our prosperity is built on exploitation rather than voluntary exchange – does not go unchallenged.


Many other historical misunderstandings have real-world policy implications. Milton Friedman’s greatest intellectual contribution was to show (with Anna Schwartz) that the Great Depression was less an indictment of capitalist excess, and more a story of disastrous monetary mismanagement. Yet the wrong lessons are still too frequently drawn.


The closer you get to the present day, moreover, the murkier things become. How should we understand the Global Financial Crisis and subsequent Great Recession? What impact has Brexit really had? And how should we think about the coronavirus pandemic and the extraordinary government responses to it?


These are debates that will rumble on for years and probably decades. What we can be sure of is that the dominant narratives that emerge – ‘both when they are right and when they are wrong’ – will have an outsized effect on the climate of economic ideas.

Colonialism and the slave trade were, at best, minor factors in Britain’s prosperity and may have been net lossmakers.

  • An increasingly prominent anti-capitalist narrative claims that empire and slavery are the basis of Britain’s wealth.

  • Colonial trade was a small proportion of Britain’s economy, and colonial profits can only have financed a modest share of Britain’s investment and capital formation (perhaps around 7%-15%). Most economic activity was domestic and international trade with Western Europe and North America.

  • Much of Britain’s trade with its colonies could still have happened absent the empire.

  • Slave-based sugar plantations added just under 2.5% to the value of the British economy at its peak, less than the share of sheep farming.

  • British imperialism came with significant military and administrative costs and necessitated higher taxes, which could have outweighed any benefits.

  • Business and Trade Secretary Kemi Badenoch says, ‘This clear-headed analysis from the IEA is a welcome counterweight to simplistic narratives that exaggerate the significance of empire and slavery to Britain’s economic development.’

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