Can Biden Turn Those Frowns Upside Down?

April 17, 2024

Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.

Americans Give Biden Catastrophically Low Approval Ratings on Economy, Immigration, Law and Order and More Yet his Numbers are Up?

Despite having upside-down approval ratings on virtually all key issues – including strong negative rankings on immigration, the economy, foreign policy, and crime – President Joe Biden is supposedly closing the gap against former President Donald Trump. A blistering new poll from the New York Times reveals that only a quarter of Americans believe the Biden years have been “mostly good” for the country while nearly twice as many (46%) say the past four years have been “mostly bad”. Americans give former President Trump higher marks on a variety of rankings, from the economy to immigration, and Biden is underwater by double digits on all major issue categories. However, the poll shows Trump’s lead over Biden narrowing compared to previous Times polls and indicates that Democrats are consolidating around Biden despite widespread belief that he is a poor choice. According to the poll, Trump and Biden are in a virtual tie, with Trump earning 46 percent of the vote to Biden’s 45 percent, a reversal from February polling when Trump lead Biden 48 percent to 43 percent. Americans are as frustrated as ever with Biden’s performance, and largely disapprove of his handling of key issues. Only a quarter of the country says the Biden years have been “mostly good” for Americans, while nearly twice that amount – 46 percent – say the Biden years have been “mostly bad”.

Another Debt is Too High Warning by Top Investment Fund Manager

But does anyone care, and what could they do anyway?

Judge James C. Ho: Remarks to the Midland County Bar Association

“On March 12, the Judicial Conference announced that certain litigants who want to prevent a federal or state law or policy from taking effect should be forced to litigate before a judge in a randomly chosen division—no matter how large the judicial district, and no matter how far away the randomly-chosen judge. The Judicial Conference isn't shy about why they're doing this. They're targeting single-judge divisions. Its announcement repeatedly mentions "single-judge divisions" as the purported evil they're trying to combat. Moreover, the Judicial Conference briefed a group of reporters on this new policy, and the extensive press coverage that resulted from that presentation makes clear that their focus is indeed single-judge divisions—especially those here in Texas.”

 

Americans Give Biden Catastrophically Low Approval Ratings on Economy, Immigration, Law and Order and More Yet his Numbers are Up?

6

By Manzanita Miller

Despite having upside-down approval ratings on virtually all key issues – including strong negative rankings on immigration, the economy, foreign policy, and crime – President Joe Biden is supposedly closing the gap against former President Donald Trump.

A blistering new poll from the New York Times reveals that only a quarter of Americans believe the Biden years have been “mostly good” for the country while nearly twice as many (46%) say the past four years have been “mostly bad”. 

Americans give former President Trump higher marks on a variety of rankings, from the economy to immigration, and Biden is underwater by double digits on all major issue categories. However, the poll shows Trump’s lead over Biden narrowing compared to previous Times polls and indicates that Democrats are consolidating around Biden despite widespread belief that he is a poor choice.

According to the poll, Trump and Biden are in a virtual tie, with Trump earning 46 percent of the vote to Biden’s 45 percent, a reversal from February polling when Trump lead Biden 48 percent to 43 percent.

Americans are as frustrated as ever with Biden’s performance, and largely disapprove of his handling of key issues. Only a quarter of the country says the Biden years have been “mostly good” for Americans, while nearly twice that amount – 46 percent – say the Biden years have been “mostly bad”. 

There is a strong difference between how voters feel the Biden years have been for the country and how voters reflect on the Trump years. Americans say by nine points – 42 percent to 33 percent – that the Trump years were mostly good for the country. This gives Trump a 17-point lead over Biden in terms of how voters view each president’s impact on the nation.

Swing voters reflect favorably on former President Trump’s impact on the country according to the poll. Hispanics say by eight percentage points – 41 percent to 33 percent – that the Trump years were mostly good. Independents say by twelve points – 43 percent to 31 percent – that the Trump years were mostly good. Millennials say by five points the Trump years were mostly good.

In comparison, all three groups believe the Biden years were mostly bad for the county. Hispanics say by a 19-point margin – 38 percent to 19 percent – that the Biden years were mostly bad, and Independents agree by a 29-point margin – 50 percent to 21 percent. Millennials say by a 2-point margin – 45 percent to 20 percent – that the Biden years were mostly bad.

While key groups of swing voters Biden won easily in 2020 remain highly skeptical of Biden’s impact on the nation, his numbers have nonetheless inched upward against Trump compared to polls taken earlier in the spring. As we noted recently, Biden has made accelerated gains among older voters, and we pointed out three reasons this could be.

On key issues, voters support Trump’s approach more than they oppose it. On the economy in particular, voters say by two to one margin – 64 percent to 33 percent – they approve of the way Trump handled the economy. On Trump’s handling of immigration, maintaining law and order, and foreign conflict, Trump also enjoys positive marks. 

When polled on how they view Biden’s handling of the same issues, the results are bleak. On the economy, Biden’s numbers are a mirror opposite of Trump’s. A full 63 percent of voters say they disapprove of how Biden has handled the economy, while just 34 percent approve.

Biden’s numbers are also upside down on all four key issues – immigration, foreign conflicts, the Supreme Court, and maintaining law and order. On immigration, Americans disapprove of Biden’s handling of the issue by thirty-two points – 64 percent to 32 percent. On foreign conflict, Americans disapprove by twenty-five points – 61 percent to 36 percent. On the Supreme Court Americans disapprove of Biden’s handling by fourteen points – 51 percent to 37 percent. And on maintaining law and order, Americans disapprove of Biden’s job by thirteen points – 55 percent to 42 percent.

Voters largely believe Trump left the country better off than when he took office and give him significantly higher rankings than Biden on major issues, so why is Biden allegedly closing the gap? The smear campaign against Trump is deep-rooted and unrelenting, and even if Americans view Biden as utterly incompetent, fighting the powerful interests that do not want to see a second Trump-term is not for the faint of heart. What is undeniable is that across a range of issues, Americans strongly favor the way Trump governed. Whether that will be the deciding factor in November is yet to be seen.

Manzanita Miller is an associate analyst at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.

To view online: https://dailytorch.com/2024/04/americans-give-biden-catastrophically-low-approval-ratings-on-economy-immigration-law-and-order-and-more-yet-his-numbers-are-up/

 

Another Debt is Too High Warning by Top Investment Fund Manager

But does anyone care, and what could they do anyway?

6

By Rick Manning

Ken Griffith, founder and 80 percent owner of the hedge fund Citadel LLC, warned his investors, “As we have cautioned over the past year, the surging U.S. public debt is a growing concern that cannot be overlooked.”

It seems these types of warnings happen over and over again, but is anyone listening?

The answer is both yes and no.

Most GOP members of Congress are acutely aware of the dangers of our nation’s fiscal path, but are trapped in a political vortex.

A significant number of House and Senate Republicans are in favor of increasing spending on national defense, citing the rising threats of China and Russia, along with the war on terrorism.  Democrats will agree to defense spending increases so long as they are accompanied by social spending increases, usually expansions of so-called mandatory spending eligibility requirements.

Overall, since 2014, federal government spending has increased from just over $3.5 trillion to $6.1 trillion while revenues have increased from just over $3 trillion to $4.4 trillion. 

The challenge is that the spending increases have largely been due to increased costs for so-called mandatory spending programs like Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and food stamps. 

To put an exclamation point on this problem, in 2023, if the federal government eliminated the entire discretionary budget – Defense, Education, Health and Human Services, Homeland Security and the rest – the total federal government revenues would just barely pay for the mandatory spending.

To those who claim that there is a shortage of revenues in this tax season, it is important to note that revenues have increased by almost 50 percent in the past decade, while spending has increased 57 percent in the same time period. These increases are why our annual federal deficit skyrocketed from almost $500 billion on 2014 to $1.7 trillion in 2023.

One example of how this spending has increased is shown in a Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) report that the numbers of people on Medicaid increased by 22 million from February 2020 to March 2023 largely due to COVID prohibitions on disenrollments.

Now that this direct spending on COVID is no longer a factor, state governments are combing the Medicaid rolls to remove people who are no longer eligible with KFF reporting that the number of people remaining on Medicaid has decreased by approximately nine million or just shy of 10 percent.

One lasting legacy of Obamacare is the increase in Medicaid enrollment eligibility to 300% of the poverty level, meaning a family of four making $93,600 is eligible for government assisted health care in the 36 out of the 50 states (Hawaii and Alaska have different poverty levels.) Currently twelve states have not increased the eligibility standards.

Congress could cut costs by reining in this Medicaid expansion by either limiting the congressionally mandated cost of living adjustments which create automatic spending increases exceeding the growth in revenues to meet those needs, or ratchet down federal government Medicaid payments to states by reducing the eligibility standard from 300 percent of poverty by ten percent a year for ten years leaving it up to states to determine if they wish to use their tax revenue to fully subsidize these largely middle class recipients.

One other obvious place where much easier cuts can be made is to enforce prohibitions on illegal aliens receiving social services benefits. A study by the Federation for American Immigration Reform found that at the beginning of 2023, illegal aliens cost federal, state and local governments $182 billion a year in social services costs while generating $32 billion in tax revenues – a net cost of $150 billion.

Given that our nation has allowed entry into the United States of a glut of new illegals over the past year, it can only be assumed that this cost has escalated accordingly.

While neither of these two areas will balance the budget, they do represent some obvious low-hanging fruit which Congress could and should tackle if they wish to make real headway on our federal government’s runaway spending.

If Congress is really serious about reducing the deficit, House committees should begin the process of evaluating the fiscal impact of making minor changes which over time will result in major savings. The longer they wait, the harder it gets, so they might as well start now, knowing full well that action will be delayed until 2025 at the earliest.

Rick Manning is the President of Americans for Limited Government.

To view online: https://dailytorch.com/2024/04/another-debt-is-too-high-warning-by-top-investment-fund-manager/

 

Judge James C. Ho: Remarks to the Midland County Bar Association

Thank you, Judge Counts, for the kind introduction.  I'm honored to follow in the footsteps of your previous keynote speakers—including Judge Counts and Judge Junell—past and present members of my court, like Chief Judge Richman and Judge Prado—as well as distinguished judges from our state court system.

Gatherings like this recognize the modest but important role that the judiciary plays in resolving our Nation's disputes.

Here in Midland, a single federal district judge has the solemn duty to resolve all of the disputes that arise under Article III of the Constitution.  Judge Counts has spent his entire life serving his country and his community—the United States Army, the Texas Army National Guard, a state and federal prosecutor, and fifteen years on the federal bench.

The people of Midland can take comfort that their rights are protected by such a devoted and publicly spirited member of their community.

I.

But lately, some critics of the judiciary have chosen to bemoan, rather than celebrate, the fact that many Americans across the country are served by a single, local federal district judge.

Single-judge divisions have recently come under sharp attack from certain political quarters.  And now, the Judicial Conference of the United States has decided to credit these political attacks.

On March 12, the Judicial Conference announced that certain litigants who want to prevent a federal or state law or policy from taking effect should be forced to litigate before a judge in a randomly chosen division—no matter how large the judicial district, and no matter how far away the randomly-chosen judge.

The Judicial Conference isn't shy about why they're doing this.  They're targeting single-judge divisions.  Its announcement repeatedly mentions "single-judge divisions" as the purported evil they're trying to combat.

Moreover, the Judicial Conference briefed a group of reporters on this new policy, and the extensive press coverage that resulted from that presentation makes clear that their focus is indeed single-judge divisions—especially those here in Texas.

Consider how this proposal would operate in practice.  Whether this new policy will affect you, and your ability to protect your constitutional rights, depends dramatically on where you live.

If you live in one of our biggest cities—in Dallas or Houston—nothing should change:  You'll likely still appear before a judge who lives in your community.

But if you live somewhere else, you'll likely be forced to appear before a judge who lives far away.  In big states like Texas, we're talking about hundreds of miles away.

Just look at how this proposal would affect people in Midland.  There are 18 federal district judges across the Western District of Texas.  The majority of those judges live elsewhere, in places like Austin, San Antonio, and El Paso—hundreds of miles away from Midland.

So if the Judicial Conference proposal is adopted, a citizen of Midland who seeks relief will likely be forced to litigate before a judge who lives hundreds of miles away.

The same is true with the single-judge division in Amarillo—the division that has received the sharpest political criticism.  Under this proposal, citizens in the Panhandle will more likely than not be forced to litigate their rights before a federal judge 400 miles away in Dallas.

II.

We shouldn't impose greater burdens or different rules on Americans, just because they live outside our Nation's largest urban centers.  The Constitution protects every citizen—not just those who live in big cities.

So I'm not surprised that the Judicial Conference proposal was immediately met with a firestorm of opposition—not just from federal judges, but also from leading members of the United States Senate, as well as prominent members of the legal academy.

I was one of those early voices of opposition within the judiciary.  And with your indulgence, I'll spend a few minutes tonight explaining why I continue to oppose the Judicial Conference proposal.

To read the entire speech click here: https://reason.com/volokh/2024/04/15/judge-james-c-hos-remarks-to-the-midland-county-bar-association/

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