From Jeff Jackson <[email protected]>
Subject 10,000 artillery shells per day
Date April 12, 2024 4:45 PM
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John,

I’m on the Armed Services Committee and this week we met with the four-star General in charge of U.S. forces in Europe.

Most of our conversation was about Ukraine. Here are the highlights from the unclassified portion.

He began by emphasizing that our allies in Europe are doing a lot to help, specifically mentioning that the vast majority of tanks and military fuel for Ukraine has come from European allies.

However, he told us there are two specific areas where America’s contributions are critical: artillery shells and air defense interceptors.

Ukraine has begun strictly rationing their use of artillery. Russia is now firing roughly 10,000 rounds of artillery per day, which is 5x more than Ukraine. According to the General, Russia will be firing 10x more than Ukraine within a few weeks unless there is further aid.

That would be a potential game-changer that could break the stalemate and allow Russia to punch through Ukrainian defenses, but there’s an even bigger risk: running out of interceptors.

Our heavy supply of interceptors to Ukraine has prevented Russia from obtaining air superiority. In short, Russian fighter jets can’t get close to Ukraine or they’ll be shot down. That has kept the war on the ground, which has allowed Ukraine to take advantage of defensive fortifications and shorter supply lines. Once those interceptors are gone, it brings the Russian air force into the war in a way it simply hasn’t been until now, and the combined effect with a 10x artillery advantage could be decisive.

Those interceptors are also used to take down incoming Russian missiles, but Ukraine has so few interceptors left that it now has to allow many of those missile attacks to hit their targets. Russia knows this and has stepped up their attacks on the electric grid, landing some major hits last week.

Every few days, Russia launches a major attack. It appears that their attack rhythm matches their artillery shell production rhythm - as soon as they have enough shells for an attack, they let loose, then wait until they’ve made enough shells to attack again. But they are also clearly preparing for a major summer offensive.

There were some skeptical questions from some committee members about spending more money to help Ukraine defend itself. The General made the point that the vast majority of the funds allotted for Ukraine are being spent in the United States. The American inventory purchased by Ukraine is typically then replaced with newly-manufactured inventory. In that way, we have used our support of Ukraine to modernize some aspects of our own military.

There were also some skeptical questions about the accountability for the weapons we’re selling to Ukraine, so the General walked us through the supply chain: Ukraine makes a selection of military hardware and we approve their purchase. Then we ship the hardware to Poland, where it is received and accounted for by American soldiers who are stationed there. At that point, it is transferred to Ukrainians. Most of the hardware has barcodes and the Ukrainians have scanners that allow us to maintain some oversight into where those weapons are. The General admitted that we don’t have perfect oversight once the weapons get to the frontlines, but given that we’re talking about an active war zone, that’s to be expected.

Finally, there was a discussion about what “winning” looks like. That was a little tough. For the General’s part, he was pretty clear that he doesn’t see the total eviction of Russia from all Ukrainian territory as realistic at this point. He described a successful involvement by the U.S. and our allies as making sure that Ukraine remained “sovereign and independent” - which is another way of saying, “not conquered by Russia.”

Last week, I gave you a sense of the politics of this issue. In short, the Speaker supports further Ukrainian aid but is trying to find a way to call it for a vote without enraging his right-flank to the point of being fired. The big question is whether he'll call a vote on the Ukraine bill that already passed the Senate or try to cobble together his own version to appease his right-flank. We’ve essentially been waiting on that decision from him for the last several months.

“Well Jeff, are we going to see it next week?”

Not sure. Right now, here’s what we’re scheduled to vote on next week (and this is true):

*
H.R.
6192

Hands
Off
Our
Home
Appliances
Act
*
*
H.R.
7673

Liberty
in
Laundry
Act
*
*
H.R.
7645

Clothes
Dryers
Reliability
Act
*
*
H.R.
7637

Refrigerator
Freedom
Act
*
*
H.R.
7626

Affordable
Air
Conditioning
Act
*
*
H.R.
7700

Stop
Unaffordable
Dishwasher
Standards
Act

You might look at that list and see a handful of message bills designed to inflame a narrative about the over-regulation of kitchen appliances. I see it differently. I see those bills as the Speaker trying to give his right-flank everything he can think of before calling a vote on Ukraine. He’s basically giving them a nickel’s worth of goodwill before asking them for a dollar, but I guess he figures it’s worth a shot. And if it gets us a vote on Ukraine, then sure, go for it.

A.I. Jeff - part two

Naturally, the short anecdote I threw into my last email - almost as an after-thought - was the part everyone responded to, to the point where reporters called and wanted to talk about it.

For those who missed that one [[link removed]] , I included a story about how I have to make a lot of phone calls as a candidate and - more and more - people don’t believe I’m a real person. They think I’m A.I.

This culminated in a woman who recently refused to believe it was me, despite my assurance that I was a real person.

Many of you replied, reasonably, to the effect of, “Hey Jeff, that’s a problem we’re all worried about, and since you’re in Congress you should do something about it.”

Fair enough. Here’s the latest on that front.

Since ChatGPT hit the scene early last year, several dozen bills have been filed to address various aspects of A.I.

Some take a broad view and try to regulate A.I. in general ways and some try to tackle very specific concerns like the threat of A.I. to musicians, or banning A.I. from being able to fire people (the “No Robot Bosses Act”), or even empowering A.I. to prescribe drugs.

And then there’s a whole separate category of bills trying to protect us from the threat of deepfakes and A.I. forgeries.

By my count, at least eight of those bills have been filed just in the last six months. Some of them are specific to elections and some are specific to robocalls and telemarketers.

A few thoughts on all these A.I. bills:

1.
The
bills
have
gotten
smarter
over
the
last
year.
The
ones
being
offered
now
are
more
sophisticated
than
the
bills
we
saw
in
the
initial
reaction
to
ChatGPT.
Legislators
are
climbing
a
learning
curve.
2.
3.
This
issue
is
still
largely
bipartisan.
I’m
looking
at
who
is
filing
these
bills
and
how
they’re
written
and
there
don’t
seem
to
be
many
big
partisan
divisions
here
-
yet.
4.
5.
My
sense
is
that
none
of
these
bills
will
pass
anytime
soon
-
but
then
again,
they
weren’t
really
meant
to.
There’s
a
bipartisan
working
group
that
says
it’s
going
to
debut
a
bunch
of
recommendations
in
about
a
month
and
most
of
these
current
bills
exist
to
be
ideas
for
leadership
to
consider
when
crafting
the
actual
A.I.
package
that
we
hope
is
coming.

Right now, my biggest hope is we can at least pass something to protect the upcoming election from deepfakes. It’s not unrealistic to think that - in a country full of 1% races - an election could be decided based on an A.I. forgery this year.

Campaign Update

This email is long enough already, so I’ll just say that you folks came through in a huge way last week.

I told you that a lot of my schedule comes down to how much support we receive from these emails, and that more support here means I can spend less time fundraising. The message resonated with a lot of you, and it completely opened up what I was able to focus on this week.

If you could help me keep my focus where it needs to be, I’d really appreciate it. You can contribute here [[link removed]] (ActBlue) and here [[link removed]] (non-ActBlue). Both fund our campaign directly, which I sincerely appreciate.

If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your donation will go through immediately:

CHIP IN $10 NOW [[link removed]]
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Best,

Jeff

P.S. - Marisa and I brought Owen and Avery to D.C. for a quick trip over Spring Break. They loved it.

Some pictures:

Spring break pictures of Owen and Avery [[link removed]]

More spring break pictures of Jeff, Owen, and Avery [[link removed]]
Paid for by Jeff Jackson for Attorney General
Jeff Jackson for Attorney General
P.O. Box 470882
Charlotte, NC 28226
United States
www.jeffjacksonnc.com [[link removed]] | [email protected] [[email protected]]
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