WG Discussion Points: Where Is The Most
Potential For Crossover Vote?
WG Discussion Points| David Winston
March 22, 2024
Crossover vote has played a role in the outcome of Congressional races in 2020 and 2022. In 2020, Senator Susan Collins won 18% of Biden voters in her state of Maine that voted for President Biden by 9 points. In 2022, crossover vote cost Republicans the Senate in states like NH and GA. In New Hampshire, 21% of GOP Governor Chris Sununu's voters voted for the Senate Democratic incumbent Maggie Hassan over Republican Don Bolduc. In Georgia, Herschel Walker underperformed other statewide races such as the Agriculture Commissioner and State School Superintendent. With the two presidential frontrunners having negative brand images, we may see significant crossover vote behavior again in down-ballot races. In our latest survey for Winn the Issues (February 24-25), we explored vote behavior to see where the greatest potential for crossover vote may be this year, and to what extent independents demonstrate partisan voting behavior.