WG Economy

For this week's WG Economy, we are sending David's latest Roll Call column out today: Bidens "historic" results aren't what he thinks. The column takes a look at the Biden Administration's economic results as the White House tries to make its case going into the re-election campaign:

Biden's 'historic' results aren't what he thinks

Americans know their paychecks simply don't buy what they used to

Roll Call Opinion | David Winston

March 20, 2024

As President Joe Biden heads west this week, with stops in battleground states Arizona and Nevada, it appears that he will once again be singing from a repertoire that the majority of voters don't believe and don't want to hear. In fact, they've already changed the channel.

In this space last week, we tackled the credibility of Biden's reelection messaging with voters. It wasn't pretty. But the Biden team seems to be sticking to the idea that the key to winning the economic narrative is just a matter of getting the electorate to understand how well the economy is actually doing. The president and Democrats have used a variety of economic messages that survey data shows are simply not believable to a growing share of an increasingly impatient electorate.



WG Discussion Points: Biden's State Of The Union

Was Beyond Belief

WG Discussion Points| David Winston

March 15, 2024

As we have raised in previous Discussion Points, we place a great deal of importance on believability of messaging. If a message is not believable, it will not have standing with voters, and this is why much of the current political messaging on both sides falls flat. The White House seem perplexed as to why President Biden's economic arguments have not moved voters, but as our previous work has found, voters do not believe many of the statements. We recently tested a Biden campaign ad and found that over a third of the electorate did not believe any of its statements, with the ad having no impact on moving voters. In the same way, many statements from last week's State of the Union address were based on concepts that voters do not believe. The chart below takes four statements from the SOTU and matches them up to prior statements made by the President or the White House. We tested these in the February 24-25 Winning the Issues survey to see if voters did or did not believe them.

Yesterday, Chairman Avella joined Fox News Channel's Shannon Bream, and Democratic Strategist Richard Fowler on the Faulkner Focus to talk about President Biden who has begun to take aim at President Trump as we ramp up to November's Presidential election.

Watch it here:

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