Feb. 12, 2024
Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.
If Nikki Haley cannot win her home state of South Carolina, she cannot win
By Robert Romano
Former South Carolina Republican Gov. Nikki Haley’s aspirations against former President Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination appear to all come down to the state of South Carolina in the Feb. 24 GOP primary there, with Trump heavily favored to win after easily sweeping Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada.
Since the primary’s inception in 1980, South Carolina has correctly picked the eventual nominee in the Republican primary nine out of ten times, with 2012 being the lone exception where Newt Gingrich won the state but lost the nomination to Mitt Romney, who had won in New Hampshire that year.
In fact, no Republican has ever come back to win the nomination after losing Iowa and New Hampshire, although Democrats Bill Clinton and Joe Biden managed to pull it off in 1992 and 2020, respectively, with wins in South Carolina. That is the glimmer of hope that remains for the Haley campaign.
To her advantage, South Carolina is her home state, and so a favored daughter campaign win could potentially emerge, as it did for favored son wins for Ronald Reagan in California in 1968 in the Republican nominating contest or Tom Harkin in Iowa in 1992 or John Edwards in South Carolina in 2004 for the Democrats, although in none of those cases did those wins help the candidate to secure their party’s nominations.
Haley’s advantage, if she has any, is that her home state happens to be a state known for picking winners on the Republican side, and that two presidents, albeit on the Democratic side, managed to pull comeback victories with wins there. And so, if she were to win in South Carolina, she could at least justify pressing onward.
On the other hand, no Republican has ever swept the primaries in modern history in a competitive primary, as Trump appears poised to do. Nor has any Republican in modern history ever won the GOP nomination after losing Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina consecutively, as Haley may be on the brink of.
In other words, if Nikki Haley cannot win her home state of South Carolina against former President Donald Trump, she cannot win. A loss for Haley in South Carolina would be devastating to her campaign, and likely lead for further calls for her to drop out and throw her support behind Trump.
After Trump locked up New Hampshire on Jan. 23, Americans for Limited Government President Rick Manning endorsed Trump and urged Haley to get out of the race: “It is time for former Governor Nikki Haley to end her campaign in order that the focus can turn to defeating Joe Biden and his attempt to finish the fundamental transformation of America promised by Barack Obama.”
So far, though, the polls do not look great for Haley, with Trump averaging 60 percent support in the South Carolina primary according to RealClearPolling.com, with Haley averaging just 29.3 percent.
Trump remains extremely popular there, and owes his win for the GOP nomination in 2016 over Ted Cruz to back-to-back wins in New Hampshire and South Carolina. After that, there was very little hope for Cruz to come back even as the contest persisted. But Cruz had at least won Iowa, and ended up winning a respectable 11 states overall including a favored son win in Texas.
Haley on the other hand, might not win any states at all, with Trump also leading the March 5 Super Tuesday states of Alabama, California, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia with massive leads, according to a Jan. 23 to Feb. 4 Morning Consult poll, leading by more than 50 points on average.
And then the states after that look even worse for Haley, with supermajorities in the Morning Consult in every state: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The outcome of the polls led Morning Consult lead U.S. politics analyst Cameron Easley to comment “The wealthy Republican donors who continue to bankroll Haley’s campaign appear to be just as well off setting their cash on fire. The only thing left to do in this race is count the votes…”
That might be true. Meaning, Trump could be on the verge of locking up the Republican presidential nomination in record fashion by sweeping the primaries, and after the Feb. 24 South Carolina primary, for Nikki Haley, all bets could be off.
Robert Romano is the Vice President of Public Policy at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.
To view online: https://dailytorch.com/2024/02/if-nikki-haley-cannot-win-her-home-state-of-south-carolina-she-cannot-win/
Video: Biden Has Worst Day Yet
86 percent in an Ipsos poll say President Joe Biden is too old to run for reelection.
To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztRnR-m3vPw
Mark Tapscott: Here’s Why the Senate Border Security Bill Was ‘Dead on Arrival’
By Mark Tapscott
On Feb. 6, Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-La.) said that a border security bill created by a bipartisan group of senators was “dead on arrival.”
When Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.) announced on Feb. 4 that he and two colleagues had agreed on a comprehensive border security bill, he lauded it as a “once-in-a-lifetime opportunity” to stop the flood of illegal immigrants entering the United States that began in 2021 at the beginning of President Joe Biden’s term.
Mr. Lankford said he thought that he, Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.)—after four months of arduous closed-door negotiations—had done something that recalled the great compromises that once defined the Senate, pleasing conservatives and liberals alike.
But two days later, Mr. Johnson said the bill was even “worse than expected.”
Going by their comments, it was as if the Sooner State’s senior senator and Mr. Johnson were reading two entirely different bills.
San Diego Supervisor Urges US Senate to ‘Fix the Chaos’ at Border Amid Record Illegal Immigrant Surge
“The border security bill will put a huge number of new enforcement tools in the hands of a future administration and push the current administration to finally stop the illegal flow,“ Mr. Lankford said. ”The bill provides funding to build the wall, increase technology at the border, and add more detention beds, more agents, and more deportation flights.”
He said the bill “ends the abuse of parole ... that has waived in over a million people.”
“It dramatically changes our ambiguous asylum laws by conducting fast screenings at a higher standard of evidence, limited appeals, and fast deportation,” he said.
“New bars to asylum eligibility will stop the criminal cartels from exploiting our currently weak immigration laws. The bill also has new emergency authorities to shut down the border when the border is overrun, new hiring authorities to quickly increase officers, and new hearing authorities to quickly apply consequences for illegal crossings. It changes our border from catch-and-release to detain and deport.”
Stating that immigration laws have been weak for years, Mr. Lankford called the bill “a once-in-a-generation opportunity to close our open border and give future administrations the effective tools they need to stop the border chaos and protect our nation.”
But the ink had hardly dried on Mr. Lankford’s statement when Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) and other conservatives in both chambers of Congress and in the advocacy community insisted that the proposal would do nothing of the sort.
Mr. Lee said the bill contained a “dirty dozen” fatal flaws. The most serious “codifies catch-and-release,” the process whereby an illegal immigrant is detained and interviewed by U.S. immigration officials, given a date to appear in immigration court, and then released into the country.
Former President Donald Trump effectively ended catch-and-release when he implemented the Remain in Mexico program, requiring illegal immigrants to wait in Mexico until their immigration cases had been adjudicated. President Biden halted the program the day he took office in 2021.
Pointing to the bill’s Section 235B, Mr. Lee explained that catch-and-release would be codified because the bill gives the Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) “unchecked authority to release an alien into the United States under ineffective ‘alternatives to detention.’”
The second flaw highlighted by Mr. Lee involves the authority of the Secretary of Homeland Security and the president.
“The Secretary of Homeland Security is only required to shut down the border if there are 5,000 average illegal crossings over a consecutive seven-day period or 8,500 in a single day,” Mr. Lee said.
A caveat to that is that the president can “reopen the border any time it is in the ‘national interest to temporarily suspend the border emergency authority’ for up to 45 days.”
Further, the bill “creates a dangerous expansion of parole by saying it can now be granted for anyone the DHS secretary determines has an ‘urgent humanitarian reason,’” Mr. Lee said. The bill doesn’t require the DHS secretary or president to deport anyone.
The bill allows illegal immigrants to be given work permits as soon as they pass an initial screening by immigration authorities.
The number of available green cards is increased by 50,000 annually under the new bill.
The bill also includes a budgeting gimmick whereby $650 million of the funding for continuing to build the border wall begun by President Trump is rescinded, then restored in 2028. Not a single foot of new wall would be built as a result.
House Freedom Caucus Chairman Rep. Bob Good (R-Va.) enumerated to The Epoch Times a similar list of deal-killers in the bill.
“The Biden border invasion has turned every town into a border town, with thousands of illegal aliens pouring across the border every single day,” he said.
“[The bill] gives $1.4 billion to NGOs to pay for travel, shelter, and food to facilitate the invasion. Democrat mayors and governors in blue states will force taxpayers to foot the bill.”
Jessica Vaughan, policy director for the Center for Immigration Studies, told The Epoch Times: “This bill does not end the catch-and-release policies for illegal migrants; it codifies it. Not only that, it creates a new asylum process to result in faster issuance of work permits and faster approvals for asylum-based green cards.
“And it actually increases chain migration and employment green cards by 50,000 a year for five years—as if we haven’t had enough immigration. It effectively permits a president to wave in as many as 5,000 illegal border crossers every day, and it mandates that the government allow another 1,400 to be waved in every day at the legal entry points. It preserves the parole program for visa-less Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, and Venezuelans, which is an audacious abuse of executive authority.”
Richard Manning, president of Americans for Limited Government, praised Mr. Johnson for his decisive response to the bill.
“As soon as members of Congress realized that the bill locked in unacceptably high illegal immigration rates while tying the hands of President Trump to fix the problem in 2025, the bill was dead,” he told The Epoch Times.
“Speaker Johnson deserves a great deal of credit in killing it due to his leadership in pushing a border solution which actually addresses the problem, and clearly declaring the Senate legislation dead in the water in the House.”
Mr. Lankford aggressively pushed back on such criticisms during a Feb. 5 appearance on Fox News’ “Fox and Friends,” insisting that the border security bill would ultimately reverse the current situation.
“This authority is a 5,000 authority to say, if you get to 5,000 [illegals crossing into the U.S.], which we’ve been there every single day except for seven in the last four months, that it completely closes the border down. It deports everyone. It changes the paradigm from right now what the Biden administration is doing is catching and releasing everyone to actually catching and deporting everyone. It literally flips the script on it,” Mr. Lankford said.
He didn’t mention the caveat by which the president can override that requirement.
Mr. Lankford’s pleas were to no avail, and on Feb. 7, a motion to end debate on the proposal fell 11 votes short of the needed 60 votes, thus, at least for the moment, killing the border bill. Several Democrats joined Republicans in killing the motion.
Senate Budget Committee Chairman Patty Murray (D-Wash.), like many of her Democratic colleagues in both chambers, accused Senate Republicans who opposed the bill of doing so because President Trump told them to do so.
“Republicans went from ‘we demand border policy changes’ to ’no policy is needed,‘” Ms. Murray said. “They went from ’we need time to look at this bill‘ to ’dead-on-arrival‘ in less than 24 hours. They went from ’the border is a crisis right now’ to ‘it can wait till November’ in the blink of an eye ... Donald Trump ordered Republicans to kill the bipartisan border bill.”
Similarly, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) said after the vote: “Donald Trump wants chaos. Donald Trump does not want success at the border.”
Mr. Lee responded to the Democrats’ charge, telling The Epoch Times: “Since December, the entire Senate Republican Conference has demanded real border security for America before sending another penny to Ukraine.
“After weeks of secret negotiations, we were handed a bill that not only fails to secure our border but would make the crisis of illegal immigration even worse.”
The Utah Republican said, “We oppose this fake deal because it is lousy policy, and our Democratic colleagues are simply mad that we didn’t fall for it.”
The reality facing both parties, according to GOP campaign strategist Jimmy Keady, is that Americans want the border fixed now, not later.
“Immigration is the topic of conversation at dinner tables across this country. Many see this legislation as not going far enough and one that prolongs the problem,” Mr. Keady told The Epoch Times.
“We are hearing this in races across the country up and down the ballot. Americans want solutions and they want accountability. Immigration is going to be the issue to campaign on this cycle, and any legislation that does not immediately address the problem is going to be tough to pass through.”
To view online: https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/heres-why-the-senate-border-security-bill-was-dead-on-arrival-5582523
Special Counsel report on Biden should scare everyone
Once again, Justice Department seeks to pick winners and losers in American elections
Feb. 9, 2024, Fairfax, Va.—Americans for Limited Government President Rick Manning today issued the following statement in response to Special Counsel Robert Hur’s report on President Joe Biden:
“The most disturbing element of Special Counsel Robert Hur’s report on President Joe Biden was not that the Biden could not be prosecuted as a sitting president. That was to be expected based on Justice Department Office of Legal Counsel opinions from 2000 and 1973. It is that once again the Department of Justice is using prosecutorial powers and pronouncements to put its thumb on the scale of a presidential election, in this case by trying to push Biden out. The Biden special counsel report opining on the President’s mental capacity can be viewed as the equivalent of a prosecutorial death sentence to Biden’s presidential campaign. No one elected Hur, the Special Counsel, to do politics and this ongoing weaponization of the Department of Justice to pick nominees, candidates and eventual winners in our election system is frightening. Republicans and Democrats alike should join together to end the special counsel regulations to prevent future anonymous bureaucrats from playing major roles in determining who gets elected and who doesn’t in what is supposed to be a free and fair election.
“It absolutely understandable why in the face of the two-tiered justice system and eight years of the Justice Department’s abuse of Donald Trump that many Republicans are celebrating Hur’s pronouncement of Biden’s unfitness for office. But the real challenge facing our nation is that unelected bureaucrats are using their positions of trust to influence elections. Just as it’s inexcusable that Special Counsel Hur made his pronouncement on Biden, so too must Special Counsel Jack Smith’s tenure as Special Counsel also be ended. The mutually assured destruction against both parties engendered by the Justice Department and other intelligence agencies does grave damage to our nation’s belief that our electoral system is based on the consent of the governed.”
To view online: https://getliberty.org/2024/02/special-counsel-report-on-biden-should-scare-everyone/