To view this email as a web page, click here

.
AEI's weekly digest of top commentary and scholarship on the issues that matter most

Assessing the Risks

How Primed for War Is China?

February 10, 2024

The likelihood of war with China may be the single-most important question in international affairs today. Michael Beckley and Hal Brands survey the factors, from history to military strength, that suggest the risk of conflict is alarmingly high.

 

 

For most of the past 40 years, conservative education reform has failed to be principled, disciplined, or coherent. Frederick M. Hess and Michael Q. McShane put forward a new vision of education reform that can take on technocratic dictates and woke dogma without repeating the mistakes of the past.

 

The framers of the Constitution intended for Congress to be the preeminent branch of the federal government; today’s Congress, however, is largely overawed by the presidency. Jay Cost introduces the factors behind this legislative degeneration in the first of a multi-report series.

 

In the next federal elections in 2025, Conservatives in Canada are set to win power for the first time in over a decade. In a new AEI report, Colin Dueck examines the Canadian political landscape and identifies pressing issues in US-Canadian relations.

 

Immigration has become one of the key issues defining the upcoming election as Congress and the presidency struggle to address the border crisis. James Pethokoukis marshals economic data on immigration that these debates often overlook.

Has Intergenerational Progress Stalled? Income Growth over Five Generations of Americans

Americans today have decreasing confidence that future generations will have better lives than their parents. But do these perceptions of economic well-being match reality? In a new AEI Economics Working Paper, Kevin Corinth and Jeff Larrimore investigate Americans’ income growth across five generations, from the Lost Generation to Generation Z. Using a posttax, post-transfer income measure derived from the Current Population Survey, the authors find that each of the past four generations have been better off than the previous, with millennials ages 36–40 having 18 percent higher median household income than their parents did. While Corinth and Larrimore’s analysis suggests that intergenerational income growth has slowed, this is largely a product of stalled growth in working hours. As a result, this research demonstrates that intergenerational real market income growth remains robust.

 

 

More from AEI
RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

Where Are Biden’s Pen and Phone?

Matthew Continetti
Washington Free Beacon

Research by a Top Biden Administration Economist Reinforces the Importance of Work Incentives

Scott Winship
COSM Commentary

The Likely Consequences of Raising the Retirement Age in Social Security

Mark J. Warshawsky
AEIdeas

Give Marines the Seagoing Tools They Need to Pack a Punch

Mackenie Eaglen
Defense & Aerospace Report

In Medicine, Center Excellence Not Identity

Sally Satel
Unsafe Science

PODCASTS AND VIDEOS

What Is Wrong with the UN Relief and Works Agency? Jonathan Schanzer Explains.

Marc A. Thiessen, Danielle Pletka, and Jonathan Schanzer
What the Hell Is Going On?

What Is Legislative Effectiveness?

Kevin R. Kosar and Craig Volden
Understanding Congress

How Redistricting and Recounts Affect Election Administration

John C. Fortier, Donald Palmer, and E. Mark Braden
The Voting Booth

Chris Sinacola on the Decline of Civics Education in American Schools

Naomi Schaefer Riley, Ian Rowe, and Chris Sinacola
Are You Kidding Me?

Achieving Moldovan Security

Dalibor Rohac et al.
The Eastern Front

QUOTE OF THE WEEK

The notion that scientists should agree with a consensus is contrary to how science advances—scientists challenge each other, ask difficult questions and explore paths untaken. Expectations of conformance to a consensus undercuts scientific inquiry. It also lends itself to the weaponization of consensus to delegitimize or deplatform inconvenient views, particularly in highly politicized settings.

Roger Pielke Jr.