“West Virginia was always considered a top pick-up for Republicans in 2024, and with Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin announcing late last year that he was not running for reelection, he's even more likely to be replaced by a Republican. Gov. Jim Justice and Rep. Alex Mooney of the state's 2nd Congressional District are currently vying for the Republican nomination. Although Justice may be the frontrunner, internal memos shared exclusively with Townhall show that Mooney's chances improve once West Virginia voters learn more about him, and Justice.

Last month, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a survey that included 500 likely Republican Primary voters in West Virginia, also providing an accompanying memo, which notes there is hope for him with room for improvement.

Even though Jim Justice currently leads the race, there is a clear pathway to victory for Alex Mooney. GOP Primary voters like Justice, but they don’t love him – he is a generic Republican Governor in a Republican state. Once we are able to introduce Alex to voters and they learn about Justice’s troubling record, the race polarizes, and Alex takes the lead," the memo notes. "While Justice has received the Trump endorsement, Mooney’s 100% record of supporting President Trump gives him a 45%-37% lead in this matchup.”

The memo notes that voters are less likely to support Justice when they hear of "troubling aspects of Justice's record," such as his "support for special rights for transgenders," as well as "siding with [President Joe] Biden on his massive multi-trillion dollar spending package" and "Justice not paying his bills and failing to pay his employees."

Another memo especially touched upon financial concerns for Justice, which have involved legal battles in some cases. In addition to last week's coverage from the Wall Street Journal cited above, there's also coverage from Axios on May 31, 2023 noting "DOJ sues West Virginia governor's coal empire over unpaid federal penalties." The West Virginia Metro News reported on May 28, 2023 that "Order calls for garnishing governor’s wages, and Auditor’s Office says it will comply as it would for anybody."

"Our new data shows that after voters learn of Jim Justice’s terrible record, we are winning 46%-42%. The undecideds also are likely to break our way, and as long as we have the resources to educate Republican primary voters about the real liberal Jim Justice, we would expect a roughly six-point victory,"

While Justice may have a polling advantage, the memo highlights Mooney's strengths with fundraising, including how Mooney has around $1.8 million for the fourth quarter.

Mooney has also earned the endorsements of a wide range of organizations and Republicans at the state and federal level, including the Club for Growth, Senate Conservatives Fund, Citizens United, American Conservative Union, and Gun Owners of America.

Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas, Mike Lee of Utah, Rand Paul of Kentucky, and Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio have also endorsed Mooney, in addition to one-third of the Republican House of Delegate members in West Virginia. 


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