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** Will “Deaths of Despair” Outpace Deaths From Coronavirus? ([link removed])
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By Toby Rogers, Ph.D., Guest Contributor
By most accounts, modeling of the coronavirus epidemic by researchers at Imperial College London convinced the Trump administration to call for extreme social distancing in order to “flatten the [growth] curve” of the coronavirus epidemic. This modeling also became the basis for the 100-page “U.S. Government COVID-19 Response Plan.”
The Imperial College London model is woefully inadequate. It does not model increased use of personal protective equipment in the general public such as face masks. It does not model medical interventions that have shown promise in reducing fatalities. And it does not take into account “deaths of despair” from a sharp rise in unemployment that will be triggered by sheltering in place for weeks, months, or even years.
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