Putin's succession plan, lessons from the War on Terror, and more.
Weekend Reads
January 20, 2024
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The Grim Reaper and the Whipping Boy: Why the Patrushevs Won’t Run the Kremlin
by Chris Monday & Andrew Kuchins
Despite his fearsome reputation as Putin’s top enforcer, Nikolai Patrushev’s and his son’s personal power base is too shallow to survive the potential death of the president. Read it here.
The Battle for Aid to Ukraine Is Just Getting Started
by Jacob Heilbrunn
House Speaker Mike Johnson, who is in close contact with Trump, seems averse to bringing up a Ukraine aid bill. But Joe Biden and Mitch McConnell are bringing on the pressure. Read it here.
Yoon’s Big Plans for South Korea Are Coming to Fruition
by Daniel Sneider
Nearly two years into the presidency of Yoon Suk-yeol, South Korea has made a geopolitical pivot of potentially historic proportions. Read it here.
What Netanyahu Can Learn from the War on Terror
by Ivan Eland
The War on Terror exemplified how a state’s overreaction to an attack can cause more harm than good. Is Israel on the same path? Read it here.
EVENT: Should Washington Talk to Moscow Now?
Tuesday, January 23 @ 4:00 PM ET
As Russia’s war in Ukraine enters its third year, the threat of a protracted stalemate looms large. With Ukraine’s summer offensive stalled, Russia’s forces digging in, and the West wavering on financial and military aid, the Biden administration now faces difficult choices. Should Washington pursue peace negotiations with Moscow now, or would such efforts be premature and counterproductive?
The Center for the National Interest invites you to a virtual debate on this important question featuring two leading Eurasia experts: Anatol Lieven (in favor) and Andrew Kuchins (against.)
—Anatol Lieven is Director of the Eurasia Program at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. He was formerly a professor at Georgetown University in Qatar and in the War Studies Department of King’s College London.
—Andrew Kuchins is a Senior Fellow at the Center for the National Interest. He recently served as the President of the American University of Central Asia in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. Previously, he was Director of the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (2007-2015) and at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (2000-2003, 2006), where he also directed the Carnegie Moscow Center (2003-2005).
Jacob Heilbrunn, the editor of The National Interest, will moderate.