From Ben Stead Lewis <[email protected]>
Subject Happy New Election-Year!
Date January 13, 2024 8:17 AM
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Dear John,



Firstly, Happy New Year! I hope you had a nice break over the festive period. 



I’m pleased to bring you the first Weekend Wire of 2024, and it’s fair to say we’ve got a bumper edition for you this week. 



You may also notice there’s a new section in this week’s edition that we’re calling the ‘Cringe Column’ to document the unmissable car-crash broadcast interviews of the week. As its existence is entirely conditional on the Government continuing to both do, and say ridiculous things, we’re relatively confident that this will be a permanent feature.



Post Office Pain







The fallout of the Horizon scandal continues to dominate the headlines this week. Since the broadcast of the ITV drama Mr Bates vs The Post Office, there has been a huge public outcry over the wrongful convictions by the Post Office between 1999 and 2015, who prosecuted 700 sub-postmasters and sub-postmistresses <[link removed].> based on the faulty Horizon IT system. 



This week in Parliament it was announced that hundreds of Post Office operators will have their convictions quashed within months in an unprecedented move to remedy this shocking miscarriage of justice. The Prime Minister also set out compensation for the affected workers to the tune of £450 million pounds, with those having their conviction squashed given an upfront offer of £600,000 or allowed to proceed with a detailed assessment process if they feel they are owed more.



Despite the almost unanimous political and public support for the persecuted posties, Conservative MPs still somehow managed to tie themselves in knots over the issue. More on that in the Cringe Column.



By-Election Bonanza







During his first engagement of the New Year, Rishi Sunak hinted that the General Election will take place in the second half of the year <[link removed]> but he might have to be ready sooner than that if the never ending drip of scandal-induced by-elections continues.



Last Thursday, the writ was moved for by-elections to be held in Wellingborough, Northamptonshire; and Kingswood, Gloucestershire both of which were held by Tory MPs. I wonder what Brenda from Bristol <[link removed]> would think about all of this.



In Wellingborough, where suspended Tory MP Peter Bone was deselected by his constituents in a recall petition after an inquiry into his conduct, and a successful recall petition <[link removed]> to remove him as an MP. The Tories have selected Helen Harrison, the partner of Peter Bone to be their candidate. I’ll leave that one there.



The Kingswood contest was triggered by the resignation of former energy minister Chris Skidmore in protest at Sunak’s plan to promote oil and gas drilling in the North Sea. In a further stab at Sunak’s legitimacy and strength, Skidmore not only refuses to back his own party at the upcoming by-election but has also gone on record supporting Labour’s flagship green energy proposal of their £28bn climate spending plans <[link removed]>. 



The by-elections are set to take place on 15th February <[link removed]> with the Tories, who have already lost 4 seats in by-elections since Sunak took office in October 2022,



We’ve seen bigger Conservative majorities than the ones in Wellingborough and Kingswood overturned in this Parliament - all eyes on what may potentially be another bruising night for the PM and the Conservatives. 





Rwanda (Bill) Returns







It may be a new year but the Government is still focussed on the same old morally corrupt; highly expensive; and ineffective legislation. I know this could almost apply to most  legislation they have put before Parliament since 2019, but as you’ve probably guessed from the headline, the Rwanda Bill is back <[link removed]>.



The Bill is set to return to the Commons next week and is already causing huge headaches for the Prime Minister who is facing a significant rebellion from Tory MPs <[link removed]> over his plan to send some asylum seekers to Rwanda. 



The policy, which has become the cornerstone of Sunak’s Premiership, faces a difficult week with Tory rebels on both sides of the argument likely to be less forgiving of the legislation on its return. Over 30 backbenchers <[link removed]> on the right of the party are backing plans to make it harder for people to appeal deportation; while the ‘one nation’ group of Conservatives are worried such changes may risk breaking international law. 



As if things weren’t tricky enough for Rishi, reports shown to the BBC suggest that he was highly critical of the plan when he was Chancellor <[link removed]>.



Did the Government just break their own law… again?



The Government claims that the Rwanda plan is required to stop small boat crossings which, completely coincidently, have dramatically increased since the Government systematically closed safe routes for people fleeing war, famine and persecution to claim asylum in the UK. Here’s that clip again <[link removed]>.



An amendment to last year’s odious Illegal Migration Act requires the Government to publish a review of these routes and to propose new ones. This week it was published but with one key element missing. No new routes have been suggested. Here’s a response <[link removed]> from our CEO Naomi Smith.



Posturing at PMQs



As Keir Starmer quipped, “New year, new nonsense.” On Wednesday, we were treated to the first PMQs of 2024, setting the tone for a very busy Election Year.



The Government has clearly been working hard on its messaging for the coming months with the Prime Minister labelling the Leader of the Opposition as “all slogan and no plan” <[link removed]> before introducing yet another slogan  “stick with us to deliver the long-term change that the country needs; do not go back to square one with him”. It just rolls off the tongue, doesn't it?



Yes, less than four months after painting himself as the change candidate <[link removed]> at Tory Party Conference - he’s decided ‘Mr Continuity’ is a better play. And perhaps it would be, if everything wasn’t such mess.



Then there’s the desperation. ‘Stick with us’ is definitely giving us unwilling divorcee vibes. And while the treat of ‘square one’ may have worked for Lord Cameron of Chipping Norton <[link removed]> in 2015 with austerity and recession still fresh, a pre-Brexit and pre-Johnson/Truss/Sunak square one is probably quite appealing to most people.



😬 Cringe Column 😬



Private Eye on Peston



Drama erupted between Ian Hislop and Jake Berry on Peston <[link removed]> this week as the two sparred over the Government's handling of the Post Office Scandal raising many political questions including the awarding of a CBE to Paula Vennells (Chief Executive of the Post Office between 2012-19) in 2019 after the scandal came to light. 



The feisty exchange set social media alight and examined why the Government hadn’t acted sooner to correct this clear and obvious miscarriage of justice. 



Teething Problems



Despite Mrs Firth’s best efforts however, the award for most ridiculous statement made in the Commons this week goes to  Andrea Leadsom for her bizarre lack of knowledge about human anatomy. Speaking in her role as health minister (yes, really) in a debate about dentistry Leadsom exclaimed that children’s teeth are “about four-and-half years old” by the time they turn three <[link removed]> suggesting that babies get teeth 18 months before they are born.



I'm no biologist myself, but this seems a little implausible to me. Still, a perfect showcase of the quality of Ministers on offer at the moment.







Gauntlet thrown in Gary vs Gullis spat



Another strange feud continued this week with Jonathan Gullis’ deep infatuation with TV presenter Gary Lineker with the former challenging the latter again to stand against him in the upcoming election <[link removed]>. 



This challenge suggests Lineker’s shattering comeback to a Gullis attack last month <[link removed]>may have cut a little too deep. 



I am also left wondering if Mr Gullis 'stuck to politics’ and the issues that mattered to his constituents in Stoke-on-Trent North, then perhaps he might have a tiny chance of retaining his seat at the next election.



Mollusc Madness



PMQs is often prone to ridiculous questions but this week Anna Firth MP took the biscuit <[link removed]>… or the bivalve. 



As the Tories continue to scrape the bottom of the barrel in the hopes of finding untapped great ‘Brexit Bonuses’ their hunt for a molecule of good news has seemed to appear in the form of a mollusc. Yes, the MP for Southend West exclaimed that new “very large shellfish beds have been discovered in the Thames Estuary, including razor clams and Manila clams”. 



She went on to ask the PM “how to maximise this brilliant Brexit bonus for Essex fishermen?”. If like me you are scratching your head about how the discovery of new clams at the bottom of the Thames has any correlation with the UK’s departure from its prime trading bloc, don’t fear you are not alone as even Sunak had a little giggle at this ludicrous question. 



<[link removed]>🎧 Hear this!



Catch Best for Britain CEO Naomi Smith on PoliticsHome’s Rundown Podcast <[link removed]> this week to examine the state of British democracy and how it can be improved.











Thanks for sticking with me through this bumper edition of Weekend Wire. Have a nice weekend!



Best wishes,

Ben Stead Lewis

External Affairs Officer













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