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Good morning,
Hold on to your hats, investors! After a thrilling nine-straight week** of gains** in 2023, the stock market has hit a bit of turbulence. The **Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK)** saw a notable drop of 3.0%, outpacing the S&P 500’s decline of 1.5%.
And let’s talk about **Apple (AAPL)** – it took a nearly 6.0% nosedive following two analyst downgrades and some unsettling news about a potential DOJ antitrust case.
Have a great week,
Irving Wilkinson, Editor
[AlphaBetaStock.com]([link removed])
**Table of Contents**
* [Sector Shuffle: Winners and Losers]([link removed])
* [Bonds and Interest Rates: The Rising Tide]([link removed])
* [Market Movers and Shakers]([link removed])
* [Economic Data Reports: Reading Between the Lines]([link removed])
* [What Does This Mean for Investors?]([link removed])
* [Commodities & Crypto]([link removed])
* [OIL & Energy]([link removed])
* [Gold & Metals]([link removed])
* [Crypto]([link removed])
* [CALENDAR & MOVERS]([link removed])
* [Earnings Season: The Main Event]([link removed])
* [Earnings Spotlights]([link removed])
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#### **Sector Shuffle: Winners And Losers**
* **Utilities Sector**: This sector brightened up with a 1.8% gain this week, a stark contrast to its 10.2% fall last year.
* **Energy Sector**: It saw a 1.1% rise this week, bouncing back from a 4.8% decline in 2023.
* **Consumer Staples**: Eked out a modest 0.03% gain this week, following a 2.2% drop last year.
In contrast, the **information technology** sector fell by 4.1%, and the **consumer discretionary** sector dipped by 3.5%, both sectors reversing their previous year’s outperformance.
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#### **Bonds And Interest Rates: The Rising Tide**
Interest rates have been climbing, with the 10-year yield jumping 16 basis points to 4.04%. This increase is partly **due to the Federal Reserve’s less dovish** stance than many had hoped for. **The December Employment Situation Report and the ISM Services PMI stirred the pot further, injecting uncertainty about the Fed’s future rate cut plans.**
#### **Market Movers And Shakers**
* **Apple (AAPL)**: This tech giant’s shares fell more than 3.0% after a Barclays downgrade.
* **Russell 3000 Growth Index**: Experienced a 2.8% decline, in contrast to the Russell 3000 Value Index’s milder 0.6% fall.
#### **Economic Data Reports: Reading Between The Lines**
* **December Employment Situation Report**: Nonfarm payrolls and average hourly earnings exceeded expectations.
* **December ISM Services PMI**: Revealed a more significant than expected slowdown in service sector growth.
#### **What Does This Mean For Investors?**
Investors, it’s time to buckle up. The market’s recent shifts suggest a reevaluation of expectations. Strong employment numbers might limit the Fed’s rate cuts, while the service sector’s slowdown could align with the current rate-cut forecasts.
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# **Commodities & Crypto**
----------## **OIL & Energy**
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In the first week of 2024, **oil** saw a modest gain of 1%, buoyed by escalating tensions in the Middle East. However, oil prices are still feeling the heat from a challenging 2023, where crude prices dipped by about 10%.
The latest report from the US Energy Agency presented a mixed picture: while **crude oil inventories** decreased by 5.5 million barrels, there was a notable increase in inventories of refined products, especially **gasoline**. This reflects the fragile state of US consumption. Price-wise, **Brent** is hovering around $78.60, and **WTI** is at approximately $73.50.
## **Gold & Metals**
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The year 2024 hasn’t started on a strong note for **copper** and other industrial metals, which are currently on a downward trend. A strengthening dollar is putting pressure on this sector, pushing copper prices below $8,400 per metric ton in London. **Nickel** is also losing ground, affected by ramped-up production in Indonesia.
In the realm of precious metals, **gold** has retreated, impacted by rising bond yields and a robust US employment report. Despite these challenges,** the gold is maintaining its stance, trading at around $2040.**
## **Crypto**
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Since the dawn of the new year, **Bitcoin** has experienced a remarkable surge, soaring to **$46,000**. This impressive climb was primarily driven by swirling rumors suggesting the **SEC’s impending approval of a Bitcoin ETF**.
However, this upward trajectory was abruptly halted by opposing rumors, which clarified that such approval hadn’t been granted yet. As a result, Bitcoin retreated to its current standing of $43,500. The market now waits in anticipation, eager for more concrete information. Amid this uncertainty, **MicroStrategy**, known for holding the world’s largest Bitcoin portfolio, has further solidified its position by acquiring an additional **14,000 bitcoins**.
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# **CALENDAR & MOVERS**
----------* Thursday, January 11: CPI (MoM) (December)
* Friday, January 12: PPI (MoM) (December)
* Earnings
**January 11th** is a date to circle in your calendars, folks. The U.S. inflation report is set to drop, and it’s a biggie. Why, you ask? Well, it’s all about understanding the twists and turns of monetary policy. The December CPI report is expected to show a 0.3% month-over-month increase in both headline inflation and the core rate. But that’s not all – we’ve got other key data releases like consumer credit, international trade balance, and the producer price index. These numbers aren’t just digits; they’re the pulse of the economy!
## **Earnings Season: The Main Event**
Hold onto your hats because January 12th marks the official start of the Q4 earnings season. And boy, do we have a lineup!
### **Earnings Spotlights**
* **January 8**: Jefferies Financial Group (**JEF**) and Helen of Troy (**HELE**) step up to the plate.
* **January 9**: We’ve got Albertsons Companies (**ACI**), PriceSmart (**PSMT**), and Acuity Brands (**AYI**) in the spotlight. And keep an eye on Tilray Brands (**TLRY**) – options trading suggests a wild ride for their share price.
* **January 10**: KB Home (**KBH**) takes center stage.
* **January 11**: Infosys (**INFY**) – a tech giant, folks!
* **January 12**: The heavy hitters come out swinging. We’re talking UnitedHealth Group (**UNH**), JPMorgan Chase (**JPM**), Bank of America (**BAC**), Wells Fargo (**WFC**), BlackRock (**BLK**), Delta Air Lines (**DAL**), and Bank of New York Mellon (**BK**).
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