“In total, in an unmitigated epidemic, we would predict
approximately 510,000 deaths in [Great Britain] and 2.2 million in the US, not accounting for the potential negative effects of health systems being overwhelmed on mortality,” writes the Imperial College London COVID-19 Response Team.
“
Iran is not unique in the [Middle East]. It may have been struck earlier than other countries, but they all face similar problems, notably a fragile public health system and leaders many citizens believe to be illegitimate, sowing mistrust and fear,” CFR’s Steven A. Cook writes for Think Global Health
.