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Welcome to this week's edition of the Federal Tap. Check out our selection of stories below. Click the button for a full review of the week and see what's on tap for the week ahead!
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Biden wins Michigan and three other states, Sanders wins North Dakota
Six states and the Democrats Abroad held events for the Democratic and Republican presidential nominations on Tuesday.
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Former Vice President Joe Biden was the winner in Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, and Missouri. Across all six primaries, he is projected to win at least 181 pledged delegates.
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Sen. Bernie Sanders won North Dakota and is projected to receive at least 112 delegates from the night.
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Washington is still too close to call with 77% of precincts reporting. Biden leads Sanders by 1.3%.
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Democrats Abroad, which also concluded its global primary on Tuesday, is expected to release its results on March 23.
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President Donald Trump won all Republican primaries. He now has 1,104 delegates. To win the Republican nomination, a candidate needs 1,276 delegates. No other Republican presidential candidate won any delegates.
March 10 Democratic voter turnout in Pivot Counties trailed statewide turnout
Four of the six states that held presidential primaries on Tuesday contained Pivot Counties. Pivot counties are the 206 counties that voted twice for President Obama in 2008 and 2012 and then voted for President Trump in 2016. Here's how Democratic voter turnout this year compares to turnout in the 2016 Democratic presidential primaries.
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Democratic voter turnout increased in Michigan’s 12 Pivot Counties by 28.7%. This was lower than the statewide increase of 31.5%. Sanders won nine of the 12 Pivot Counties in the 2016 Democratic primary. Biden won all 12 in 2020.
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In Mississippi, turnout in the state’s two Pivot Counties was up 3.5%. This was less than the statewide increase of 15.8%. Hillary Clinton won both counties in 2016. Biden won them this year. Complete returns were not available for the other two states with Pivot Counties that held primary events on Tuesday: Washington and North Dakota. We'll run the numbers once they're available.
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In 11 of the 12 states with full returns available, Democratic voter turnout in Pivot Counties was lower than it was statewide. New Hampshire is the only state so far where an increase in voter turnout in Pivot Counties (18.6%) exceeded that of non-Pivot Counties (17.7%).
Louisiana presidential preference primary delayed
On March 13, Louisiana postponed its presidential primary elections by more than two months amid public health concerns due to the coronavirus outbreak. The state rescheduled its primaries from the planned date of April 4 to June 20. Its municipal elections are also delayed until July 25. Louisiana is the first state in the nation to postpone its primary elections due to the virus.
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Louisiana Secretary of State R. Kyle Ardoin made the announcement at a press conference on March 13. He said, “Today I have certified that a state of emergency exists and requested that the governor issue an executive order postponing the elections this spring.”
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The new date of June 20 is eleven days after the Democratic National Committee’s deadline of June 9 for presidential primary elections. The DNC said in a statement that they will coordinate with states as they adjust primary election processes in advance of the Democratic National Convention, but that Louisiana may lose half its delegates as a result of missing the deadline.
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At the time of the announcement, four other states planned to hold their primaries as planned the following week, on March 17: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio. Three other states are scheduled to hold a primary or caucus on April 4—Alaska, Hawaii, and Wyoming—and Wyoming has canceled the in-person element of its caucuses, encouraging voters to submit ballots by mail. At the time of Ardoin’s announcement, Alaska and Hawaii planned to continue with their primary elections on April 4 as scheduled.
Four states to hold presidential primaries, 577 pledged delegates at stake
On March 17, Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio are holding presidential primaries with 577 Democratic pledged delegates—14.5% of all pledged delegates—at stake.
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Hillary Clinton won all four of these states during the 2016 Democratic presidential primaries.
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There are 24 Pivot Counties across three of these states: Florida (4), Illinois (11), and Ohio (9). Pivot Counties are those counties Ballotpedia identified as voting for President Obama in both 2008 and 2012 and then voting for President Trump in 2016.
Congressional primaries to be held Tuesday in Ohio and Illinois
Voters in Illinois and Ohio will go to the polls Tuesday, March 17 to select congressional candidates in the Republican and Democratic primaries. The general election is on November 3, 2020.
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Illinois
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Republican and Democratic primaries are being held for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Dick Durbin (D). Durbin is the only Democratic candidate running in the Democratic primary. Five Republican candidates are running in the Republican primary.
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Illinois is also holding Republican and Democratic primaries for each of its 18 U.S. congressional districts. Heading into the November 3 election, the Democratic Party holds 13 of the 18 congressional seats.
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Ohio
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Republican and Democratic primaries are being held to select candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives. All 16 of the state’s U.S. House seats are up for election in 2020. Heading into the November 3 election, the Republican Party holds 12 of the 16 congressional seats from Ohio.
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There are no U.S. Senate seats up for election in Ohio in 2020.
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Six statewide filing deadlines pass in second week of March
Six states had major party filing deadlines from Monday, March 9 to Friday, March 13. These were:
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Montana: March 9
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New Mexico, Oregon: March 10
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Idaho, Iowa, Nevada: March 13
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All six states have U.S. House seats up for election, and all but Nevada also have a U.S. Senate seat on the ballot.
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Fifteen states had filing deadlines before March 9; Nebraska and Georgia had filing deadlines in the first week of March. Eight more states have major party filing deadlines between March 16 and March 31.
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From November 2019 to July 2020, Ballotpedia will cover an average of six statewide major party filing deadlines each month. Sixteen states have statewide filing deadlines in March 2020, making it the busiest month for candidate ballot access deadlines for the 2020 elections. November 2019, February 2020, and July 2020 are tied for the fewest with two each.
Filing deadlines approach in Maine, Colorado, and Utah
The filing deadlines to run for elected office in Maine, Colorado, and Utah are approaching. Maine’s filing deadline is March 16, Colorado’s is March 17, and Utah’s is March 19.
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In Maine, prospective candidates may file for the following federal offices:
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U.S. Senate (1 seat)
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U.S. House (2 seats)
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In Colorado, prospective candidates may file for the following federal offices:
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U.S. Senate (1 seat)
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U.S. House (7 seats)
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In Utah, prospective candidates may file for the following federal offices:
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The primary in Maine is scheduled for June 9, 2020, while the primary in both Colorado and Utah is scheduled for June 30. The general election in each state is scheduled for November 3, 2020.
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Maine, Colorado, and Utah’s statewide filing deadlines are the 22nd, 23rd, and 24th to take place in the 2020 election cycle. The next statewide filing deadline is on March 26, 2020, in Virginia.
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Maine and Colorado have Democratic state government trifectas, while Utah has a Republican state government trifecta. A trifecta exists when one political party simultaneously holds the governor’s office and majorities in both state legislative chambers.
Mississippi congressional incumbents advance to general election
All five of Mississippi’s congressional incumbents advanced from primaries on March 10, earning spots on the ballot in the November 3 general election.
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In the U.S. Senate primary, Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith was uncontested. She will face Democrat Mike Espy and Libertarian Jimmy Edwards in the general election. Espy defeated two opponents in the Democratic primary with 93% of the vote.
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The general election for Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District will see Republican incumbent Trent Kelly face off against Democrat Antonia Eliason. Both were unopposed in their primaries.
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Rep. Bennie Thompson (D) received 94% of the vote in the Democratic primary for the state’s 2nd Congressional District, defeating Sonia Rathburn. In the general election, he will face the winner of the Republican primary runoff on March 31. Brian Flowers and Thomas Carey are facing off for the general election spot after defeating B.C. Hammond in the Republican primary.
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In the 3rd Congressional District Republican primary, Rep. Michael Guest defeated James Tulp with 90% of the vote. In the general election, Guest will face off against Dorothy Benford, who defeated one opponent in the Democratic primary with 64% of the vote.
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Rep. Steven Palazzo (R) is unopposed in the general election for the state’s 4th Congressional District. He advanced from the primary after receiving 67% of the vote and defeating three opponents.
Joe Biden leads in Ballotpedia pageviews for the first time since November
Joe Biden's campaign page received 26,727 views for the week of March 1-7. Biden's pageview figure represents 45.6% of the pageviews for Democratic candidates during the week. Bernie Sanders followed with 23,147 pageviews (39.5%) while Tulsi Gabbard had 8,700 (14.9%). This is the first week where
Biden has led in pageviews since the week of November 10-16, 2019.
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Gabbard had the largest week-over-week increase in pageviews at 305.22%. Biden's pageviews increased by 256.50%, while Sanders' increased by 106.65%.
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Biden remains the leader in overall pageviews this cycle with 200,343. Sanders has received 188,295 and Gabbard 113,791.
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Three candidates ended their campaigns last week. Elizabeth Warren's campaign page on Ballotpedia received 161,746 pageviews, while Amy Klobuchar's received 128,374 and Michael Bloomberg's received 54,802.
Congress is in session
The Senate will be in session next week, while the House will be on recess. Click here to see the full calendar for the second session of the 116th Congress.
Where was the president last week?
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On Monday, Trump participated in a roundtable with supporters in Longwood, FL and spoke at a fundraising committee luncheon.
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On Tuesday, Trump met with members of the health insurance industry about COVID-19.
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On Wednesday, Trump and the First Lady met with bankers on COVID-19 response and had dinner with the Vice President and Mrs. Pence at the United States Naval Observatory.
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On Thursday, Trump met with the Prime Minister of Ireland.
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On Friday, Trump met with industry executives and held a news conference about COVID-19.
Federal Judiciary
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The Lucy Burns Institute, publisher of Ballotpedia, is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. All donations are tax deductible to the extent of the law. Donations to the Lucy Burns Institute or Ballotpedia do not support any candidates or campaigns.
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