What to talk about when you talk about No Labels this Thanksgiving. When politics comes up this Thursday around family dinner tables – and you know it will – it won’t be long until someone brings up the 2024 presidential race.
Do you want a third choice for president in 2024?
YES ▸
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NO ▸
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Hi John,
When politics comes up this Thursday around family dinner tables – and you know it will – it won’t be long until someone brings up the 2024 presidential race.
When they do, ask a question:
How many of you are happy about the matchup Democrats and Republicans are likely to give us next year?
You’ll likely get a lot more blank stares than raised hands, and that, in a nutshell, is why there is such a historic opening for a No Labels Unity ticket in 2024.
For the first time since Ross Perot ran for president in 1992, Americans could be offered a viable independent alternative. In June of that year – before Perot inexplicably left the race – he was actually leading the polls, with 39 percent compared to 31 percent for Bush and 25 percent for Clinton. In short, he could have won, and the public’s appetite for an alternative today is indisputably bigger than it was in 1992.
But many Americans still don’t know what to make of a No Labels ticket, and much of what they’ve read or heard is misinformation from detractors who want to kill off the No Labels effort before we can give Americans another choice.
So, if No Labels comes up around your Thanksgiving table, we want to equip you with some essential points to five questions you might get about our efforts to lay the groundwork for a No Labels Unity ticket in 2024.
1. What exactly is No Labels doing?
We have been working for two years to get on voting ballots in states across the country. This will allow us to offer our ballot line to a Unity presidential ticket next year.
2. Why are you doing it?
There are two reasons why we are working to give voters choice in 2024. Firstly, American voters want and deserve a better choice than either party seems likely to give them. Secondly, America desperately needs strong, honest and effective leadership in the White House.
3. How could an independent possibly win the White House in 2024?
Because the likely major party nominees have never been this unpopular.
An estimated 55 percent of the American public view Donald Trump ([link removed] ) and Joe Biden ([link removed] ) unfavorably, and neither candidate has a large or strong base of support.
Forget independents – even most Democrats and Republicans aren’t sold on Biden or Trump. That’s why some three in five American voters are open to voting for a No Labels ticket in 2024.
One more thing about Trump and Biden’s vulnerabilities: The longstanding concerns that voters have about both candidates are growing.
Voters think Trump’s rhetoric is getting more dangerous.
And voters are also getting more concerned about Biden’s capacity to do the job.
4. Will an independent in the 2024 presidential race only help Trump?
No.
The most recent USA Today/Suffolk poll ([link removed] ) tested a presidential contest with Trump and Biden, as well as independent candidates Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
In the poll, West took more support from Biden, and Kennedy took more from Trump.
The takeaway: how an independent candidate would impact the race depends entirely on the identity of the candidate. Some help Biden. Some help Trump. Some are a wash.
But here’s the one thing we do know today:
Trump is currently leading Biden nationally and holds an even bigger lead in the key swing states.
Nationally – Trump leads by 1.6 percentage points.
- RealClear Politics Average ([link removed] ) :Trump 46.6 / Biden 45.0
Swing States – Trump leads in five of six swing states by an average of 3.6 points.
- Arizona ([link removed] ) : Trump 47 / Biden 42 (Trump +5)
- Pennsylvania ([link removed] ) : Trump 46 / Biden 45 (Trump +1)
- Nevada ([link removed] ) : Trump 47.5 / Biden 43.5 (Trump +4)
- Michigan ([link removed] ) : Trump 44 / Biden 42 (Trump +2)
- Georgia ([link removed] ) : Trump 48 / Biden 42 (Trump +6)
- Wisconsin ([link removed] ) : Biden 47 / Trump 46 (Biden +1)
5. Who will be the candidate on the No Labels Unity ticket?
No Labels is still months away from making that decision, as we won’t decide whether to offer our ballot line to a ticket – or who would be on it – until March 15.
Wherever it is you are headed this Thanksgiving, we hope you have a restful and joyous holiday with people you love. And if No Labels does end up on the menu, we hope this note leaves you better equipped to talk about why the work of this movement is so essential for America’s future.
Happy Thanksgiving,
Ryan
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