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A centre-right maverick, Pieter Omtzigt, could win the Dutch election - The Economist   

PIETER OMTZIGT is the most popular politician in the Netherlands, the EU’s fifth-biggest economy, in part because in 2021 the country’s leaders apparently tried to ditch him. Mr Omtzigt, an MP who then belonged to the Christian Democrats (CDA), had for years irritated the government (of which the CDA was a member) with relentless questioning over a huge benefits scandal in which tens of thousands of taxpayers were falsely charged with fraud. During coalition negotiations after the general election that year, an official was caught on camera with a sheet of notes bearing the phrase “Omtzigt: position elsewhere?” Many Dutch were outraged, reckoning that this meant that party bigwigs wanted to promote the troublesome gadfly to a harmless sinecure in Brussels.

Instead Mr Omtzigt stayed in parliament, quit the CDA and burnished his reputation as a maverick. Now, with an early general election due on November 22nd, he is the man to beat. In July, the prime minister, Mark Rutte, of the centre-right VVD party, stepped down over environmental and immigration scandals, and announced he would not run again. Mr Omtzigt quickly launched a centrist party, the New Social Contract (NSC), which shot to the top of opinion polls. It is currently at 17%, roughly tied with the VVD and a few points ahead of the combined Labour (PvdA) and GreenLeft (GL) parties, which are running together. In the Netherlands’ splintered field, with an astonishing 26 parties competing, the NSC is likely to be the kingmaker in any coalition.

The Dutch are in a rebellious mood; a Low Countries version of a wider disenchantment with established political parties visible across Europe. The cheerful Mr Rutte has led the country for 13 years. He owes his longevity to a remarkable knack for dodging blame for his administration’s scandals and mistakes, which have gradually eroded voters’ faith in government. In a survey in September by Ipsos, a pollster, just 33% of the public said they had confidence in politics, and a whopping 72% thought the country was heading in the wrong direction. Many described the government as dithering and bureaucratic, incapable of resolving insistent problems such as the benefits scandal, a housing shortage, rising numbers of migrants and a farmers’ revolt over restrictions on nitrogen emissions.

Continued here





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