“Israel signalled intent to encircle Gaza's main city on Sunday, publishing
pictures of battle tanks on the Palestinian enclave's western coast 48 hours
after ordering expanded ground incursions across its eastern border. Israel's
self-declared "second phase" of a three-week war against Iranian-backed Hamas
militants had initially been kept from public view, with forces moving under
darkness and a telecommunications blackout cutting off Palestinians. The phone
and internet cuts appeared to be easing on Sunday, according to Gaza residents.
But they have severely hampered rescue operations for casualties of Israeli
barrages wreaking destruction, especially on northern Gaza City, site of Hamas'
government and command centres. As well as the Israeli military's pictures of
tanks, some images online appeared to show Israeli soldiers waving an Israeli
flag deep inside Gaza. Reuters could not verify those images. Hamas said it was
firing mortars against Israeli forces in north Gaza and had hit Israeli tanks
with missiles, belittling reports of deep advances by its enemy.”
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Eye on Extremism
October 30, 2023
Reuters: Israel Shows Images Of Tanks In Gaza As War On Hamas Militants Deepens
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“Israel signalled intent to encircle Gaza's main city on Sunday, publishing
pictures of battle tanks on the Palestinian enclave's western coast 48 hours
after ordering expanded ground incursions across its eastern border. Israel's
self-declared "second phase" of a three-week war against Iranian-backed Hamas
militants had initially been kept from public view, with forces moving under
darkness and a telecommunications blackout cutting off Palestinians. The phone
and internet cuts appeared to be easing on Sunday, according to Gaza residents.
But they have severely hampered rescue operations for casualties of Israeli
barrages wreaking destruction, especially on northern Gaza City, site of Hamas'
government and command centres. As well as the Israeli military's pictures of
tanks, some images online appeared to show Israeli soldiers waving an Israeli
flag deep inside Gaza. Reuters could not verify those images. Hamas said it was
firing mortars against Israeli forces in north Gaza and had hit Israeli tanks
with missiles, belittling reports of deep advances by its enemy.”
Reuters: Qatar Open To Reconsidering Hamas Presence In Qatar, US Official Says
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“Qatar told the U.S. it was open to reconsidering the presence of Hamas in
Qatar once a crisis is resolved to secure the release of scores of hostages
taken to Gaza by the Palestinian militant group, a senior U.S. official said on
Friday. The understanding, first reported by the Washington Post, was reached
at a meeting in Doha this month between U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken
and the emir of Qatar, Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, the official said.
There was no immediate response from Qatari officials to the news on Friday.
The tiny Gulf state, in coordination with the U.S., is leading mediation talks
with Hamas and Israeli officials over the release of more than 200 hostages
captured in the Palestinian group's Oct. 7 cross-border attack. The wealthy
gas-producer country has also been instrumental in negotiating with Hamas the
safe passage of Americans stuck in Gaza and the opening of the border crossing
with Egypt to allow humanitarian aid into the enclave under Israeli blockade.
Its dialogue with Israel and Hamas brought about the release of four hostages,
including two Israeli women on Monday. On Wednesday, Qatar's prime minister
said negotiations to secure the release of hostages held by Hamas were
progressing and he was hopeful there would soon be a breakthrough.”
CEP Expert Analysis
* The Houthis’ Use of Technology for Repression
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* CEP Calls For Account Freeze On Qatari Assets In The UK
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* The Houthis and U.S.-Designated Foreign Terrorist Organizations
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* Afghanistan Terorism Report: July 2023
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* Afghanistan Terrorism Report: June 2023
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United States
Associated Press: Mission Impossible? Biden Says Mideast Leaders Must Consider
A Two-State Solution After The War Ends
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“As the 3-week-old Israel-Hamas war enters what Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu says could be a “long and difficult” new stage, President
Joe Biden is calling on Israeli and Arab leaders to think hard about their
eventual postwar reality. It’s one, he argues, where finally finding agreement
on a long-sought two-state solution to the Israel-Palestinian conflict should
be a priority. “There’s no going back to the status quo as it stood on Oct. 6,”
Biden told reporters, referring to the day before Hamas militants attacked
Israel and set off the latest war. The White House says Biden conveyed the same
message directly to Netanyahu during a telephone call this past week. “It also
means that when this crisis is over, there has to be a vision of what comes
next, and in our view it has to be a two-state solution,” Biden said. The push
for a two-state solution — one in which Israel would co-exist with an
independent Palestinian state — has eluded U.S. presidents and Middle East
diplomats for decades. It’s been put on the back burner since the last
American-led effort at peace talks collapsed in 2014 amid disagreements on
Israeli settlements, the release of Palestinian prisoners and other issues.”
The Washington Post: Trump Doubles Down On Calling Hezbollah ‘Very Smart’
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“Former president Donald Trump on Friday revived a two-week-old controversy
over his description of Hezbollah terrorist attackers as “very smart,” posting
a column on social media that sought to defend his characterization of the
group. The column Trump shared in full, written by the conservative commentator
Jeffrey Lord, argued that the former president was justified in using the
broadly condemned characterization — and Lord also called Trump “smart” as
well. President Biden’s reelection campaign and the Democratic National
Committee seized on Trump’s latest social media post, with the DNC claiming on
X, formerly known as Twitter, that Trump was “once again praising a terrorist
organization.” In a speech Oct. 11, Trump complimented the intelligence of
Hezbollah, which has been designated a terrorist organization by the United
States. The Iranian-aligned group, based in Lebanon, has recently stepped up
attacks on Israel. “You know, Hezbollah is very smart,” Trump said. “They’re
all very smart.” At the time, Trump spokesman Steven Cheung defended the former
president’s comments, saying Trump “was clearly pointing out how incompetent
Biden and his administration were by telegraphing to the terrorists an area
that is susceptible to an attack” and added that “smart does not equal good.””
Business Insider: The US Is Updating Its Nuclear Arsenal Amid Growing Security
Fears
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“The Department of Defense announced Saturday the US plans to add a new model
of nuclear bomb to its arsenal. The new gravity bomb will be called B61-13, a
variant on the existing B61 model that was first introduced in the 1960s. The
Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration will begin
production pending Congressional authorization and appropriation, according to
a Department of Defense statement. The previous model, B61-12, can carry out
earth-penetrating attacks, low-yield and high-yield attacks, above surface
detonation, and bunker-buster options, Insider previously reported. The move is
the result of a "changing security environment" and not any specific event,
according to a fact sheet provided by the department. The announcement comes
just one week after the US announced a worldwide caution travel advisory amid
the Israel-Hamas war. "Due to increased tensions in various locations around
the world, the potential for terrorist attacks, demonstrations or violent
actions against US citizens and interests, the Department of State advises US
citizens overseas to exercise increased caution," the warning read. The US last
issued a worldwide caution alert in August 2022 following the killing of
al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri, per CNN.”
Reuters: US Urges Israel To Protect Civilians, Increase Aid To Gaza
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"The United States on Sunday pressed Israel to protect civilians in Gaza and
pushed for an immediate increase in humanitarian aid, amid a growing outcry
over the human costs of Israel's three-week bombardment of the enclave.
President Joe Biden told Israeli Prime Minster Netanyahu in a call that Israel
has a right to defend itself and should do so in a way that is consistent with
international law on protecting civilians, the White House said. Biden and
Netanyahu discussed efforts to protect the more than 200 hostages seized by
Palestinian Hamas militants in a surprise attack on Israel on Oct. 7 that
killed 1,400 people. The White House said Biden also "underscored the need to
immediately and significantly increase the flow of humanitarian assistance to
meet the needs of civilians in Gaza," as supplies dwindle in the besieged
coastal enclave. With the death toll in the Gaza Strip in the thousands and
climbing, Biden's administration has been under increasing pressure to make
clear that its steadfast support of Israel does not translate into a blanket
endorsement of all that its ally is doing in the impoverished enclave.”
Afghanistan
Associated Press: Islamic State Group Claims Responsibility For An Explosion
In Afghanistan, Killing 4
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“The Islamic State group claimed responsibility for an explosion in a Shiite
Muslim neighborhood in Afghanistan’s capital that killed at least four people.
Seven others were critically wounded in the attack Thursday evening, according
to Khalid Zadran, a spokesman for the Kabul police chief. Islamic State
affiliates claimed responsibility for the attack in a statement late Friday
through its news agency Aamaq, saying it “managed to leave a booby-trapped
suitcase” inside a Shiite gathering place that exploded, killing and wounding
about 35 people and inflicting heavy damage on a sports club. Video taken after
the explosion shows part of a building with its windows blown out and a fire
inside. Shattered glass and other debris are strewn across the street below.
The scale of the damage was clearer Friday morning. There were craters in the
ground and most of the interior was gutted. Workers picked their way through
boxing gloves and gym equipment on the blood-splattered floor. The Dashti
Barchi area of Kabul has been repeatedly targeted by the Islamic State group
affiliate in the country, which has carried out major assaults on schools,
hospitals and mosques. The group has also attacked other Shiite areas of
Afghanistan in recent years.”
Pakistan
Associated Press: A Roadside Bomb Kills 2 Soldiers And Troops Kill 1 Militant
In Northwest Pakistan
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“Two Pakistani soldiers and one militant were killed in a roadside bomb
explosion and in a separate shootout during an overnight military operation
against militant activity in the northwest alongside the border with
Afghanistan, the military said Saturday. A military statement said an
intelligence-based operation was conducted in the Tirah valley of Khyber
district late Friday night. One militant was killed and two others were wounded
and arrested. The military said two of its soldiers were killed when a roadside
bomb exploded while a security patrol was passing by in South Waziristan
overnight. Security troops were conducting a search operation in the area to
eliminate militants involved in the attack. Tribal districts along the border
with Afghanistan have been sanctuaries for militants for decades until the
military carried out a massive operation after an attack on an army-run school
in Peshawar in 2014 killed more than 150 people, mostly schoolchildren. After
the yearslong operation, the army announced it had cleared the region of local
and foreign militants. Occasional attacks have continued, however, raising
concerns that the local Taliban, known as Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, found
sanctuaries in Afghanistan and are regrouping in the area.”
Lebanon
Reuters: Hezbollah Says It Downs Israeli Drone In South Lebanon
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“Lebanon's Hezbollah said on Sunday it shot down an Israeli drone over
southern Lebanon with a surface-to-air missile, the first time it has announced
such an incident, as clashes on the Lebanese border escalate. The drone was hit
near Khiam, about 5 km (3 miles) from the border with Israel, and was seen
falling in Israeli territory, Hezbollah added. Two security sources in Lebanon
said it was the first time Hezbollah had announced downing an Israeli drone.
"They have insinuated they have this capability but it is the first time they
declare they have this kind of capability to shoot down a drone," Mohanad Hage
Ali of the Carnegie Middle East Center said. The Israeli Defence Ministry was
not immediately available for comment. Earlier on Sunday, the United Nations'
Lebanon peacekeeping force UNIFIL said that one of its members was injured
after shells hit its base near the village of Houla on the Lebanese-Israeli
border on Saturday. The Israeli army and the Iranian-backed Hezbollah group in
Lebanon have been exchanging fire on a daily basis since the start of the Gaza
conflict three weeks ago. Some 46 Hezbollah fighters have been killed and 43
injured in the borderlands so far, the group said, adding it had conducted 84
attacks at 42 points along the border since the start of the clashes. Israel's
military says at least seven of its soldiers have been killed so far.”
The Times Of Israel: Rockets Fired From Lebanon At North; IDF Strikes Terror
Cells, Hezbollah Sites
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“Several rocket volleys were fired from Lebanon at northern Israel on Sunday,
and the Israel Defense Forces said it hit terror cells and sites belonging to
the Hezbollah terror group, as skirmishes continued on the northern frontier
and the army continues its war with Hamas terrorists in the Gaza Strip in the
south. According to the IDF, rockets were launched from Lebanon at the upper
and western Galilee several times throughout the day, setting off sirens in
towns including Kiryat Shmona, Nahariya, Shlomi, Tuba-Zangariyye, Rosh Pina,
Ayelet Hashahar, and Hatzor Haglilit. Several of the projectiles were
intercepted by air defenses, while others landed in open areas, causing no
damage, according to the IDF. One rocket fired Sunday evening scored a direct
hit on a home in Kiryat Shmona but did not cause any injuries. The IDF said it
was responding with artillery shelling against the sources of the rocket fire.
A number of rockets were also launched from Lebanon at the Mount Dov area on
the northern border, where there are a number of military positions and no
towns. The IDF said all the projectiles landed in open areas, causing no
injuries. The IDF said a drone strike was carried out against the terror cell
that launched those rockets, and that fighter jets hit a Hezbollah position in
response to the attack.”
Politico: State Dept. Urges U.S. Citizens To Evacuate Lebanon
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“The State Department on Friday recommended that U.S. citizens in Lebanon
evacuate while flights are available due to an “unpredictable security
situation” amid the escalating regional conflict. “You should have a plan of
action for crisis situations that does not rely on U.S. government assistance,”
the statement read. “The best time to leave a country is before a crisis if at
all possible.” “There is no guarantee the U.S. government will evacuate private
U.S. citizens and their family members in a crisis situation,” the statement
added. “In the event that a U.S. military-assisted evacuation does occur, our
focus will be on helping U.S. citizens. The U.S. government generally cannot
provide in-country transportation during a crisis. That includes transportation
to points of departure.” The release recommended that such individuals review
flight options at Beirut-Rafic Hariri International Airport. The statement
comes as back-and-forth strikes between the Israeli Defense Forces and the
Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah have intensified along Lebanon’s border
with Israel, prompting some 12,000 people to flee their homes in southern
Lebanon and killing at least 25.”
Middle East
CBC News: How Encrypted Messaging Apps Spread War Misinformation
<[link removed]>
“Interview with CEP Researcher Joshua Fisher-Birch.”
DW: Middle East Powder Keg: The Fear Of A Large-Scale War
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“…That could precisely be Hamas's intention, said Hans-Jakob Schindler of the
international policy organization Counter Extremism Project. "Hamas wants to
produce horrifying images of dead Palestinian civilians and thereby draw Iran
and its proxies into this conflict, Schindler told DW. These proxies are the
armed groups in the region sponsored by Iran, including the Hezbollah militia
in Lebanon. Hezbollah has repeatedly launched rocket attacks on Israel but, so
far, refrained from mounting a broader offensive. A large-scale Israeli ground
offensive is still far from certain, Schindler said. "If the situation does
escalate … first of all, Hezbollah could massively bombard northern Israel. The
next level of escalation could also see attacks in Syria against US positions
there. The third phase would probably be the Shi'ite militias in Iraq, which
would then attack the US and possibly other Western targets," he told DW.”
Reuters: Hamas Armed Wing Says Israel 'Stalled' On Possible Deal Over Hostages
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“Hamas was about to reach an agreement with Israel over the hostages held by
the Palestinian militant faction but Israel had "stalled" on that possibility,
a spokesman for the group's armed wing said on Saturday. Abu Ubaida, the
spokesman for the Izz el-Deen al-Qassam Brigades, also said in a video speech
the group would only release all the hostages it has if Israel freed all
Palestinian prisoners. Hamas can also hold talks over a "partial" agreement
over the captives, he added.”
Reuters: The Hamas Tunnel City Beneath Gaza - A Hidden Frontline For Israel
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“What lies in wait for Israeli ground troops in Gaza, security sources say,
is a Hamas tunnel network hundreds of kilometres long and up to 80 metres deep,
described by one freed hostage as "a spider's web" and by one expert as the
"Viet Cong times 10". The Palestinian Islamist group has different kinds of
tunnels running beneath the sandy 360 sq km coastal strip and its borders -
including attack, smuggling, storage and operational burrows, Western and
Middle East sources familiar with the matter said. The Israeli military accused
Hamas on Friday of using Gaza's main hospital, Al Shifa, as a shield for
tunnels and operational centres. "Hamas has turned hospitals into command and
control centres and hideouts for Hamas terrorists and commanders," Rear Admiral
Daniel Hagari, Israel's chief military spokesman, said. He showed photographs,
diagrams and audio recordings that, he said, showed how Hamas was using
hospitals to hide command posts and entry points into the tunnel network.
"Hamas terrorists operate inside and under Shifa hospital and other hospitals
in Gaza," he said. It was not possible to verify Hagari's statements. Hamas
official Ezzat El-Reshiq said there was "no basis in truth to what was reported
by the enemy army spokesman".”
United Kingdom
The Guardian: Afghans Who Fled Taliban To UK ‘Set To Be Made Homeless At
Christmas’
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“More than 1,000 Afghans in the UK face being made homeless days before
Christmas after the Home Office imposed a fresh deadline to eject them from
hotels. The Local Government Association (LGA) revealed the number of at-risk
Afghans, which includes families, after the Home Office last week imposed the
new deadline of 15 December. Meanwhile, separate new data reveals that more
than 5,200 Ukrainian families are now receiving “homelessness support”, with
4,350 defined as homeless after relationships with UK families they were
staying with “broke down”. During a meeting on Thursday, council leaders
pressed the immigration minister Robert Jenrick for more resources to help
accommodate Afghans and Ukrainians, but none was offered. Shaun Davies,
chairman of the LGA, said: “Councils are becoming increasingly concerned over
the numbers of Afghan and Ukrainian families presenting as homeless, which is
likely to dramatically increase when Home Office accommodation is withdrawn as
a result of the current clearance of the asylum backlog.” An internal LGA
briefing note on the plight of Afghan refugees who came to the UK in 2021 adds:
“Councils remain hugely concerned that some families – some of whom are
particularly vulnerable and will have ongoing medical conditions – may have to
end up presenting as homeless, particularly given the lack of available housing
stock for larger and multi-generational families.””
Reuters: London Police Chief Calls For Clarity On Handling Extremism At
Protests
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“Britain's most senior police officer said on Sunday he would support a
review into the legal definition of extremism in response to criticism of the
way his officers handled pro-Palestinian protests in London. Antisemitic and
Islamophobic incidents have surged in Britain since a deadly rampage by Hamas
gunmen in Israel on Oct. 7, and Israel's retaliatory attacks on Gaza since
then, with massive pro-Palestinian demonstrations held in London and other
major UK cities, and vigils by Jewish groups in solidarity with hostages who
were taken by the militants. Some British politicians have criticised London's
police after they failed to arrest people at a pro-Palestinian rally shouting
"jihad". The police later said the phrase could have a number of meanings,
concluding no offence had taken place. Mark Rowley, head of London's
Metropolitan Police force, said his officers would "ruthlessly" arrest anyone
who commits a hate crime, but there could only be prosecutions when the law is
broken. "There is scope to be much sharper in how we deal with extremism within
this country," he told Sky News. "The law was never designed to deal with
extremism, there’s a lot to do with terrorism and hate crime but we don’t have
a body of law that deals with extremism and that is creating a gap."”
Reuters: UK To Hold Emergency Response Meeting On Threat Of Terrorism
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“Britain will convene a meeting of the government's COBRA emergency response
committee on Monday to discuss the domestic security risk from the Israel-Hamas
conflict. Antisemitic and Islamophobic incidents have surged in Britain since a
deadly rampage by Hamas gunmen in Israel on Oct. 7 sparked retaliatory attacks
on Gaza. Massive pro-Palestinian demonstrations have been held in London and
other major UK cities, while Jewish groups have held vigils for hostages who
were taken by the militants. "We have to make sure that British systems are
safe and secure from the threat of terrorism as the government always does,"
higher education minister Robert Halfon told Times Radio. Britain's MI5
intelligence agency currently regard the threat to the country from terrorism
as substantial, meaning an attack is likely. There are two higher categories of
threat level - severe, meaning an attack is highly likely, and critical,
meaning an attack is highly likely in the near future.”
Europe
Politico: Macron To Israel: Fight Terrorism, Don’t Endanger Civilians
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“French President Emmanuel Macron urged Israel to better target its response
to Hamas terror attacks to ensure the protection of civilians in the Gaza
Strip. “We fully recognize [Israel’s] right and the legitimate will to fight
terrorism, we are ready to help. But we consider that a complete blockade,
indiscriminate bombing and the prospect of a massive ground operation don’t
protect the civilian population,” he said at a press conference after the EU
leaders’ summit he just attended. “It is crucial that Israel acts in a targeted
manner in Gaza, which means by fighting terrorism without endangering the lives
of civilians.” In the weeks since the Hamas attack on October 7, Israel has
retaliated with daily airstrikes on the blockaded Palestinian enclave, killing
more than an estimated 7,000 Palestinians in Gaza, according to the Hamas-run
Ministry of Health, which included 53 U.N. workers, whom Macron referenced,
saying: “We can’t act as if nothing was happening. These people have nothing to
do with terrorism — nothing.” Macron also alluded to Israel’s “complete siege”
on Gaza after the start of the Israel-Hamas war, which severely limited the
delivery of fuel, food, medicine and water, resulting in a worsening
humanitarian crisis, according to aid organizations.”
Southeast Asia
Associated Press: Police Arrest 27 Suspected Militants In Nationwide Crackdown
As Indonesia Gears Up For 2024 Election
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“Indonesian police said Saturday they arrested at least 27 suspected
militants believed to have links to banned extremist groups, in a nationwide
crackdown as the world’s most populous Muslim-majority country gears up for
elections in 2024. The police’s elite counterterrorism squad, known as Densus
88, made the arrests on Friday in the capital, Jakarta, and in West Java and
Central Sulawesi provinces, said National Police spokesperson Ahmad Ramadhan.
“We are still investigating and interrogating all those arrested in search for
other possible suspects,” said Aswin Siregar, the spokesperson of Densus 88
told The Associated Press. Most of the arrested are suspected of being members
of a homegrown militant outfit affiliated with the Islamic State group known as
Jemmaah Anshorut Daulah, or JAD, he said. The arrests were made after the
interrogation of 18 suspected militants arrested since Oct. 2, Ramadhan said.
Some local media reports said those arrested were linked to an alleged plot of
militant attacks meant to disrupt the elections in February 2024, but Ramadhan
quickly downplayed them. “There is no indication of increasing terrorism
threats ahead of next year’s elections so far,” he said. “This is part of our
efforts to take preventive action against possible acts of terror in the
country.””
India
Bloomberg: India’s Trade Chief Condemns Terrorism, Stresses Unity With G-7
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“India’s trade chief said his country condemned terrorism and stressed its
support for the Group of Seven nations in the wake of the escalating crisis in
the Middle East. India is “very aligned with the thinking in the G-7,” Indian
Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said on Saturday in Osaka, Japan,
at a G-7 trade ministers meeting. The South Asian nation will “continue to
support any global effort to wipe out terrorism” and to stop the funding or
support for terrorists around the world, he said. India and four other
non-member nations were invited to the two-day G-7 gathering to discuss supply
chain resilience. Goyal’s remarks reflect a close and growing interplay between
trade and geopolitical tensions around the world, amid concerns that the
conflict in the Middle East could spread. “We also believe that the conflict
should not escalate and we should try to have a dialogue, and through diplomacy
solve the problems,” Goyal said. “India has sent significant humanitarian aid
to Palestine and we do believe that our dialogue and diplomacy will help to
find a two state coexistence solution between the two parties.” Goyal spoke at
the start of his meeting with Japanese Trade Minister Yasutoshi Nishimura, who
said resilient supply chains are enabled by partnerships among trustworthy
nations and cooperation with private companies. Nishimura cited automaker
Suzuki Motor Corp.’s investment in India to make electric vehicles and export
them to other nations.”
Technology
The New York Times: Is Crypto Financing Terrorism?
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“The United States will go after cryptocurrency firms that fail to stop
terrorist groups from moving money, the U.S. deputy Treasury secretary, Wally
Adeyemo, warned on Friday. “If they do not act to prevent illicit financial
flows” Mr. Adeyemo said in a speech at the Royal United Services Institute in
London, “the United States and our partners will.” Adeyemo’s comments follow a
letter by Senator Elizabeth Warren, Democrat of Massachusetts, and dozens of
members of Congress this month that called for the Biden administration to
crack down on the use of cryptocurrency by terrorists. It cited a report that
the terror groups Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad have raised more than
$130 million in crypto in recent years. All of this has set off a raging debate
in Washington and the worlds of crypto and finance over how much cryptocurrency
is contributing to terrorism. Elliptic, the firm that provided some of the data
for the report, countered in a blog post this week that there was “no evidence
to suggest that crypto fund-raising has raised anything close to” the figure
cited, and that some of the money included in the total number might have gone
to small crypto brokers sometimes designated as terrorist organizations for
their role in financing. The analytics firm Chainalysis, which did not provide
data for the report, said that when terror funding estimates include all funds
to these service providers, they inaccurately assume everything that flows to
the service is associated with terrorism.”
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