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WG Economy: If Voters Don’t Believe In
Bidenomics, What Do They Believe?
WG Economy | David Winston
September 27, 2023
The trouble with Bidenomics has been that voters don’t believe the White House claims of economic progress. The President spent August on the road promoting Bidenomics, but there is a disconnect with voters that continues to baffle Democrats. From a previous survey for Winning the Issues, we found that voters did not believe the President’s statement earlier in the summer that the annual inflation rate had fallen for ten months straight (27-55 believe- do not believe). The last two consecutive CPI reports have shown some uptick in inflation, but over the long term, it has come down from its high point in the summer of 2022. However, the cumulative rate of inflation is why people aren't seeing any relief in prices. Our latest Presidential Inflation Rate shows the cumulative level of inflation is 17.4% for the Biden presidency, meaning that prices have gone up over 17% since Biden took office. With that prolonged level of inflation, voters believe inflation is still getting worse (60%) rather than better (16%) or not changing (21%), from our latest survey for Winning the Issues (September 13-14). WG Economy, September 27, 2023.pdf
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5 Takeaways From Another
Trump-Free Republican Debate
The party's front-runner took few hits as his rivals bickered, Nikki Haley delivered an assured performance, Tim Scott reasserted himself, and Ron Desantis took his first debate swipes at Trump.
The New York Times | Shane Goldmacher, Maggie Haberman, & Jonathan Swann
September 28, 2023
As he sat in the spin room with the Fox News host Sean Hannity after the second Republican debate on Wednesday night, Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida accurately summed up the spectacle he had just participated in.
“If I was at home watching that,” Mr. DeSantis said, “I would have changed the channel.”
The meandering and at times indecipherable debate seemed to validate former President Donald J. Trump’s decision to skip it. With only occasional exceptions, the Republicans onstage seemed content to bicker with one another. Most of them delivered the dominant front-runner only glancing blows and did little to upend the political reality that Mr. Trump is lapping all of his rivals — whose cumulative support in most national polls still doesn’t come close to the former president’s standing. Read more
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GOP concerns grow over Trump presence in House races
Democrats, meanwhile, have the edge on abortion and health care, according to the new NBC News poll
The Hill | Julia Manchester
September 26, 2023
GOP concerns are mounting over the impact former President Trump could have on competitive House races this cycle if he's the nominee as the party looks to hold onto its narrow majority in the lower chamber.
Many Republicans blamed the former president last cycle for the party's lackluster performance in what was supposed to be a red wave year.
This time around, Republican primary voters are falling in line behind Trump, but fears persist he could drive away moderate and independent voters in swing districts across the country. Read more
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Democrats plan to track and corner
Republican 2024 candidates on Trump
Reuters | Jarrett Renshaw
September 26, 2023
When Republican U.S. Representative Don Bacon was asked if he supports Donald Trump's bid for the White House next year at Nebraska town hall last month, he batted away the question, saying it was too early to say, given the former president hadn't yet secured the nomination.
Despite the non-answer, a Democratic activist with a video camera filmed the exchange, and it was quickly blasted online with the headline Bacon "refuses to tell Nebraskans if he supports Trump.
The attempt to tie a vulnerable Republican like Bacon is a scenario likely to be repeated in competitive districts around the country in the months to come, Democratic strategists tell Reuters. While U.S. President Joe Biden and his reelection campaign have rarely commented on Trump's string of criminal indictments, Democrats running for state and local office across the nation are taking the opposite tactic and making the charges a key part of their campaign. Read more
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Republicans' anti-Trump effort flounders as the former president cruises ahead
Republicans hoping for a 2024 standard-bearer other than
Trump worry that it may be too late.
NBC News | Vaughn Hillyard & Ben Kamisar
September 25, 2023
This state (SC) could be the last dam holding back Donald Trump from bulldozing his way to his third Republican presidential nomination - yet so far, none of the rival campaigns or their related super PACs have devoted significant advertising dollars to explicitly attacking him.
There is no major anti-Trump super PAC or significant donor financing a push to topple him as the party's leader, and there is concern that, at this point, spending financial or political capital to undercut Trump is a fool's errand. Read more
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Debate moderator Dana Perino: 'It's crunch time' for Republican 2024 hopefuls
Perino says if a candidate wants a breakout debate moment,
they may have to go after Trump
Politico | Kelly Garrity
September 25, 2023
Donald Trump's dominance over the Republican primary field is on the precipice of no return. Fox News is approaching this week's debate as if it's now or never for everyone else.
"It's crunch time for them," Fox News host Dana Perino told POLITICO ahead of Wednesday's debate. "They have supporters and donors who want to see a breakout moment."
During the first debate in August, candidates spent more time attacking Democratic President Joe Biden than they did the OP front-runner. Perino says if they want to succeed on the stage in California, they may have to go after Trump. Read more
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Longtime Democrat Dallas Mayor Switching To GOP: 'American Cities Need Republicans'
Daily Wire | Zach Jewell
September 22, 2023
Democratic Dallas Mayor Eric Johnson announced in a Wall Street Journal op-ed Friday that he will switch his party affiliation to Republican.
Johnson, who served nine years as a Democrat in the Texas Legislature before being elected mayor in 2019, wrote that "American cities need Republicans - and Republicans need American Cities."
"I have no intention of changing my approach to my job. But today I am changing my party affiliation," Johnson added. "Next spring, I will be voting in the Republican primary. When my career in elected office ends in 2027 on the inauguration of my successor as mayor, I will leave office as a Republican. Read more
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WG Discussion Points: Which Party's
Messages Matched Voter Priorities
WG Discussion Points | David Winston
September 22, 2023
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The latest survey from Winning the Issues (September 13-14) sheds some light on what voters are hearing from Republicans and Democrats in Congress. We asked voters about a series of 18 news stories and asked them to rate each on a scale of 1-5, with 1 not important, 3 important, and 5 is extremely important. Note that this is not the same as the top issue in how they will vote. This list includes a mix of issues, news stories, and current events to assess what is breaking through. We followed up by asking voters about the same list and on a 1-5 scale asked how much they were hearing about each from Congressional Republicans and Democrats. Using the mean score, the chart below shows how each news item ranked in order of importance, and how it ranked in order of what they were hearing from each side. WG Discussion Points, September 22, 2023.pdf |
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