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Hi Friend,
It's foot to the floor here at the Taxpayers' Union –
even Porky the
Waste-hater student interns are working overtime this
weekend.
As well as the the campaigns detailed below, we're still
business-as-usual exposing government waste. This week, we take a look at
the world through the eyes of those poor bureaucrats at
Creative NZ. The staff have received a formal health and safety
apology because [I'm not
making this up] staff suffered flight delays due to the
flooding in Auckland back in January! The formal apology related to
some souls not being given money to get into the Koru lounge which,
apparently, resulted in 'emotional
trauma'. (yes, seriously – details
below).
But first, we tackle the big numbers.
New Zealand's Debt Crisis: We need to 'Stop the
Clock!' 🛑⏰
Thanks to those who came along to Parliament and bought a sausage
as part of our fundraiser to help Grant Robertson pay back the
debt!
Here's
a video on the event and just how bad the debt now is.
Great to see 1News
pick up on the concept in the 6pm bulletin, and Newshub run my
interview with Christopher Luxon earlier in the day (skip forward in
the Newshub
video here or watch our
captioned version over on our Facebook page
here).
David Seymour also popped down to grab a sausage and helped reset
the clock after the disturbingly high new debt figures were released
in Treasury's Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update.
Sadly, we didn't hit our target of selling 80 billion sausages @ $2
each to pay back the debt. We worked it out though, that it's enough
snags end to end to get to the moon and back 14 times!
In the 12 days
since launching the Debt Clock, New Zealand’s Government Debt has
grown by more than $865 million. And the online
version of the Debt Clock continues
to spin. Right now, government debt sits at more than $161 billion
– that's basically a $81,633 (and growing) credit card bill for every NZ
household.
In the coming weeks we'll be putting in the miles to make sure the
Debt Clock gets in front of as many eyes as possible. We need to
ensure the politicians are forced to grapple with the cost of
government crisis.
The Debt Clock will be outside TVNZ for tomorrow morning's Q&A
debate, at our
Auckland Central electorate debate on Tuesday, and The Press
Leader's Debate in Christchurch on October 3.
Grant Robertson's deficit now the second largest in the world
🧨
Some government apologists try to pretend these debt numbers aren't
that bad. But despite COVID having passed, Grant Robertson's $72
million per day borrowing is, according to the International Monetary
Fund, the second
highest cyclically-adjusted fiscal deficit in the
OECD.
Click
for larger image
Hear that, kids? Tick tock, tick
tock...
Labour's GST claims are cabbage: If Hipkins' claims about
us eating more fruit and vege are right, there’s a $411m hole in
Labour's GST costings 🕳️🥬
As
the NZ Herald reported yesterday, a certain "Low Tax Lobby Group"
(their words) has found a fiscal hole in Labour's GST-free fruit &
vege policy costings
Despite Labour's policy document stating that taking GST off fresh
fruit and vegetables “will have the additional benefit of
encouraging Kiwis to purchase more healthy fruit and vegetables in
their weekly shop”, the Party's costings assume not one more
fresh or frozen carrot or blueberry is consumed!
You will recall Labour has been jumping up and down about National
apparently not factoring in enough demand change in relation to its
budgeted revenue from Nicola Willis's proposed foreign buyer's tax.
But that is more of a debate of whether it was factored
in enough – here Labour has ignored dynamic effects
entirely.
Labour's GST policy has already been roundly rejected by economists
and pundits across the political spectrum. But now we know that
GST-free cabbages can't count either.
Using economic modelling based on what happens when food is
subsidised, we can estimate that Labour has a budget hole of around
$411 million if the GST reduction is passed on in full (as suggested
by Labour’s election advertisements).
But if only 30 per cent of the GST reduction is passed onto
consumers (as the Tax Working Group’s expert advice suggests – advice
uncovered by your humble Taxpayers' Union last week),
there is still a $123
million gap in Labour’s costings.
Labour is effectively saying its plan to destroy the best GST
system in the world will not result in Kiwis eating one more
carrot. Either Labour’s got a big hole in its costings, or the
Party know its key sales pitch (that it's good for shoppers) is fresh
baloney.
We say that dodgy
costings like these show yet again why an independent costings unit to
audit the spending promises that political parties put forward during
elections is a no brainer. On
that subject, I joined Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive recently to
argue for just this type of office.
On Labour's costing hole, you can read the coverage over on the NZ
Herald here, or our
full explanation in the media release here.
Tackling co-governance in fiery post-1News Leaders' Debate
panel 🗣️🔥
Tuesday brought with it the first head-to-head Hipkins v Luxon
leaders' debate. Neither landed a knock-out blow or dropped a major
clanger. The
real fiery exchange came in our post-debate analysis show where Simon
Wilson, Fran O'Sullivan, and I locked horns on co-governance.
Host of The Working Group podcast Martyn Bradbury
moderated the, errr, spirited discussion with Fran O'Sullivan
and Simon Wilson from the NZ Herald, Dr Bryce Edwards of
Victoria University, Stuff columnist (and big
Taxpayers' Union supporter) Damien Grant, and yours
truly.
Unlike some mainstream media outlets (we are looking at you TVNZ!),
at the Taxpayers' Union, we believe in giving a platform to
people with a diverse range of views if we are going to have a
worthwhile debate – even to people we strongly disagree with.
The
fiery discussion on co-governance is particularly worth a
watch.
On Tuesday, we host our next electorate debate in the
Auckland Central. We'll also be releasing our exclusive
Taxpayers' Union – Curia Auckland Central poll. Will Chlöe
Swarbrick be on track to hold the seat?
If
you're in Auckland, make sure you get your hands on one of the last of
tickets still available.
Hipkins wants to hike fuel taxes 🤯⛽️
Great to see the Stop
Higher Fuel Taxes campaign is getting cut through. Thank
you for those who have bought "Wants
to hike fuel taxes" signs – please keep those photos coming! We
still have a few dozen in the office, so to get yours head
over to our store (you only need to pay the postage).
Cry Me a River: Stranded Creative NZ staff
"betrayed" by lack of airline lounge
access 😢✈️
In one of those stories that makes you double check the date is not
1st April, we noticed a Stuff
story this week that Creative NZ had commissioned an independent
reviewer to investigate apparent mistreatment of staff who were
stranded at Auckland Airport during the flooding back in
January.
Here's my email to Creative NZ's media team which speaks for itself
(click
here for larger version):
Initially they would not reply, but after following up yesterday we
got the answer: it was a staff hui.
Grant's mismanagement sees ACT pull back tax relief
promise 🟡💸
While no one wants to see tax relief more than the
Taxpayers' Union,
it is important to recognise that spending needs to come down
dramatically first. The only true tax cut is a spending
cut – the rest is just timing. Any
tax relief or spending promises that don't come with matching spending
reductions, simply means more borrowing today (and more taxes
tomorrow).
On Thursday, the ACT
Party released its amended
Alternative Budget factoring in the updated Government's books.
The party has watered down its previous tax reform package. Kiwis will
still be at least a few hundred bucks a year better off under this new
plan, but it keeps (at least in the short term) the 33% tax rate.
Grant Robertson's economic mismanagement got us into this mess with
public spending increasing by 68 percent in just six years, resulting
in the second largest budget deficits in the developed world (see
above). ACT says that damage can't be fixed overnight and wants to
prioritise getting the books back in order.
The 'alternative budget' has some other measures that we quite like
the look of, including:
- Introducing a carbon dividend from Emissions Trading Scheme
revenue
- Abolishing the bright-line test in its entirety
- Reintroducing interest deductibility for residential
landlords
- Scrapping corporate welfare and Government picking winners
- Means testing or targeting more welfare spending
- Abolishing ministries based on demographics
- Introducing sharing with councils for construction GST
revenue
Taxpayer Talk: Phil Barry On The Real Cost Of The Coming Crackdown
On Smokers 🎙️🎧
A radical set of new anti-smoking measures is set to bring
New Zealand close to a de facto prohibition on smoking. But with the
black market rearing its head, what is the real cost of this crackdown
for taxpayers, businesses and the economy? Ironically, our health's
finances rely on those few who still smoke. For a decade smoking taxes
have paid more than four times over the health costs of lighting
up.
A major new analysis of Ayesha Verrall's Smoked Tobacco
Amendment outlines $1.3 billion in new costs, and argues the
legislation is "largely, if not entirely, redundant".
This week on Taxpayer Talk, Taxpayers'
Union outgoing spokesman for lifestyle economics Louis Houlbrooke
is joined by Phil Barry, a director of TDB Advisory who
worked with Infometrics to produce the new report.
Listen to the episode on our
website | Apple | Spotify | Google Podcasts | iHeart Radio
You
can also read the full TDB analysis of the Smoked Tobacco
Amendment here.
One more thing... 😕
Next week we will be finalising our ad-spend and campaign
budget through to voting next month. I'll admit we've been so busy
campaigning, we are well below budget to book the advertising and
events we had originally planned for the coming weeks. This work is
fuelled by New Zealanders like you who back our work for Lower
Taxes, Less Waste, and More Accountability. To join
up as a member click here, or to
make a secure and confidential donation, click here.
Thank you for your support.
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Jordan
Williams Executive Director New Zealand Taxpayers’
Union.
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Media
coverage:
Stuff Newsable: Warriors
fight on, political week wrap, animal dreams, Fun Fact Friday
(08:20)
RNZ New
TPU-Curia poll: National, ACT remain in position to form
government
The Platform Free
Speech Fridays #43 - Jonathan Ayling & Maurice
Williamson
NZ Herald Election
2023: Labour polls at 27pc in Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll for
September
RNZ The
Pre-Panel with Catherine Robertson and Steve
McCabe (01:30)
Newstalk ZB Barry
Soper: Newstalk ZB Senior Political Correspondent on another poll
putting Labour below 30 percent
The
Post Hipkins
puts on a brave face in 'heartland' Ōhāriu
Newstalk
ZB Afternoon
Edition: 08 September 2023 – September Poll
NZ
Herald Election
2023: Claire Trevett – NZ First rodeo, National-Luxon attack ads,
Labour poll strain kicks in
The Post Extra
spending doesn't always mean wasteful
spending
Newshub Newshub
Nation Battlegrounds: Labour MP scolds The Opportunities Party leader
Raf Manji for splitting the vote in Ilam,
Christchurch
interest.co.nz Most
new polls show National would need support from both the Act and New
Zealand First parties to form a majority
government
RNZ Advocacy
angst as campaign begins
Newstalk ZB Mike's
Minute: This weekend opened a gap in the election
race
NZ Herald On
the Campaign: 'Trainwreck' interviews and packed policy
announcements (11:10)
Northern Advocate Far
North news in brief: Community grants; meet the candidates and
Awanui
crash
Newstalk ZB Live:
Luxon gatecrashed while waving signs, Labour plummets in
poll
RNZ Election
2023 updates for 12 September: Hipkins 'pretty pleased' with PREFU,
National says it shows 'more pain to come'
NZ
Herald Election
2023: Audrey Young - even an economic miracle can’t save Labour
now
Newshub Election
2023: Taxpayers' Union says National 'bit ratty' about gatecrashed
human hoarding event
Newstalk ZB Midday
Edition: 12 September 2023 – Debt Clock
Newstalk
ZB Election
Fix: 12 September 2023 – Debt Clock (04:50)
NZ
Herald On
The Campaign: What does the PREFU mean for our politicians and the
economy? (11:07)
RNZ Party
leaders ride the highs and lows of new
poll
1News Election
2023: Politicians react to economy revelations
(05:31)
BusinessDesk Poll
gives Jones little chance of winning Northland
seat
RNZ Northland
electorate poll predicts clear defeat for Labour's Willow-Jean
Prime
The Daily Blog Taxpayers’
Union Northland Electorate debate hosted by The Working
Group
RNZ Election
2023: Photos from the campaign trail, Tuesday 12
September
Newsroom Once
safe blue seat of Ilam now more politically fluid
Politik To
cut or not to cut
RNZ National
not impressed by PREFU (05:49)
Northern
Advocate Election
2023: Northland electorate looks like heading back to National —
poll
RNZ Raucous
Northland debate crowd rails at Covid, te reo Māori
mentions
Newstalk ZB The
Huddle: Can National afford their promised tax
cuts?
NZ Herald Election
2023: Voters think National-Act-NZ First is a ‘coalition of chaos’ -
poll
NZ Herald On
The Campaign: The criticism grows for National's tax plan - will it
matter to voters? (14:20)
The Crux Finance
spokespeople face off in fun, sometimes fiery, Queenstown
debate
NZ Herald Matthew
Hooton: Tax cuts? It's spending cuts we
need
Politik Willis
under pressure in Queenstown
The Daily
Blog Northland
Debate: Winners and Losers
Newsroom When
four politicians walk into a room
Newstalk
ZB Morning
Edition: 16 September 2023 – Willis Resignation Commitment
(00:52)
Newsroom Electorates
to Watch: the Battle for
Northland
DemocracyProject Bryce
Edwards: A Very hollow election
The
Spinoff Angry
Fence Man is in the house (or outside of it,
anyway)
The Daily Blog The
Working Group/Taxpayers’ Union Post Leaders Debate analysis live from
Backbenchers Pub
The Spinoff Megapod
1: The first TVNZ leaders debate assessed
(09:30)
RNZ Red
wave may be breaking in battle for Ilam
Newstalk
ZB The
Huddle: Should Chris Luxon confirm a collaboration with Winston
Peters- or wait til after the election?
The
Listener Danyl
McLauchlan: A week of prospects, protests and
possibilities
NBR Still
no sign of National's fiscal plan and detailed
costings
Kiwiblog Official
government advice was that only 30% of a GST exemption is passed
on.
NZ Herald Election
2023: More fiscal holes as Labour faces questions about GST
policy
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