CBS/YouGov poll shows Trump beating Biden

September 20, 2023

Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.

Public Says Biden Is Weak And Predictable Not The Leader America Needs To Fix The Country

The latest CBS News/YouGov poll shows Trump beating Biden by one point 50% to 49%. While that’s well within the margin of error, other recent polls have shown Trump beating Biden by as many as six percentage points in the past three weeks. Whatever the metric, Trump is polling significantly better now than he was at any time in 2020, and that has Democrats worried. What is interesting is not only how close the two are in national polls, but the fact that the public is craving a maverick-type president with an unpredictable leadership style to right the country. Americans largely say the country needs a “tough” leader, from amongst nine personality traits including “calm”, “caring “and “no nonsense.” The largest share of the public (67%) say America needs a “tough” president, and a much smaller share (only 22%) say the country needs a “predictable” president. Unfortunately for Biden, Americans say that he is not a tough president by a margin of 73% to 27%, and they say he is too predictable by a margin of 61% to 39%. Trump, on the other hand, is seen as a tough leader by a margin of 67% to 33%, and he is seen as highly unpredictable, with Americans saying he is not predictable 65% to 35%.

Video: House Oversight Impeachment Inquiry Begins On Sept. 28!

House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer (R-Ky.) has set the first impeachment inquiry of President Joe Biden hearing to Sept. 28.

Video: As if the U.S. Senate could not get more outrageous…

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) has announced a relaxation of the dress code on the Senate floor. In the past, everyone setting foot in the Senate had to be dressed in a suit and tie, or for women, similarly professional clothing. This is part of a larger problem in the Senate: it has become a circus of elected officials who in some cases should not be there at all.

Andrew McCarthy: There Is No Insurrection Case against Trump

“[T]he Department of Justice has been investigating Donald Trump and the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot for nearly three years, yet no insurrection charges have ever been brought against Trump or anyone else. That should be in the front of our minds as anti-Trump obsessives, of the left and the right, proceed with their incendiary plot to disqualify Trump from seeking the presidency by inducing sympathetic state officials to brand him an insurrectionist under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. The Justice Department — the arm of the United States government vested with responsibility to enforce the insurrection law — has not charged Trump with insurrection because it can’t prove Trump committed insurrection. Not with anything we would recognize as due process of law.”

 

Public Says Biden Is Weak And Predictable Not The Leader America Needs To Fix The Country

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By Manzanita Miller   

A giant new poll delving deep into the public’s views on President Biden, Former President Trump, the U.S. economy and their own economic situation reveals a people deeply unhappy with the direction of the country under President Biden. 

First, the latest CBS News/YouGov poll shows Trump beating Biden by one point 50% to 49%. While that’s well within the margin of error, other recent polls have shown Trump beating Biden by as many as six percentage points in the past three weeks. Whatever the metric, Trump is polling significantly better now than he was at any time in 2020, and that has Democrats worried.  

What is interesting is not only how close the two are in national polls, but the fact that the public is craving a maverick-type president with an unpredictable leadership style to right the country. Americans largely say the country needs a “tough” leader, from amongst nine personality traits including “calm”, “caring “and “no nonsense.” The largest share of the public (67%) say America needs a “tough” president, and a much smaller share (only 22%) say the country needs a “predictable” president.

Unfortunately for Biden, Americans say that he is not a tough president by a margin of 73% to 27%, and they say he is too predictable by a margin of 61% to 39%. Trump, on the other hand, is seen as a tough leader by a margin of 67% to 33%, and he is seen as highly unpredictable, with Americans saying he is not predictable 65% to 35%.  

While polls can be deceiving, these personality characteristics are hard to ignore, as is the public’s increasing dissatisfaction with the direction of the country under Biden’s directives.  

Americans view of the direction of the country overall is increasingly bleak. By a margin of 37% to 6% Americans say the country is doing “very badly”. An additional 32% say the country is doing “somewhat badly” and 24% say the country is doing “somewhat well”. This translates into a negative view of the country by a margin of 70% to 30%.

Alarmingly for Biden, three key groups he cannot afford to lose ground with feel the country is doing worse under his Administration than before. A full 73% of women (a greater share than the 67% of men) say the country is doing badly while only 27% say the county is doing well. This is crushing for Biden, who won the female vote by 15 percentage points in 2020 but is now polling well below that in several polls with women.

Independents are another group who strongly feel the country is on the wrong track.  Independents say 56% to 24% the country is doing badly. Hispanics, another group Biden won by double digits in 2020 but has been slipping with in polls due largely to economic issues, say the country is doing badly by a margin of 66% 34%.

The poll blatantly asked Americans whether they are better off now financially than they were three years ago, a not-so-subtle gauge of how voters view the Biden economy, and the results are bleak for the president. By over a two to one margin (45% to 20%) Americans say they are worse off financially now than they were three years ago. Americans also say by margin of 36% to 26% that there are fewer good jobs in their area compared to three years ago.

The public is also worried about Biden’s ability to make it through a second term, and just 34% believe he will do so if he is reelected. The poll demonstrates Americans are most concerned about Biden’s physical health when it comes to the demanding job of president, but a sizeable share is also concerned about his cognitive abilities.

When asked whether Trump, Biden, both, or neither are “physically healthy” enough to take on the job of president, only 16% said only Biden is healthy enough, compared to 43% who said only Trump is healthy enough. Twelve percent of Americans say both of them are healthy enough and 29% say neither are healthy enough for the role.  

Biden fairs slightly better on mental health than he does on physical health, but barely more than a quarter of Americans (26%), say that Biden and not Trump has the mental fortitude to serve as President. Forty-four percent of Americans say Trump and not Biden has the mental fortitude to serve as president. Seven percent of Americans say both Trump and Biden have the mental fortitude and 23% say neither of them do.   

While the election is still over a year away, recent polling has demonstrated the deeply negative view of the Biden administration among the public over the past three years. Economic issues continue to drive down Biden’s polling numbers with swing voters including women and Hispanics, and the public is blatantly demanding a tougher and more unpredictable leadership-style, marks Biden does very poorly on.

Manzanita Miller is an associate analyst at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.

To view online: https://dailytorch.com/2023/09/public-says-biden-is-weak-and-predictable-not-the-leader-america-needs-to-fix-the-country/

 

Video: House Oversight Impeachment Inquiry Begins On Sept. 28!

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To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn4xGOmnLUo

 

Video: As if the U.S .Senate could not get more outrageous…

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To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDMdV4wIJwU

 

too-hot-not-to-read

There Is No Insurrection Case against Trump

By Andrew McCarthy

You know insurrection is a crime, right?

Just to recap, under Section 2383 of the federal criminal code, a person is guilty of a felony, punishable by up to ten years’ imprisonment, if he “incites, sets on foot, assists, or engages in any rebellion or insurrection against the authority of the United States or the laws thereof, or gives aid or comfort thereto.”

And why do we need a refresher on this? Because the Department of Justice has been investigating Donald Trump and the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot for nearly three years, yet no insurrection charges have ever been brought against Trump or anyone else.

That should be in the front of our minds as anti-Trump obsessives, of the left and the right, proceed with their incendiary plot to disqualify Trump from seeking the presidency by inducing sympathetic state officials to brand him an insurrectionist under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment.

The Justice Department — the arm of the United States government vested with responsibility to enforce the insurrection law — has not charged Trump with insurrection because it can’t prove Trump committed insurrection. Not with anything we would recognize as due process of law.

It’s not that Biden-DOJ-appointed special counsel Jack Smith hasn’t been trying. And it is obviously not that Smith is unwilling to stretch federal criminal laws to the breaking point to make a January 6 case against Trump. The insuperable hurdle is that the evidence does not support a charge of insurrection.

The Biden Justice Department, the most unabashedly political Justice Department in American history, has prosecuted about 1,100 people in connection with the riot, while blinking at the more lengthy and lethal rioting of the radical left. It has been moving heaven and earth to make criminal cases against the former Republican president, indicting him twice, even as it turns a blind eye to the Biden family influence-peddling scandal and willfully allows the statute-of-limitations on the crimes of the sitting Democratic president and his family to expire rather than filing indictments.

After years of investigating, Smith and the Biden Justice Department brought a January 6 indictment against Trump in the District of Columbia, which has the most Trump-hostile jury pool in the country. They then hit the jackpot by drawing an anti-Trump judge out of central casting — Obama appointee Tanya Chutkan, who, in a courthouse where the bench teems with Democratic appointees who’ve meted out harsh sentences to January 6 defendants, manages to stand out as the scourge of the Capitol riot. It is safe to say that Judge Chutkan has swallowed whole the Democratic Party hyperbole that our democracy stood on the precipice of doom due to a mere three hours of unrest — in which no security personnel were killed, which had not the remotest chance of reversing Biden’s victory, and which was so ineffectual that Congress was able to reconvene in the Capitol just a few hours later.

Nevertheless, gifted with this greatest home-field advantage of all time, Smith and his team haven’t charged Trump with insurrection. That’s because they don’t have a case. They desperately want to bring one, but they know that nothing would explode the Democrats’ January 6 myth-making like an acquittal of Donald Trump. And even with Judge Chutkan presiding and a Washington, D.C., jury, that’s what they’d get.

Trump has never been charged with a crime of violence arising out of the riot. Even Smith’s stretch-and-strain indictment did not cross that line. In the Justice Department’s 1,100-odd January 6 cases, not only was Trump never charged; he was not even named as an unindicted coconspirator as defendants were convicted of assaulting police officers and forcibly obstructing a congressional proceeding.

It is not enough to say that Trump was not charged or named as an unindicted coconspirator in the Justice Department’s seditious-conspiracy cases. Those cases themselves do not charge sedition — the wellspring of insurrection.

In the relevant statute (Section 2384), the word seditious appears only in the title, not in the charging language. That language prescribes five distinct conspiracy objectives, the commission of any one of which is a crime punishable by up to 20 years’ imprisonment.

The two most serious of these are akin to sedition as connoted by the Democratic narrative of the Capitol riot: (1) conspiracy “to overthrow, put down, or destroy by force the Government of the United States,” and (2) conspiracy “to levy war against” the United States. But while the Biden Justice Department’s cheerleaders like to tout the “sedition” convictions, the Justice Department did not charge anyone with conspiring to overthrow the government or wage war against our nation. That’s not what even the worst of the rioters were up to. The rioters bought Trump’s reckless nonsense about a stolen election and believed they were saving the government and the country. What they did was reprehensible, but it was not an effort to overthrow the government — it was to preserve the government with Trump, whom they irrationally believed had been duly elected, as president.

Thus, the Justice Department had to resort to two of the three less serious, albeit condemnable, conspiracies codified by Section 2384: conspiracy (3) “to oppose by force the authority” of the United States government, and (4) conspiracy “to prevent, hinder, or delay the execution of any law of the United States.” (The fifth conspiracy criminalized by Section 2384 is conspiracy to forcibly seize government property.)

These are serious offenses, but they are not sedition, let alone insurrection. It is noteworthy, moreover, that the Justice Department’s rationale for invoking these Section 2384 provisions in January 6 cases could also have rationalized seditious-conspiracy charges against radical leftists who were stirred by the likes of Senator Elizabeth Warren to occupy the Capitol during the 2018 Kavanaugh-confirmation hearings, as well as, say, the radical leftists who firebombed the federal courthouse in Portland, Ore., in 2021.

Naturally, such cases were never brought.

The Justice Department has not resorted to the most egregious seditious-conspiracy charges in connection with the Capitol riot for the same reason it hasn’t brought an insurrection charge: In a courtroom, prosecutors need evidence — the loose rhetoric of Democrats and other anti-Trump obsessives won’t do. And no violent-crime charges have been brought against Trump at all because, again, in a courtroom, moral and political culpability for the events of January 6 — which Trump undoubtedly bears — is insufficient. You’ve got to be able to prove the crime — not just the acts of force but the required mental state. On Trump, Smith has neither. And he’s not close, because — past being prologue — if he were close, he’d go for it.

I don’t want Donald Trump to run for president, much less be president. But on the facts of the case, the only way to disqualify him is to impeach and convict him. Impeachment has its own disqualification provision which the Senate failed to satisfy in Trump’s second impeachment trial. The 14th Amendment is not a legitimate substitute for it, any more than the 25th Amendment was when its potential invocation was (properly) rejected in the frenzied days after the Capitol riot.

Inadvertently or not, those who are advocating the 14th Amendment as a vehicle for banning a Trump presidential run are doing the same thing they condemn Trump for doing: positing a highly dubious, widely rejected legal theory to interfere with the Constitution’s democratic process for electing a president. Why do I think that when they inevitably get the same result, they will shrug their shoulders Trump-like and tell us they bear no blame for the tumult?

That said, since we are apparently content for the criminal-justice process to be our proxy for Congress’s failed impeachment process, should it not also settle any legitimate question of the 14th Amendment? That is, shouldn’t there be no move to disqualify Donald Trump under Section 3 unless special counsel Smith indicts and convicts him of insurrection — with Trump given all the due-process protections of a criminal trial?

If Smith, with all of his advantages, cannot make the case, why are we even discussing this?

To view online: https://www.nationalreview.com/2023/09/there-is-no-insurrection-case-against-trump/

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