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Welcome to the Friday, Feb. 28, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:
- Average time between state leg filing deadlines and primaries is 85 days
- Nine candidates running to replace Duncan Hunter in California’s 50th Congressional District top-two primary
- What’s the tea?
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Average time between state leg filing deadlines and primaries is 85 days
We recently took a look at the times spanning filing deadlines and primary elections. Among the states holding 2020 legislative elections, the average length between the two is 85 days. The three states with the shortest time between the two (63 days) are Connecticut, Delaware, and South Dakota, while the three states with the longest length of time are Kentucky (130 days), Missouri (126), and Tennessee (126).
In 19 of the 44 states holding legislative elections in 2020, filing deadlines occur after the end of the state legislative session. This means that candidates can base their decision to run on events that occurred during the legislative session. Candidates in the remaining 25 states have to file either during or before their legislative session.
In the 40 states holding both state legislative elections and sessions this year, 33 primaries are scheduled to occur after the end of the state's legislative session. Primaries in two states—Arkansas and North Carolina—are scheduled to take place before their legislative sessions, while five other states’ primaries take place during the legislative sessions. In those seven states, an incumbent could be challenged and defeated in a primary but still have either all or part of a legislative session to attend.
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Nine candidates running to replace Duncan Hunter in California’s 50th Congressional District top-two primary
We’re continuing our previews of March 3 battleground primaries with the top-two primary in California’s 50th Congressional District. This election features nine candidates vying to replace former Rep. Duncan Hunter (R), who resigned Jan. 13 after pleading guilty to misusing campaign funds. Hunter had represented the district since 2013.
Media coverage and endorsements have focused on one Democrat and three Republicans: Ammar Campa-Najjar (D), Carl DeMaio (R), Darrell Issa (R), and Brian Jones (R).
Only the top two vote-getters in the primary will advance to the November 3, 2020, general election. One Democrat and one Republican have advanced from the primary in every election since the state began using top-two primaries in 2012.
Campa-Najjar faced Hunter in the 2018 general election, losing 48% to 52%. Reps. Susan Davis (D), Eric Swalwell (D), and Adam Schiff (D) endorsed Campa-Najjar in the 2020 election.
San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond and Former San Diego Mayor Roger Hedgecock endorsed DeMaio. U.S. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R) and Rep. Steve Scalise (R) endorsed Issa, who retired from representing the 49th Congressional District in 2019. The California Republican Assembly, the San Diego Police Officers Association, and the Peace Officers Research Association of California endorsed Jones.
Also running in the primary are Jose Cortes (Peace and Freedom Party of California), Helen Horvath (I), Lucinda Jahn (I), Henry Ota (I), and Nathan Wilkins (R). Marisa Calderon (D) suspended her campaign Jan. 31, but her name will still appear on the ballot.
The Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+11, meaning that this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average in the previous two presidential elections. All three major race rating outlets view the general as Safe/Solid Republican. CA-50 is located in the southern portion of the state and includes much of San Diego County and portions of Riverside County.
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Every presidential year contains one extra day for campaigning and fundraising, since these years always coincide with Leap Year. So for this week’s What’s the tea? question, we’re interested to know:
Do you know anyone with a Leap Day birthday?
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