Today's Brew reviews the number of Democratic delegates allocated through March 3 + our weekly roundup of local news
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Welcome to the Thursday, February 27, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:
* Democrats will allocate 1,499 pledged delegates through Super Tuesday
* Local Roundup
* Cuellar, Cisneros compete for Democratic nomination in Texas' 28th District March 3
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** DEMOCRATS WILL ALLOCATE 1,499 PLEDGED DELEGATES THROUGH SUPER TUESDAY
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After three presidential nominating events—the Iowa and Nevada caucuses and the New Hampshire primary—101 pledged delegates have been allocated in the Democratic presidential primary, or 2.5% of the pledged delegates at stake in the whole process. Bernie Sanders leads with an estimated 45 pledged delegates. Pete Buttigieg is in second with an estimated 25 delegates, followed by Joe Biden with 15, Elizabeth Warren with eight, and Amy Klobuchar with seven. These estimates reflect projections as of Feb. 25.
Fifty-four pledged delegates will be at stake in the South Carolina primary Feb. 29.
ON MARCH 3—SUPER TUESDAY—14 STATES AND AMERICAN SAMOA WILL CONDUCT NOMINATING CONTESTS TO ALLOCATE 1,344 PLEDGED DELEGATES. This will bring the cumulative total awarded to 1,499, or 37.7% of the total number of pledged delegates. By the end of March, an additional 14 jurisdictions will conduct primaries and caucuses and a total of 2,603 delegates will have been allocated, representing 65.4% of the cumulative total.
To win the Democratic nomination, a candidate needs the support of at least 1,991 pledged delegates on the first ballot at the Democratic National Convention, scheduled for July 13-16 in Milwaukee. There will be 4,750 delegates in total—3,979 pledged delegates and 771 automatic delegates (often referred to as superdelegates). Automatic delegates will not be permitted to vote on the first ballot.
If no candidate wins a majority of pledged delegates on the first ballot, a second vote will take place and automatic delegates will be able to vote. Because some automatic delegates can cast only half-votes, which are not rounded up, the majority figure required to win the nomination on the second or any subsequent ballots is 2,375.5.
Pledged delegates are allocated proportionally based on the outcome of each state's nominating contest. A candidate is typically only eligible to receive a share of the pledged delegates at stake if he or she wins at least 15% of votes cast in a primary or caucus. Party rules require that pledged delegates "shall in all good conscience reflect the sentiments of those who elected them." Pledged delegates are selected in several ways—direct election in primaries or caucuses, local or district party conventions, and state party conventions.
Automatic delegates are not obligated to pledge their support to any candidate. Automatic delegates include Democratic members of Congress, governors, and other party leaders, including former presidents and vice-presidents.
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** LOCAL ROUNDUP
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We cover all officeholders in the nation's 100 largest cities, plus every election on the ballot in these cities, such as special districts, county officials, and local ballot measures. On March 3, we're covering primaries in five states for 700 local offices, including seven mayors, 216 judges, and 477 others such as city council member, county commissioner, sheriff, and district attorney. Here are two key races we’re following:
** SAN DIEGO ([link removed]))
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San Diego voters will hold a primary election for mayor on March 3. Kevin Faulconer—who was first elected mayor in 2014 and was re-elected in 2016—is not running for re-election. Six candidates are running in the primary, and the two candidates who receive the most votes will advance to the Nov. 3 general election. Although municipal elections in San Diego are nonpartisan, Faulconer was endorsed in 2014 by the San Diego County Republican Party.
San Diego is the eighth-largest city in the United States and the largest city that currently has a mayor affiliated with the Republican Party. Twenty-nine mayoral elections will be held in the 100 largest U.S. cities in 2020. In 15 of the 29 cities that are holding mayoral elections this year, the pre-election incumbent was Republican. Twelve incumbents were Democratic, one was independent, and one was nonpartisan. More than half of the cities with Republican mayors at the start of the year will hold elections in 2020.
** TRAVIS COUNTY, TEXAS ([link removed])#DISTRICT_ATTORNEY)
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Incumbent Margaret Moore, José Garza, and Erin Martinson are running in the Democratic primary for Travis County District Attorney on March 3. Moore was elected in 2016 by defeating Maura Phelan (R), 66% to 34%. Moore ran unopposed in the Democratic primary that year. Democratic presidential candidates Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren endorsed Garza. The Austin American-Statesman editorial board endorsed Moore.
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** CUELLAR, CISNEROS COMPETE FOR DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION IN TEXAS' 28TH DISTRICT MARCH 3
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We’re continuing our previews of March 3 battleground primaries with the Democratic primary in Texas' 28th Congressional District. This election features incumbent Henry Cuellar, who describes himself as a moderate-centrist, against self-described progressive challenger Jessica Cisneros.
Cuellar was first elected in 2004 and has been endorsed by Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairwoman Cheri Bustos. He has been supported by satellite spending from American Workers for Progress, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, and the Voter Protection Project. He has said Cisneros is an outsider backed by special interests who does not understand the desires of the district's constituency.
Cisneros is backed by Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. She has been supported by satellite spending by Texas Forward (a group affiliated with EMILY's List), the Working Families Party, Communication Workers of America, and the Service Employees International Union. She says Cuellar has voted with President Donald Trump 70% of the time. Her campaign material has called Cuellar "Trump's favorite Democrat."
According to Federal Election Commission reports through February 12, 2020, Cuellar has raised $1.8 million to Cisneros’ $1.3 million. Cuellar has spent $2.3 million and Cisneros has spent $1 million through that date.
The winner of the Democratic primary will face Sandra Whitten (R) and Bekah Congdon (L) in the general election. THE 28TH DISTRICT HAS A PARTISAN VOTER INDEX SCORE OF D+9, MEANING THIS DISTRICT'S RESULTS WERE 9 PERCENTAGE POINTS MORE DEMOCRATIC THAN THE NATIONAL AVERAGE IN THE 2012 AND 2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS. All three major race rating outlets rate the race as Solid Democratic.
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