Hey John, it’s Paul Begala.

I’m no stranger to competitive elections. I know how to fight against ruthless Republican opponents – and I know what it takes to win tricky tossup races like Jacky Rosen’s in Nevada.

Here’s my expert analysis on Nevada’s Senate race so far:

• The odds are stacked against Democrats this cycle, and Senate control could very well come down to Nevada. We’re defending a fragile Senate majority, and McConnell is taking every chance he can get to flip vulnerable seats and take back control.

• Republicans spent over $55 MILLION to try to flip Nevada last cycle – and they were only defeated by a NARROW .77% margin.

• Mitch McConnell’s handpicked candidate is outraising Jacky. I’ve been around the block enough times to know that early resources can make or break battleground elections like Nevada’s. Simply put, if you can’t raise the money to compete, you lose.

• Even worse? A recent poll shows her 2 points down. If she can’t raise the resources to fight back, Jacky risks falling too far behind to ever catch up.

Here’s the bottom line: this isn’t where you want to be in a tossup race like this. But I’m not sounding the alarm just yet. Because if we act now, we can turn this around.

If Jacky can raise another $35,000 before midnight, she can make up the gap and reach her monthly fundraising goal. That comes down to you, friend. Can you please chip in $5 to Jacky’s and Catherine's campaigns to help keep Nevada and the Senate blue?

The stakes are too high to sit idly by. Thank you for your support.

Paul Begala