When America’s established parties can’t meet the needs of voters for long enough, old coalitions collapse and unexpected things happen.
Hi Friend,
When America’s established parties can’t meet the needs of voters for long enough, old coalitions collapse and unexpected things happen.
That’s what unfolded in 1860 when Abraham Lincoln, leading the recently created Republican Party, won a four-way race for the White House with 39.2 percent of the popular vote.
Earlier that year, the Democratic Party had broken in two, with a northern faction nominating Stephen Douglas (29.5 percent of the vote) and an absolutist pro-slavery southern bloc putting up John Breckenridge (18.1 percent). John Bell, representing the Constitutional Union Party (which included remnants of the Know Nothing Party), pulled up the rear with 12.6 percent.
We can all be thankful that America, for all our problems, isn’t on the precipice like we were in 1860.
But how much more evidence do you need that 2024 could feature the same kind of dissatisfaction and divisions that have historically created openings for new political coalitions to emerge?
- Almost half of American voters are now self-identified independents ([link removed] ) .
- Supermajorities of voters don’t want a rerun of the 2020 election and have profound ([link removed] ) concerns about the fitness of both presumptive major party nominees for office.
- Only about 2 in 10 American thinks ([link removed] ) democracy is working very well in the U.S.
Next week, we’ll share a perspective on why the unique math of the U.S. electoral system could make a No Labels Unity presidential ticket viable in 2024.
Until then, remember that one of the greatest presidents in Americans history only needed 39.2 percent of the popular vote to win the White House and make history.
We are only two days from our end-of-month deadline, so pitch in $25, $50, or even $100 today to help hit our goal and help chart the course of history. ([link removed] )
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Best regards,
Ryan Clancy
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