[ [link removed] ]314 ACTION FUND: INTERNAL MEMO ON DEMOCRATIC STRATEGY
RECIPIENT:
[email protected]
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We wanted to share this internal memo with you about our strategy to win
what experts are predicting will be some of the most competitive House
races in the battle for Democrats to retake the chamber next year.
[ [link removed] ]If these challengers win we will win the House: So before we go into
detail, would you consider donating $5 so we can invest in the programs
that will elect these 5 Democratic challengers running against the most
vulnerable Republicans up next year?
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CHRISTINA BOHANNAN (IA-1)
Competitiveness: Iowa’s 1st Congressional District made history in 2020 –
it was the closest House race in 100 years, with Republicans flipping the
district by a margin of just 6 votes. That’s right, voters in 2-3
households decided the outcome of this race.
The Candidate: Democrat Christina Bohannan can relate to working Iowans
the way few politicians can. She grew up in a trailer, worked her way
through school (including picking produce to afford tuition), to become
the first in her family to graduate college. She worked as an
environmental engineer in heavily polluted areas before becoming a
distinguished law professor and unseating a 20-year incumbent in the State
House as a first-time candidate.
The Opportunity: Christina was outspent by Republican outside groups by a
margin of 27:1. You read that correctly, for every $1 invested by outside
Democratic groups, Republican outside groups spent $27. And even then,
Christina fell just a few points shy of winning this district.
Christina’s opponent has an underwater approval rating and holds extreme
positions like a no exception abortion ban and a ban on any gun safety
laws. If outside spending were equitable, Democrats would have won this
race. So shoring up support for Christina and reaching the independents
and Democrats who don’t vote every 2 years will be key to winning this
race.
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GEORGE WHITESIDES (CA-27)
Competitiveness: In 2020, California’s 27th Congressional District was
right behind Iowa’s 1st in terms of how close the election was.
Republicans flipped this district from blue to red by a margin of just 333
votes. And President Joe Biden carried this district by a landslide.
The Candidate: Democrat George Whitesides has a background no one in
Congress has – he’s an aerospace expert who served as CEO of one of the
world’s first spaceflight companies (based in the district), served as
President Obama’s Chief of Staff for NASA, and founded a group to combat
wildfires in California. He’s a first-time candidate who has the
experience, professional and political connections, as well as ability to
compete with the GOP spending advantage in the district that Democrats
haven’t had in recent cycles.
The Opportunity: There’s one reason Democrats lost a district that
President Biden carried by double-digits just two years prior. Republican
outside groups outspent Democrats 15:1 in this district last year. When
voters learn the Republican incumbent aided Trump’s effort to overturn the
2020 election, co-sponsored a national abortion ban bill with zero
exceptions, and has an A-rating from the NRA and Gun Owners of America,
the majority of independents side with the Democrat. We just need to reach
them and put up the strongest challenger – and George is exactly that.
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TONY VARGAS (NE-2)
Competitiveness: Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District came within 3
points of flipping blue last November in one of the closest House races in
the country. President Joe Biden won this district by nearly 7 points in
2020 and will be investing in a significant capacity next year since this
district awards some of Nebraska’s electoral votes to the winner of this
district.
The Candidate: Democrat Tony Vargas started out as public school teacher
who taught science before turning to public service. He was awarded
“Teacher of the Year” and went on to win a seat on the Omaha Public
Schools Board as well as a seat in the Nebraska State Senate. Tony has a
track-record of advocating for and improving public education, fighting
for teachers, increasing access to healthcare, and championing working
families.
The Opportunity: If we’re able to reach the known Democratic voters who
stayed home last November and they turn out, Tony wins. His margin of
victory expands if the same happens with liberal-leaning independents.
Tony came within 3 points of flipping this district last November and it
will be even more competitive since Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District
awards their electoral votes in the Presidential election to the winner of
the district, not the state.
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DR. BRIAN WILLIAMS (TX-32)
Competitiveness: Before Democrat Colin Allred ran for this seat and won,
Texas’ 32nd Congressional District was seen as unwinnable for Democrats,
with Republicans routinely winning this district by 20-30 points. The area
has trended blue in recent years and this is an open seat Democrats cannot
afford to lose if we’re going to win back the House.
The Candidate: Democrat Brian Williams, MD, never imagined he would run
for office – until he was operating on a handful of patients who had been
gunned down in a mass shooting in Dallas, Texas. Since then, he advised
Congress and helped pass the first gun safety bill in thirty years. If
elected, Brian will be the first trauma surgeon in history to serve in
Congress and will also be the first Black physician to have the ability to
vote in Congressional history.
The Opportunity: Brian has a background and experience that no one else in
Congress – and certainly none of his opponents – has. Polling confirms
that Americans overwhelmingly trust doctors and medical professionals,
particularly as candidates for elected office. They can cut through
partisanship and build coalitions that many other candidates by virtue of
their background can't – And at a time when more Americans than ever
before cite gun violence as one of their top three issues, no candidate is
better equipped to speak to this issue than a trauma surgeon who treats
shooting survivors with his own hands.
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ANNA KAPLAN (NY-3)
Competitiveness: New York’s 3rd Congressional District is represented by
someone who is almost universally recognized as the most vulnerable
Republican in America: George Santos. Not only did President Joe Biden win
this district by nearly 10 points but a recent poll showed that only 13%
of voters believe Santos should even be allowed to continue serving in
office as he faces countless scandals, allegations, and investigations.
The Candidate: Democrat Anna Kaplan has a background in biology who helped
flip control of the New York Senate to Democrats in 2018 by winning a
tough race against an entrenched GOP incumbent. She’s been a leader on gun
violence, reproductive rights, and climate and made history in 2018 when
she became the first Iranian-American elected to the New York state
legislature and first political refugee elected to serve in the State
Senate in history.
The Opportunity: Many experts are calling this the best pickup opportunity
for Democrats in the nation. George Santos has no intention of resigning
and even if he were to lose the primary, the fact remains that this
district backed Joe Biden by nearly 10 points and unlike last November,
Biden will be on the ballot. Pair that with a candidate who has a track
record of winning on GOP turf with a track record of getting results and
Anna can win this race.
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There’s a recurring theme here: It’s difficult for Democrats to win tough
races when they are being dramatically outspent by Republicans, especially
as first-time candidates making their case to voters. And most of these
districts were either carried by President Joe Biden or Democrats in the
past 4 years. With smart investments, they represent our best chances to
take back the House.
Your donation will help us reach key demographics of voters in races like
these and make the investments to counter GOP spending. It’s how our
candidates flipped the House, the Senate, and key state legislatures from
Pennsylvania to Michigan.
[ [link removed] ]So $5 might not seem like much, but when thousands of you donate, it’s
enough to fund a program that could reach hundreds of thousands of voters
in the races where the margins will be slim.
If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your donation
will be immediately processed.
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Thank you,
314 Action
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