August 16, 2023
Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.
‘The Numbers are Horrific’: Moderate Democrat Issues Grave Warning About Biden’s Electability
By Manzanita Miller
While former President Trump has the backing of a wide plurality of Republicans – and a growing share of Independents and swing voters – Democrats are in distress about Biden’s plummeting polling numbers, and some are quietly considering the prospect of replacing Biden on the Democratic ticket.
U.S. Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) is speaking out about Biden’s inability to lead and indicating Democrats need to choose an alternate candidate to replace him if they are to maintain the White House in 2024.
Phillips told CNN's Jake Tapper although he “thinks the world of Joe Biden” he has “grave concerns” about Biden’s ability to continue serving as president and win reelection.
“The numbers are horrific”, Phillps said, speaking of the share of Americans who want an alternate candidate. “Fifty-five percent of Democrats, about 73% of Independents…are saying we want an alternative.”
While Phillips has repeatedly said he doesn’t want to be considered for the Democratic nomination, that could change. Phillips mentioned “six or eight people”, who he believes should enter the race as Biden alternatives in the Democratic primaries and blamed “an incumbent President with an institution around him who is protecting him”, for the reluctance of these contenders to step froward.
Tapper pushed further for names of these contenders, mentioning California Governor Gavin Newsom, Michigan Governor Gretchin Whitmer, and Vice President Kamala Harris.
Unfortunately, each of these contenders face their own uphill battle should they decide to run. A spring Quinnipiac poll found, for example, that 70% of Californians do not want Newsom to run for president. Whitmer faced backlash during the covid-19 lockdowns and struggles with Independents in polls. Harris has earned the title for the lowest rating of a Vice President on record accruing to a recent NBC News poll.
While Biden is clearly floundering to maintain support within the Democratic base, there’s little evidence the most thrown around alternatives would do better than Biden. However, a third-party challenge or an “alternative” Democratic primary challenger could do real damage.
The latest national polls show Trump and Biden in a dead-heat but when a third-party progressive candidate like Cornel West is added to the race, he hurts Biden more than Trump. In Emerson polling this spring, West pulled in 6% of the vote as a third-party candidate but drew 15% of the Black vote and 13% of voters under 35, groups Biden is already struggling with. By this metric, Biden cedes these voters he can’t afford, and Trump loses far less.
While Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Marriane Williamson have largely been dismissed as fringe Democrats stepping up to challenge Biden, the momentum they are building is also cause for concern for Biden.
The same Emerson poll conducted this spring shows Kennedy polling at 15% among Democratic Primary voters while Williamson is polling at 3%, and 10% of voters said they’d support someone else. This translates to over a quarter of Democrats leaning toward one of the two leading Biden-alternatives within the party.
Regardless of whether these two candidates genuinely pose a challenge to Biden's standing in the primaries, there's no assurance that supporters of Kennedy and Williamson will rally behind Biden in the general election. In fact, Kennedy polls better with Republicans than he does with Democrats.
We know that in 2016 roughly 10% of Bernie Sanders supporters ended up switching sides and supporting Former President Trump, and that is a real possibility with Kennedy and Williamson supporters, who tend to be younger swing voters. .
A spring Morning Consult poll found R.F.K’s largest block of support comes from women, younger voters, and those with some college education but no degree. Kennedy also polled well with Independents, securing 33% of their vote in the poll.
Women are one of the groups within the Democratic party who are most open to an alternative candidate according to recent polling. The Morning Consult poll found 13% of women compared to 7% of men said they’d support Kennedy as a primary challenger.
Both a third-party challenger in the form of progressive activist Cornel West and challengers from within the Democratic Party pose threats to Biden by dividing left-wing voters, as well as attracting swing voters and Independents.
Democrats have three important questions to answer in the next few months. One, can President Biden and those protecting him realize the warning signs and throw their support behind a Democratic alternative without creating division? Two, is it too late to change course and replace Biden as the nominee? Three, among a slate of Democratic contenders, who should the party throw their support behind?
Prominent “covid governors” including California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer are two of the names that have been thrown around the most, but each face vehement opposition and could hardly be portrayed as appealing to moderates and Independents, with whom the party is on thin ice.
Trump, meanwhile, is forging ahead and amassing an ever-widening lead over his closest challenger, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, even as he is pummeled with multiple indictments. Trump’s biggest challenger at the moment is not DeSantis or Christie, but the political apparatus working overtime to derail him.
Manzanita Miller is an associate analyst at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.
To view online: https://dailytorch.com/2023/08/the-numbers-are-horrific-moderate-democrat-issues-grave-warning-about-bidens-electability/
Video: Why Our Cities Are Falling Apart With Crime w/ Former Md. Gov. Bob Ehrlich
To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kfXSggZSg_o
Video: Biden Admin Defies U.S. Supreme Court
To view online: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=355B5Sccojk
Fulton County, Ga. puts Trump’s First Amendment rights to speech and to petition the government for redress of grievances on trial
By Robert Romano
Fulton County, Ga. prosecutors have issued their own indictment of former President Donald Trump on Aug. 14 on alleged racketeering violations over his challenge of the 2020 election in Georgia, coming atop a similar federal indictment by Special Counsel Jack Smith over Trump’s challenges nationwide and attempts to persuade states, courts, Congress and the Vice President to intervene on his behalf.
The Fulton County indictment is similarly drawn, including under the heading, “Manner and Methods of the Enterprise,” several speech and petition-related “crimes”: “False Statements to and Solicitation of State Legislatures,” “False Statements to and Solicitation of High-Ranking State Officials,” “Creation and Distribution of False Electoral College Documents,” “Members of the enterprise, including several of the Defendants, falsely accused Fulton County election worker Ruby Freeman of committing election crimes in Fulton County, Georgia. These false accusations were repeated to Georgia legislators and other Georgia officials in an effort to persuade them to unlawfully change the outcome of the November 3, 2020, presidential election in favor of Donald Trump,” “Solicitation of High-Ranking United States Department of Justice Officials,” and “Solicitation of the Vice President of the United States.”
There’s one basic problem with these specific charges. They are all related to Trump challenging the results of the 2020 election, and attempting to persuade government officials, including courts, state legislators and prosecutors to investigate what the Trump campaign was alleging were election law violations, and to otherwise submit an alternate slate of electors to Congress when it was to convene on Jan. 6, 2021. That’s all political speech protected by the First Amendment.
Specifically, the rights to freedom of speech and to petition the government for a redress of grievances. The full amendment states, “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”
That’s what Trump is accused of doing, to wit, “in an effort to persuade” the state of Georgia to change its slate of electors even though Trump and his campaign had an absolute right to “persuade” the state, even if the effort failed or even if the effort was based on any erroneous information.
Trump also had a right to convene alternate slates of electors, as happened in the presidential elections of both 1876 that led to the election of Rutherford B. Hayes, prior to the passage of the Electoral Count Act in 1887, and in 1960 in Hawaii, afterward, when both parties in contested states put forward competing slates of electors that Congress had to later sort out. Congress never prohibited convening alternate slates of electors.
In fact, Electoral Count Act, the very process that was used in every election thereafter, including on Jan. 6, 2021 didn’t prohibit election challenges, and it didn’t prohibit convening alternate slates of electors, and instead created a process that states and Congress would follow in the event there were such disputes and controversies over who won a state’s election, leaving the final determinations to the states to certify electors and to Congress to hear objections, even if the objections were based on erroneous grounds.
As noted by the Congressional Research Service in Aug. 2022 on false speech laws as it relates to the First Amendment: “a law is presumptively unconstitutional unless the government can show the challenged law is the least restrictive means of targeting speech while also serving a compelling governmental interest. Courts have sometimes extended this general principle to laws regulating false speech and concluded that laws prohibiting lies about a certain topic trigger strict scrutiny.”
In this case, “least restrictive” would mean the state of Georgia following the process outlined by the Electoral Count Act, which ultimately resulted in Georgia awarding its electors to President Joe Biden. There was a challenge to be considered on the floor of Congress on Jan. 6, 2021, but support from the Senate was withdrawn after to the riot at the U.S. Capitol, even while challenges to Arizona and Pennsylvania were still heard in accordance with the law.
There are also allegations of attempting to audit Coffee County-based voting machines and voting records in an agreement with data company SullivanStrickler LLC “by downloading said data from a server maintained by SullivanStrickler LLC.” SullivanStrickler LLC was hired “for the performance of computer forensic collections and analytics on Dominion Voting Systems equipment in Michigan and elsewhere.”
But election machines do not contain “employment, medical, salary, credit, or any other financial or personal data relating to any other person” as defined in O.C.G.A. 16-9-93(c) but rather anonymized voting tabulations and the software that makes it work.
Was it even data Georgia was responsible for maintaining? The indictment mentions the company’s Michigan voting machine audit and that the data was not downloaded from Georgia state systems but rather “a server maintained by SullivanStrickler LLC.”
As for voter registration information, those are public records in the state of Georgia.
Pursuant to O.C.G.A. 21-2-225(b), “all data collected and maintained on electors whose names appear on the list of electors maintained by the Secretary of State pursuant to this article shall be available for public inspection” except for bank records, Social Security numbers, email addresses, driver’s license numbers, etc. which are not located in voter files.
According to Georgiasecretaryofstate.net, “By law, voter registration lists are available to the public and contain the following information: voter name, residential address, mailing address if different, race, gender, registration date and last voting date. The Statewide Voter List does not include telephone numbers, date of birth, Social Security number or Drivers License number. The Statewide Voter List includes Active and Inactive Voters.” A statewide voter list is available for purchase for $250.
While it is unclear from the indictment what personal data was allegedly accessed — nowhere does the indictment does not mention bank records, Social Security numbers, email addresses, driver’s license numbers, etc. being accessed from Georgia’s election systems — if it was data that SullivanStrickler LLC had purchased from the Secretary of State’s office, or was data that was otherwise a public record, and not information which is excepted by the law, or if it was even Georgia’s data that was allegedly accessed. It is therefore hard to see how Georgia’s confidential records were breached, if at all.
Finally, Trump and his campaign are accused of perjury in various court pleadings throughout the state, again over his contestation of the 2020 election results. But even if the challenges were based on erroneous allegations, as is alleged, this again seeks to criminalize what otherwise amounts to political speech and the right to challenge election results in courts of law, all protected by the First Amendment. Petitioning the government is not limited to the legislative branch, but all three branches of the government, and challenging elections is political speech.
Perhaps when Trump pleads “not guilty” Fulton County will call that a crime, too.
Robert Romano is the Vice President of Public Policy at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.
George Rasley: The Outrageous Georgia Indictments
By George Rasley
The announcement that former President Donald Trump has been indicted by an activist Democrat prosecutor in Fulton County, Georgia really comes as no surprise. Afterall, like New York Attorney General Letitia James, Fulton County DA Fani Willis campaigned on getting Donald Trump.
And just in case you doubted that Mr. Trump was going to be indicted, the 13-count indictment was briefly posted online before the Grand Jury even voted – so it was a foregone conclusion when the official announcement was finally made.
“The events that have unfolded today have been shocking and absurd, starting with the leak of a presumed and premature indictment before the witnesses had testified or the grand jurors had deliberated and ending with the District Attorney being unable to offer any explanation,” read a statement from Trump lawyers Drew Findling, Jennifer Little and Marissa Goldberg after the indictment was unsealed.
The establishment media likes to portray Mr. Trump’s post-election challenges to the announced outcome of the 2020 election as an attempt to “overturn” the election, but this is an intentional misstatement of the facts behind then-President Trump’s legal maneuvering.
What Mr. Trump’s legal team did was challenge the accuracy of the count and the legality of votes in a number of states, including Georgia where the evidence of fraud or error was substantial.
After a state-required hand-recount of the Election Day totals President Trump picked up about 1,300 votes in the recount, which left Biden with a margin of about 12,000 votes, meaning the questionable votes cited above could have, indeed most likely did constitute Joe Biden’s margin of “victory.”
It was this vast trove of questionable ballots to which Mr. Trump was referring during his now infamous phone call with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, during which Mr. Trump implored the state official to “find 11,780 votes,” enough to reverse his apparent loss to Joe Biden.
Then there is the matter of whether the Georgia voting machines were “hacked” as some have alleged. PBS News Hour (hardly a pro-Trump Rightwing source) aired a segment on Oct. 26, 2020, focusing on the state of the voting machines in Georgia. PBS hired "white hat" hackers to test the Dominion machines, and all of them found that the machines were hackable from outside the system. The segment starts at the 37-minute mark through this link: https://www.youtube.com/live/D6ukowwFdRI
Even more outrageous than the indictment of the former President is the indictment of his lawyers. Their indictment is part of a larger lawfare conspiracy on the Left to deprive conservatives and adherents of Mr. Trump’s MAGA Movement of capable legal representation.
The 65 Project and various bar association complainants have conducted relentless attacks on the lawyers representing Mr. Trump for doing what lawyers are supposed to do – vigorously and creatively represent their clients and present their claims in law or equity.
Get full story here: https://www.conservativehq.org/post/the-outrageous-georgia-indictments