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Assessing the Threat

10 Ways the US Is Falling Behind China in National Security

August 12, 2023

China’s fusion of civil and military spheres is allowing it to rapidly develop and produce advanced military capabilities at a fraction of the cost and time that it takes the United States. In a new report, Mackenzie Eaglen lays out 10 specific national security examples of the US government’s “creeping complacency” toward this growing challenge.

 

 

Since the expiration of its expansion in the American Rescue Plan, the child tax credit (CTC) has returned to its full pre-pandemic form—but Democrats continue to criticize its work expectations for withholding income from poor Americans. Angela Rachidi and Thomas O’Rourke use CTC workforce data to demonstrate how work requirements incentivize stable employment while still providing income to families in need.

 

The artificial intelligence (AI) boom, especially with the rise of generative AI like ChatGPT, is poised to dramatically reshape American education. John Bailey explains how generative AI works, what challenges it poses for schools and policymakers, and ultimately how educators can use these tools to their advantage.

 

In May, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposed new performance standards and emission guidelines for greenhouse gasses, claiming a diversion from fossil fuel–fired electric generating units will benefit the climate and lower global temperatures. In a comment on the draft rule, Benjamin Zycher finds zero detectable impact from the change and questions the unfounded “crisis” projections on which the EPA relies.

 

In the past 150 years, peaking powers—rising world powers whose economic booms have slowed but not stopped—have posed the greatest threat to global stability. Now that China’s economic boom has started to wane, Michael Beckley, in new research for International Security, compares China’s aggression to the historic behavior of past peaking powers. His findings suggest we have arrived at the “moment of maximum danger.”

Rationing Medicine Through Bureaucracy: Authorization Restrictions in Medicare

Administrative costs make up a substantial portion of health care spending in the United States—half of which is spent on efforts to reduce health care utilization and spending, such as policies auditing for waste or fraud. In a new Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper, Zarek Brot-Goldberg, Samantha Burn, Timothy Layton, and Boris Vabson analyze the costs and benefits of this bureaucratic cost saving to see whether the investments pay off. Bureaucratic systems are full of trade-offs, and their risk of waste can make them a force for good or bad in health care. Using the example of Medicare Part D prior authorization policies, the authors find that this program clearly produces savings that exceed its administrative costs, but whether this produces better outcomes for consumers is less clear.

 

 

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