This Issue: After a June lull, reports indicate an increase in illegal border crossings in July

Fri, Aug. 11th

After what may have been a temporary dip in border apprehensions during the month of June, reports indicate that there was an increase in illegal border crossings during the month of July. Reports further indicate that the drug cartels who manage the human smuggling across the border are shifting flows to Arizona in response to stepped up efforts taken by Texas Gov. Greg Abbott to block illegal entries.

According to The Washington Post:

Illegal crossings along the U.S. southern border jumped more than 30 percent in July, according to preliminary U.S. Customs and Border Protection data obtained by The Washington Post, dealing a blow to President Biden's new immigration enforcement strategy at a time when his policies are facing multiple legal challenges.

U.S. agents made more than 130,000 arrests along the Mexico border last month, preliminary figures show, up from 99,545 in June. Authorities allowed an additional 50,000 migrants to cross into the United States in July, primarily through Biden administration programs allowing asylum seekers to schedule appointments at U.S. ports of entry using the CBP One mobile application.

While the numbers reported by the Post are still unofficial, it appears that the June dip in apprehensions was short-lived. It's likely that the cartels held back in June so they could learn more about how the Biden Administration would handle illegal border crossings after ending Title 42 in May and began making their adjustments in July. This is a regular tactic of the cartels anytime policy changes at the border are announced.

The Post also reported that the increase in illegal border crossings wasn't only felt in Texas where most illegal border crossings have occurred over the last two years.

The spike in illegal crossings was most pronounced in the deserts of southern Arizona, despite daytime temperatures that often surpassed 110 degrees. U.S. agents there made about 40,000 arrests in July, the highest one-month total for the Tucson sector in 15 years, CBP data show.

The increase in the Tucson sector represents a 134% increase in border apprehensions in July compared to June. All this news comes at the same time that the Biden Administration has announced that 1,100 of the 1,500 active-duty troops that the Pentagon sent to the border to deal with the border crisis are being sent back to their home bases.

What's more concerning about the apparent increase in illegal border crossings in July is that, historically, border apprehensions tend to dip during the hotter, summer months before rising during the cooler, fall months. The July spike could indicate that this fall's numbers could be on par with some of the worst months since Pres. Biden's been in office.