Daily News Brief
February 21, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
Iran Holds Parliamentary Elections
Iranians will vote for lawmakers (Al-Monitor) today. A vetting committee loyal to Iran’s Supreme Leader barred thousands of candidates (BBC) from running, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and top religious clerics are hoping for high voter turnout that would signal support for the regime.

Today’s are the first parliamentary elections (FT) since Washington withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal and imposed harsh economic sanctions on Iran, triggering an economic crisis. Victory for hardliners and conservatives would likely weaken President Hassan Rouhani, a relative moderate. After authorities cracked down on anti-government protests in recent months, many protesters have called for a boycott of the elections.
Analysis
“Many Iranians are now resigned to the fact that Mr. Trump could win a second term when Americans vote in November, raising the spectre of more years of sanctions and isolation. That is likely to benefit hardliners at the expense of more moderate politicians,” write Andrew England and Najmeh Bozorgmehr for the Financial Times.

“Rouhani’s campaign promises included many on which he has not delivered, such as pledges to introduce political reforms and improve the state of Iran’s economy,” Mohammad Ali Kadivar, Saber Khani, and Abolfazl Sotoudeh write for Foreign Affairs.

Pacific Rim
Thai Court Dissolves Opposition Party
Thailand’s Constitutional Court ruled the opposition Future Forward Party must be dissolved (Bangkok Post) and banned its leaders from politics for ten years for illegitimate financing. The decision gives sixty-five party lawmakers sixty days to find new political parties.
 
CFR’s Joshua Kurlantzick looks at how Future Forward posed a threat to the Thai political establishment.
 
South Korea: Seoul has named two regions of the country special containment zones (Yonhap) for the new coronavirus after the number of cases rose to 204. 

South and Central Asia
U.S., Taliban Begin Violence Reduction Deal
An agreement between Washington and the Taliban to reduce violence in Afghanistan is set to begin (TOLO) at midnight tonight, according to Afghanistan’s National Security Council. Washington plans to sign a deal with the militant group on February 29, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said.
 
Pakistan: Attorney General Anwar Mansoor Khan has resigned (RFE/RL) on request of the country’s lawyers’ association. The association called for Khan to retract his criticism of Pakistan’s Supreme Court judges, which he refused to do.

Middle East and North Africa
G20 Finance Ministers to Meet in Saudi Arabia
Finance ministers and central bank governors from Group of Twenty (G20) countries will meet this weekend (Reuters) in Riyadh, where they are due to discuss the economic impact of the new coronavirus and a proposed agreement to tax tech giants. China will not send (Reuters) officials to the meeting.
 
This CFR Backgrounder explains the G20’s purpose.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Feuding Rwandan, Ugandan Presidents to Meet
Presidents Paul Kagame of Rwanda and Yoweri Museveni of Uganda are set to discuss the possibility of reopening a border crossing (Al Jazeera) that was closed last year amid a dispute between the leaders.
 
South Africa: The government will continue to distribute land (Bloomberg) to the country’s black majority, President Cyril Ramaphosa said, despite U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s warning that such actions would hurt South Africa’s economy.

Europe
U.S. Intelligence: Russia Meddling in 2020 Election
Russia is interfering in the 2020 U.S. election (NYT) to support the reelection of President Donald J. Trump, U.S. intelligence officials reportedly told lawmakers last week.
 
In this episode of CFR’s Inside the Issues video series, Shannon K. O’Neil discusses foreign interference in U.S. elections
 
Ireland: Prime Minister Leo Varadkar resigned (BBC) after an election failed to conclusively identify a successor. His party, Fine Gael, will meet with its long-time rival Fianna Fail next week to discuss the possibility (Reuters) of forming a coalition government.

Americas
Bolivia’s Morales Ineligible for Senate Run
The head of Bolivia’s election body said exiled former President Evo Morales is not eligible (Reuters) to run for Senate in May elections.
 
Brazil: State-owned oil company Petrobras will not focus (FT) on transitioning to renewable energy for at least two years, its chief financial officer said.

United States
Nevada Holds Democratic Caucuses
Presidential caucuses (WaPo) occur on Saturday in Nevada, where the Democratic Party will implement a new vote-counting system that uses iPads and Google software. The system was created to avoid technical malfunctions that occurred during the Iowa caucuses.
Friday Editor’s Pick
The Washington Post looks at the Trump administration’s policy of sharing immigrant children’s confidential therapy records in immigration courts.
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