Today's Brew highlights our analysis of 2020 v. 2016 Democratic voter turnout in Iowa and New Hampshire Pivot Counties + brings you this week’s filing deadline roundup
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Welcome to the Friday, Feb. 21, Brew. Here’s what’s in store for you as you start your day:

* 2020 primary analysis: Iowa and New Hampshire Democratic voter turnout in Pivot Counties
* Filing deadline roundup
* North Dakota presidential nominating process

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** 2020 PRIMARY ANALYSIS: IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC VOTER TURNOUT IN PIVOT COUNTIES
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Now that the presidential voting is underway, we can start looking at the electoral landscape in the Pivot Counties ([link removed]) . As a reminder, Pivot Counties are the 206 counties that Donald Trump (R) carried in 2016 and Barack Obama (D) carried in 2008 and 2012.

There are 31 Pivot Counties in Iowa—the most in the nation— and three in New Hampshire.

With the first two presidential nomination states behind us, we were eager to dig into the county results. Our team looked at turnout figures in Iowa and New Hampshire - and we’ll continue to do that throughout the primary election season. IN IOWA, DEMOCRATIC VOTER TURNOUT DECREASED 11.7% IN PIVOT COUNTIES AND INCREASED 7.4% IN NON-PIVOT COUNTIES COMPARED TO 2016. The total statewide voter turnout for the Democratic Caucus fell 3.4%.

In New Hampshire, Democratic voter turnout increased 19.1% in Pivot Counties and 18.7% in non-Pivot Counties compared to 2016. The total statewide voter turnout increased 18.8%. Sen. Bernie Sanders won all three of the state’s Pivot Counties.

Both states’ Pivot Counties saw reduced Republican turnout. With President Donald Donald Trump (R) (R) on the ballot as an incumbent, we took a deeper look at the Democratic Party data in the two states:


** IOWA
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* Statewide voter turnout was about 176,000 caucusgoers, up 3% compared to 2016 and down 25% compared to the 2008 caucuses.
* Statewide, Pete Buttigieg carried 57 counties, Sanders carried 20, Joe Biden carried eight, Amy Klobuchar carried five, and Elizabeth Warren carried one. The remaining eight counties had a tie in projected state delegate equivalents as of Feb. 20.
* Buttigieg carried 20 Pivot Counties, or 65%. Of the remaining Pivot Counties, Sanders carried seven, Klobuchar carried two, and Biden carried one. Buttigieg and Klobuchar are tied in projected state delegate equivalents in the 31st Pivot County.
* Four Pivot Counties had increased Democratic turnout—Boone, Bremer, Cedar, and Dubuque. Buttigieg won three of these counties and Sanders won one.
* To see our full voter turnout data in Iowa, click here ([link removed]) .


** NEW HAMPSHIRE
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* Democratic voter turnout was up 19.1% in the three Pivot Counties in New Hampshire. It increased 18.7% in non-Pivot Counties compared to 2016.
* Statewide Democratic voter turnout was 296,622—up 18.8% from 2016.
* Statewide, Sanders carried seven counties and Buttigieg carried three. Sanders carried all three of the state’s pivot counties.
* Two Pivot Counties had increased Democratic turnout—Hillsborough and Sullivan. Sanders won both of these counties in the Democratic primary in 2016 and 2020.
* To see our full voter turnout data in New Hampshire, click here ([link removed]) .

If this story interests you, then I think you’ll love our UPCOMING WEBINAR WITH AUTHOR AND JOURNALIST MATT TAIBBI. He will be speaking about his book, _Hate Inc.: Why Today’s Media Makes Us Despise One Another_, as part of our Ballotpedia Insights series. This will be the first of many discussions we will have related to voters who live in Pivot Counties.

There’s still time to register ([link removed]) and attend by clicking the link below! And if you can’t make it, don’t worry. We’ll post a recording of the event and email it to you after its conclusion.

Register here ([link removed])

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** FILING DEADLINE ROUNDUP
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13 statewide filing deadlines have passed so far in 2020. The most recent one was Feb. 18 in Pennsylvania. The next statewide filing deadline is on March 2 in Nebraska. Sixteen states have filing deadlines in March:

* March 2—Nebraska
* March 6—Georgia
* March 9—Montana
* March 10—New Mexico, Oregon
* March 13—Idaho, Iowa, Nevada
* March 16—Maine
* March 17—Colorado
* March 19—Utah
* March 26—Virginia
* March 30—New Jersey, South Carolina
* March 31—Missouri, South Dakota


** UTAH ([link removed])
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IN UTAH, THE DEADLINE FOR SUBMITTING SIGNATURES FOR A DIRECT INITIATIVE TO QUALIFY FOR THE 2020 BALLOT PASSED ON FEB. 18. The deadline for indirect initiatives was Nov. 15, 2019.

Four legislatively referred constitutional amendments (LRCA) had been certified for the ballot as of the deadline:

* Municipal Water Resources Amendment (HJR 1)

* Concerns municipal water resources

* Legislator Qualifications Amendment (HJR 4)

* Specifies that the qualifications of a legislator apply as of the time of election or appointment (rather than the time a legislator assumes office)

* Remove Slavery as Punishment for a Crime from Constitution Amendment (HJR 8)

* Repeals a constitutional exception on the ban of slavery that allowed for slavery and involuntary servitude as punishment for a crime

* Gender-Neutral Constitutional Language Amendment (SJR 7)

* Makes language in the state constitution gender-neutral

To appear on the ballot in Utah, LRCAs must be approved by the state Legislature. An average of four measures have appeared on the ballot for even-year elections in Utah between 1995 and 2018. The number of measures appearing on even-year statewide ballots during that time period ranged from one to seven. Voters approved 86.54% of statewide measures and defeated 13.46%.

Learn more→ ([link removed])
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** NORTH DAKOTA PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATING PROCESS
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The mechanics at the heart of the primary and caucus system can be particularly complex. Today I want to talk about the North Dakota presidential nominating process.

THIS YEAR, NORTH DAKOTA'S REPUBLICAN PARTY WILL CONDUCT CAUCUSES AS PART OF ITS PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATING PROCESS. These caucuses are scheduled for March 10.

Caucuses will run from 5:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. CT.

In order to participate, a voter must:

* Be a U.S. citizen aged 18 years or older
* Have resided in North Dakota for at least 30 days prior to the caucuses
* Sign a statement confirming his or her affiliation with the Republican Party and his or her intention to continue that affiliation in the upcoming election.

At the conclusion of the caucuses, votes will be tallied by hand on-site and then reported to state party headquarters. The party intends to have results ready for the public and the media by 10:00 p.m. Central Time on March 10. The results of the caucus will bind the state's delegation to the national nominating convention.

Rule No. 21 of the State Endorsing Convention Rules ([link removed]) says delegates will be allocated proportionally to any candidate receiving at least 20% of votes cast in the caucuses. If a candidate receives at least 60% of votes cast, that candidate will be awarded all of the state's delegates. According to The Bismarck Tribune ([link removed]) , President Trump will be the only candidate on the caucus ballot in North Dakota.

Individual delegates will be elected at the state party convention, scheduled for March 27 through March 28. Delegate election, and all other party business, will take place on March 28. Twenty-six of the state's total 29 delegates will be elected by secret ballot (the remaining three delegates are the party chairman, the national committeeman, and the national committeewoman).

Learn more→ ([link removed])
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